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Inflation, Covid, Central Banks and Politics – about half the things to really worry about…
Inflation, Covid, Central Banks and Politics – about half the things to really worry about… As markets shake off their summer slumbers, what should we be worrying about? Lots..! From real vs transitory inflation arguments, the long-term economic consequences of Covid, the future for Central Banking unable to unravel its Gordian knot of monetary experimentation, […]
Food Stamp Increase Means Higher Food Prices For All
Food Stamp Increase Means Higher Food Prices For All With the stock market banging out new record highs each day and so many jobs available, it is odd the Biden Administration feels the need to boost the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, or SNAP by 25 percent. This constitutes the largest single increase in the program’s […]
Inflation Is Winning, and Here’s Why the Fed Seems Content To Let It Happen
Inflation Is Winning, and Here’s Why the Fed Seems Content To Let It Happen Photo by cottonbro The U.S. Treasury publishes its balance sheet annually. The most recent, for fiscal year 2020, is so egregiously out of whack it might be hard to wrap your head around: Total Assets: $5.95 trillion Total Liabilities: $32.74 trillion Net Position (total […]
Peter Schiff: When It Comes to Inflation, We’re Just Getting Started
Peter Schiff: When It Comes to Inflation, We’re Just Getting Started The July Consumer Price Index (CPI) data came out this week. For the first time, the numbers were in line with expectations, leading many mainstream pundits to declare “transitory” inflation is already starting to cool down. Peter Schiff broke down the report in his podcast. He […]
More Money Doesn’t Mean More Wealth
More Money Doesn’t Mean More Wealth Photo by Shane The Federal Reserve has targeted a 2% inflation rate for years, as though it’s a holy grail. As though 2% inflation was an economic panacea that would perfectly balance employment, business investment and bank lending. Recently, the Fed has loosened the reins on inflation and let it […]
Gold Standard and Boom Bust Cycles
GOLD STANDARD AND BOOM BUST CYCLES According to the Austrian Business Cycle Theory (ABCT), the boom-bust cycle emerges in response to a deviation in the market interest rate from the natural interest rate, or the equilibrium interest rate. It is held that the major cause for this deviation is increases in the money supply. Based […]
Peter Schiff: It’s Game Over if the Markets Call the Fed’s Bluff
Peter Schiff: It’s Game Over if the Markets Call the Fed’s Bluff The Federal Reserve insists inflation is “transitory” and the economy is making “progress.” Yet, it continues with the extraordinary monetary policy it launched at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Meanwhile, we’re seeing all kinds of data hinting that the economy may not […]
Shrinkflation, Inflation’s Sneaky Cousin, Is on the Rise
Shrinkflation, Inflation’s Sneaky Cousin, Is on the Rise Inflation has been on the rise for the past year and in the last few months it has accelerated. In June 2021, inflation, measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), hit the highest level since 2008. By inflation, economists refer to the increase in the general level of […]
Michael Pento: First Disinflation, Then Deflation, Then Big-Time Inflation
Michael Pento: First Disinflation, Then Deflation, Then Big-Time Inflation Suddenly investors are panicked that (hyper)inflation is taking over. But what if they’re mistaken? That could be a costly mistake if they’re betting their portfolio’s future on it. Because there’s a strong case to be made that we’re now actually entering a period of dis-inflation, one that […]
Lacy Hunt On Debt and Friedman’s Famous Quote Regarding Inflation and Money
Lacy Hunt On Debt and Friedman’s Famous Quote Regarding Inflation and Money Lacy Hunt takes on the widespread belief that sustained inflation is on the way in his latest quarterly review. Hoisington Quarterly Review and Outlook 2nd Quarter 2021 Here are some snips to the latest at Hoisington Management Quarterly Review (Emphasis Mine). Too Much Debt In highly […]
Grocery Prices Could Rise 10 to 14 Percent By October, Grocery Chain CEO Warns
Grocery Prices Could Rise 10 to 14 Percent By October, Grocery Chain CEO Warns This warning offers a painful reminder of how price inflation hurts everyday Americans. American families are already struggling amid mounting price inflation that’s eating away at their budgets, with higher costs for housing, vehicles, and more. Yet a top CEO is warning that […]
Too Much Money Chasing Too Few Goods and Services
Too Much Money Chasing Too Few Goods and Services Inflation can be considered a tax, an especially regressive one, falling harder on those with lower income and/or assets. As we’ve noted previously, the Federal Reserve’s “M2” monetary aggregate began growing significantly faster than the “GDP” measure of economic output in the United States beginning around 2008, […]
Highest Inflation in Thirty Years Vs. Denial, Hand-Waving and Excuses
Highest Inflation in Thirty Years Vs. Denial, Hand-Waving and Excuses Photo by Joshua Earle Stepping on a Lego in bare feet hurts. Once you know the Lego is there, and it hurts when you step on it, you can’t ignore it. That Lego is right out in the open, after all. High inflation feels very similar. At […]
Weekly Commentary: Under Fire
Weekly Commentary: Under Fire The week had an ominous feel. Ten-year Treasury yields dropped another seven bps to 1.29% – completely disregarding much stronger-than-expected reports on consumer and producer prices. German bund yields fell another six bps to a three-month low negative 0.35%. Equities were down for the week in Europe, but the notable equities […]
Bank of Canada Tapers Weekly QE To C$2BN, Sees Lift Off In “Sometime In Second Half Of 2022”
Bank of Canada Tapers Weekly QE To C$2BN, Sees Lift Off In “Sometime In Second Half Of 2022” As expected, the Bank of Canada took another step to normalize the emergency levels of stimulus, when it announced that it is tapering its bond purchases from C$3BN weekly to C$2BN, in what it hopes to telegraph […]
