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Look Out Below: Corporate Debt In Emerging Markets Has QUADRUPLED Since 2004

Look Out Below: Corporate Debt In Emerging Markets Has QUADRUPLED Since 2004 Debt has skyrocketed globally. And see this. Governments have – of course – dramatically increased their debt since 2008 to fund questionable actions. But 141 years of history shows that excessive private debt in and of itself can cause depressions. American corporations are piling on record amounts of debt. And see this. Private debt […]

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This is When Bonds Go Kaboom!

This is When Bonds Go Kaboom! The toxic miasma of “distressed debt.” It’s getting tougher out there for our QE and ZIRP-coddled corporate junk-bond heroes. Unisys, whose revenues and profits decline year after year and whose stock dropped from over $400 a share during the prior tech bubble to $13 a share now, withdrew its […]

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China Cannot Let This Happen

China Cannot Let This Happen After borrowing — and largely wasting — $15 trillion during the Great Recession, China now looks like a typical decadent developed-world country, complete with slow growth, anemic consumer spending and unstable financial markets. But it’s not France, Canada or the US, where recessions happen and voters peacefully replace one major […]

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China’s “Credit Mystery” Deepens, As Moody’s Warns On Shadow Financing

China’s “Credit Mystery” Deepens, As Moody’s Warns On Shadow Financing Last month, we took a detailed look at what we said could be a multi-trillion yuan black swan. In short, one of China’s many spinning plates is the country’s vast shadow banking complex which allowed local governments to skirt borrowing restrictions leading directly to the accumulation of […]

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Two Outs in the Bottom of the Ninth

Two Outs in the Bottom of the Ninth The housing market peaked in 2005 and proceeded to crash over the next five years, with existing home sales falling 50%, new home sales falling 75%, and national home prices falling 30%. A funny thing happened after the peak. Wall Street banks accelerated the issuance of subprime […]

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Debt Debt & more Debt 2015.75

Debt Debt & more Debt 2015.75   The 1985 World Economic Conference Back in 1985 we warned that the sovereign debt crisis would emerge and start to really surface for 2015.75. Why this date was forecast so far back? This is Pi – 31.4 years into this Private Wave which began 1985.65. At the 1998 […]

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Oil Companies Running Out Of Options

Oil Companies Running Out Of Options The financial pressure on indebted oil and gas companies continues to mount, putting them in a bind as they try to mend their deteriorating balance sheets. As their debt rises, drillers have had to divert more of their operating cash flow to servicing that debt. Or, put another way, […]

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Demographics and Major Financial and Economic Trends

Demographics and Major Financial and Economic Trends Demographics Driving Declines in Oil Consumption, Mounting Debt, & Central Bank Mismanagement Sometimes, the simplest answer really is best.  I contend the primary and simplest factor that need be watched to gauge present and future economic activity are the changes in core populations (15-64 year old segment of the larger population) for any nation or grouping. […]

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Here’s Why the Status Quo Is Doomed

Here’s Why the Status Quo Is Doomed The problem is the Status Quo only works in a world with plenty of room to expand. The central illusion of this era is that the Status Quo can be reformed or saved.All we need to do is (or so we’re told): 1. Get money out of politics […]

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Financial System Booby Trapped with Debt Bombs-David Stockman

Financial System Booby Trapped with Debt Bombs-David Stockman Former Reagan Administration budget director David Stockman says the biggest crash coming is not going to be in the stock market. Stockman warns, “I think we are headed for a central calamity. The central banks of the world have been on a 20 year campaign to massively […]

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The Next Financial Crisis Won’t be Like the Last One

The Next Financial Crisis Won’t be Like the Last One It seems increasingly likely the next Global Financial Meltdown will arise in the FX/currency markets. Central banks are like generals: they tend to fight the last war. The Great Financial meltdown of 2008 was centered in too big to fail, too big to jailtransnational banks and other […]

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Oil Price Increase Will Not Come Fast Enough To Save Alberta

Oil Price Increase Will Not Come Fast Enough To Save Alberta “There’s just no cash.” That’s the Coles Notes from a senior banker describing the book of oil service loans he manages for one of Alberta’s leading lenders. There’s simply not enough cash flow to support current levels of debt. Bankers and borrowers have kicked […]

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Cash Withdrawal Limits and “Bank Holidays” Coming

Cash Withdrawal Limits and “Bank Holidays” Coming Concerns that next crisis may be imminent Bail-ins, withdrawal limits and negative interest rates may be imposed FT proposes a ban on “barbarous relic” cash Central banks would have people “completely under their control” – Bonner Gold in safe jurisdictions will again protect wealth Collapsing commodities prices, erratic […]

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A Major Bank Just Made Global Financial “Meltdown” Its Base Case: “The Worst The World Has Ever Seen”

A Major Bank Just Made Global Financial “Meltdown” Its Base Case: “The Worst The World Has Ever Seen” When it comes to the epic bubble in China’s economy, it really boils down to one – or rather two – things: a vast debt build up (by now everybody should be familiar with McKinsey’s chart showing China’s […]

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Fourth Turning: Crisis of Trust

Fourth Turning: Crisis of Trust “Imagine some national (and probably global) volcanic eruption, initially flowing along channels of distress that were created during the Unraveling era and further widened by the catalyst. Trying to foresee where the eruption will go once it bursts free of the channels is like trying to predict the exact fault […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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