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What Comes After Mind-Blowing Free-Money Blow-Off Spike in Retail Sales? A Spike Doesn’t Spike Forever

What Comes After Mind-Blowing Free-Money Blow-Off Spike in Retail Sales? A Spike Doesn’t Spike Forever Powered by price increases. Total retail sales – not adjusted for inflation, now a big factor – inched up 0.7% in August from July, to $619 billion (seasonally adjusted), up a stunning 18% from two years ago and 15.1% from a year […]

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The funny-money game

The funny-money game The sense of general unease that I detect among those I meet and discuss economics and financial matters with is increasing —with good reason. Clearly, what everyone calls inflation, rising prices or more accurately currency debasement, will lead to higher interest rates, threatening markets which are unmistakably in bubble territory. The consequences […]

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Facing Inflation Threat, German Investors Loading Up on Gold

Facing Inflation Threat, German Investors Loading Up on Gold While most American investors have faith that the Federal Reserve can and will successfully tighten monetary policy to fight inflation — or have simply bought into the “transitory” inflation narrative — Germans are loading up on gold as a hedge against growing inflationary pressures. Through the first half of the […]

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Inflation, Covid, Central Banks and Politics – about half the things to really worry about…

Inflation, Covid, Central Banks and Politics – about half the things to really worry about… As markets shake off their summer slumbers, what should we be worrying about? Lots..! From real vs transitory inflation arguments, the long-term economic consequences of Covid, the future for Central Banking unable to unravel its Gordian knot of monetary experimentation, […]

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Food Stamp Increase Means Higher Food Prices For All

Food Stamp Increase Means Higher Food Prices For All With the stock market banging out new record highs each day and so many jobs available, it is odd the Biden Administration feels the need to boost the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, or SNAP by 25 percent. This constitutes the largest single increase in the program’s […]

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Inflation Is Winning, and Here’s Why the Fed Seems Content To Let It Happen

Inflation Is Winning, and Here’s Why the Fed Seems Content To Let It Happen Photo by cottonbro The U.S. Treasury publishes its balance sheet annually. The most recent, for fiscal year 2020, is so egregiously out of whack it might be hard to wrap your head around: Total Assets: $5.95 trillion Total Liabilities: $32.74 trillion Net Position (total […]

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Peter Schiff: When It Comes to Inflation, We’re Just Getting Started

Peter Schiff: When It Comes to Inflation, We’re Just Getting Started The July Consumer Price Index (CPI) data came out this week. For the first time, the numbers were in line with expectations, leading many mainstream pundits to declare “transitory” inflation is already starting to cool down. Peter Schiff broke down the report in his podcast. He […]

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More Money Doesn’t Mean More Wealth

More Money Doesn’t Mean More Wealth Photo by Shane The Federal Reserve has targeted a 2% inflation rate for years, as though it’s a holy grail. As though 2% inflation was an economic panacea that would perfectly balance employment, business investment and bank lending. Recently, the Fed has loosened the reins on inflation and let it […]

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Gold Standard and Boom Bust Cycles

GOLD STANDARD AND BOOM BUST CYCLES According to the Austrian Business Cycle Theory (ABCT), the boom-bust cycle emerges in response to a deviation in the market interest rate from the natural interest rate, or the equilibrium interest rate. It is held that the major cause for this deviation is increases in the money supply. Based […]

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Peter Schiff: It’s Game Over if the Markets Call the Fed’s Bluff

Peter Schiff: It’s Game Over if the Markets Call the Fed’s Bluff The Federal Reserve insists inflation is “transitory” and the economy is making “progress.” Yet, it continues with the extraordinary monetary policy it launched at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Meanwhile, we’re seeing all kinds of data hinting that the economy may not […]

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Shrinkflation, Inflation’s Sneaky Cousin, Is on the Rise

Shrinkflation, Inflation’s Sneaky Cousin, Is on the Rise Inflation has been on the rise for the past year and in the last few months it has accelerated. In June 2021, inflation, measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), hit the highest level since 2008. By inflation, economists refer to the increase in the general level of […]

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Michael Pento: First Disinflation, Then Deflation, Then Big-Time Inflation

Michael Pento: First Disinflation, Then Deflation, Then Big-Time Inflation Suddenly investors are panicked that (hyper)inflation is taking over. But what if they’re mistaken? That could be a costly mistake if they’re betting their portfolio’s future on it. Because there’s a strong case to be made that we’re now actually entering a period of dis-inflation, one that […]

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Lacy Hunt On Debt and Friedman’s Famous Quote Regarding Inflation and Money

Lacy Hunt On Debt and Friedman’s Famous Quote Regarding Inflation and Money Lacy Hunt takes on the widespread belief that sustained inflation is on the way in his latest quarterly review. Hoisington Quarterly Review and Outlook 2nd Quarter 2021 Here are some snips to the latest at Hoisington Management Quarterly Review (Emphasis Mine). Too Much Debt In highly […]

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Grocery Prices Could Rise 10 to 14 Percent By October, Grocery Chain CEO Warns

Grocery Prices Could Rise 10 to 14 Percent By October, Grocery Chain CEO Warns This warning offers a painful reminder of how price inflation hurts everyday Americans. American families are already struggling amid mounting price inflation that’s eating away at their budgets, with higher costs for housing, vehicles, and more. Yet a top CEO is warning that […]

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Too Much Money Chasing Too Few Goods and Services

Too Much Money Chasing Too Few Goods and Services Inflation can be considered a tax, an especially regressive one, falling harder on those with lower income and/or assets. As we’ve noted previously, the Federal Reserve’s “M2” monetary aggregate began growing significantly faster than the “GDP” measure of economic output in the United States beginning around 2008, […]

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