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Weekly Commentary: Moscovici and the National Team

Weekly Commentary: Moscovici and the National Team From the perspective of monitoring an unfolding global crisis, things turned only more concerning this week. The Shanghai Composite declined to 2,450 in early Friday trading, the low since November 2014 – and down almost 26% y-t-d. Across the globe in Europe, Italian 10-year yields jumped to 3.80% […]

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Spain’s Supreme Court Flip-Flops on Mortgage Ruling After Just 1 Day Amid Bank Stocks Bloodbath, Legal Shitstorm Erupts

Spain’s Supreme Court Flip-Flops on Mortgage Ruling After Just 1 Day Amid Bank Stocks Bloodbath, Legal Shitstorm Erupts Plunging bank stocks got the Court’s attention, or something. That was fast: Spain’s Supreme Court on Friday flip-flopped on its own ruling announced on Thursday that had sent bank stocks plunging. It started like this: Thursday morning, […]

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What Truckers & Railroads Are Saying About the US Economy

What Truckers & Railroads Are Saying About the US Economy They’re a measure of the goods-based economy. Freight shipment volume across all modes of transportation – truck, rail, air, and barge – rose 8.2% in September, compared to a year earlier, according to the Cass Freight Index. While this is still a big jump, it’s […]

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What sanctions on Russia and China really mean

What sanctions on Russia and China really mean The Pentagon may not be advocating total war against both Russia and China – as it has been interpreted in some quarters The Trump administration has taken a hard line against China and Russia. Photo: IStock A crucial Pentagon report on the US defense industrial base and […]

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The Global Dollar Shortage is Here – And It’s Becoming A Big Problem

The Global Dollar Shortage is Here – And It’s Becoming A Big Problem Another week and another signal flashing red to deal with. . . The credit market – in my opinion – is indicating an inevitable ‘crunch’ coming up. And even worse – we’re seeing the global dollar shortage deepening. Many readers know I […]

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Moody’s Cuts Italy’s Debt Rating To One Notch Above Junk

Moody’s Cuts Italy’s Debt Rating To One Notch Above Junk Five months after putting Italy on downgrade watch, Moody’s has seen enough and cut Italy’s debt rating to Baa3 – one notch above junk status. Moody’s Investors Service has today downgraded the Government of Italy’s local and foreign-currency issuer ratings to Baa3 from Baa2. The […]

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Bubbles, Balloons, Needles and Pins

Bubbles, Balloons, Needles and Pins M. C. Escher Meeting (Encounter) 1940 It’s no surprise that China has its own plunge protection team -but why were they so late?-, nor that Beijing blames its problems on Trump’s tariffs. GDP growth was disappointing at 6.5%, but who’s ever believed those almost always dead on numbers? It would […]

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The Canary In Coalmine: Bank OZK Plummets After Shock Commercial Real Estate Write Downs

The Canary In Coalmine: Bank OZK Plummets After Shock Commercial Real Estate Write Downs In what may be the deadest canary in the commercial real estate coal mine yet, Bank OZK shares have plunged 26% today after the bank reported abysmal third-quarter earnings that trailed expectations, with net income tumbling but what caught traders’ attention […]

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Has China Finally Lifted its Thumb off of Gold?

Has China Finally Lifted its Thumb off of Gold? There’s a lot of talk about the Yuan price of gold falling out of a price suppression channel.  Both Zerohedge and Nomura have weighed in on this. The Yuan price of gold surged overnight to above CNY 8500 per ounce which is a major breakdown  But […]

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Spanish Yields Blow Out Amid Italy Contagion As Italian Banks Scramble For Dollar Funding

Spanish Yields Blow Out Amid Italy Contagion As Italian Banks Scramble For Dollar Funding Contagion from the recent surge in Italian yields has spread, and is hitting Spanish 10Y yields which over the past 3 days have blown out from 1.65% to as high as 1.82% this morning, before paring some of the move, printing […]

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The Dow Has Fallen Nearly 1,500 Points From The Peak Of The Market, And Many Believe This “October Panic” Is Just Beginning…

The Dow Has Fallen Nearly 1,500 Points From The Peak Of The Market, And Many Believe This “October Panic” Is Just Beginning… We haven’t had an October like this in a very long time.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down another 327 points on Thursday, and overall the Dow is now down close to […]

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Loonie Tumbles To 6-Week Lows After Inflation, Retail Sales Slump

Loonie Tumbles To 6-Week Lows After Inflation, Retail Sales Slump The loonie has tumbled to six-week lows (above 1.31/USD) following dismal prints for retail sales and inflation this morning. Against expectations of a 0.1% rise MoM, Canadian core retail sales slumped 0.4% MoM in August. This is the first drop in retail sales since 2017… […]

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Stock Market Crash of 1987

Stock Market Crash of 1987 The first contemporary global financial crisis unfolded on October 19, 1987, a day known as “Black Monday” when the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 22.6 percent. Composite of newspaper headlines reporting the Stock Market Crash of 1987 (Associated Press) The first contemporary global financial crisis unfolded in the autumn of […]

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Implosion of Stock Market Double-Bubble in China Hits New Lows, Authorities Busy Elsewhere Keeping China Miracle from Unraveling

Implosion of Stock Market Double-Bubble in China Hits New Lows, Authorities Busy Elsewhere Keeping China Miracle from Unraveling Bigger issues than propping up the stock market beckon. Today, the Shanghai Composite Index dropped another 2.9% to 2,486.42. In the bigger picture, that’s quite an accomplishment: Lowest since November 27, 2014, nearly four years ago Down […]

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Italy’s Debt Crisis Thickens

Italy’s Debt Crisis Thickens But outside Italy, credit markets are sanguine, and no one says, “whatever it takes.” Italy’s government bonds are sinking and their yields are spiking. There are plenty of reasons, including possible downgrades by Moody’s and/or Standard and Poor’s later this month. If it is a one-notch downgrade, Italy’s credit rating will […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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