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Tag Archives: economic growth
James Howard Kunstler: The World’s Greatest Misallocation Of Resources
James Howard Kunstler: The World’s Greatest Misallocation Of Resources And why we appear poised to repeat it James Howard Kunstler returns to the podcast this week, observing that despite the baton being handed to a new American president, the massive predicaments we face as a society remain the same. And it seems the incoming administration […]
Could the elimination of cash prevent an economic crisis?
COULD THE ELIMINATION OF CASH PREVENT AN ECONOMIC CRISIS? Given the still subdued economic growth many experts are of the view that the presence of cash has constrained central banks from setting negative rates to stimulate a subdued economic activity. In a future economic or financial crisis, current low rates would restrict the effectiveness of […]
Simultaneous Elderly Overpopulation, Youth Depopulation & The Impact on Economic Growth
Simultaneous Elderly Overpopulation, Youth Depopulation & The Impact on Economic Growth Strangely, the world is suffering from two seemingly opposite trends…overpopulation and depopulation in concert. The overpopulation is due to the increased longevity of elderly lifespans vs. depopulation of young populations due to collapsing birthrates. The depopulation is among most under 25yr old populations (except Africa) […]
Why Low Oil Prices Haven’t Helped The Economy
Why Low Oil Prices Haven’t Helped The Economy Many analysts had anticipated that a dramatic drop in oil prices such as we’ve seen since the summer of 2014 could provide a big stimulus to the economy of a net oil importer like the United States. That doesn’t seem to be what we’ve observed in the […]
Can We Grow Out Of Our Problems If We’re Not Actually Growing?
Can We Grow Out Of Our Problems If We’re Not Actually Growing? The rationale for today’s easy money policies is pretty straightforward: Falling interest rates and rising government deficits will counteract the drag of excessive debts taken on in previous stimulus programs and asset bubbles, enabling the developed world to create wealth faster than it […]
Western Mistakes, Remade in China
Western Mistakes, Remade in China SHANGHAI – The Chinese economy faces an enormously challenging transition. To achieve its goal of joining the world’s high-income countries, the government has rightly urged a “decisive role for the market.” But, while market competition works well in many sectors, banking is different. Indeed, over the last seven years, China’s […]
Reframing The Economics Debate Could Lead To More Action To Fight Climate Change
Reframing The Economics Debate Could Lead To More Action To Fight Climate Change As a country, the United States has been very slow to react to climate change. Part of the problem is that our politics has been corrupted by the influence of fossil fuel money. The other part is that the constant stream of […]
Guessing the future without Say’s law
Guessing the future without Say’s law Or some reflections to read over the Easter holidays With Japanese and Eurozone interest rates becoming increasingly negative, and the Fed backing off from at least some of the planned increases in the Fed funds rate this year, economists are reassessing the interest rate outlook. Economists lack consensus, with […]
World watching as Canada casts aside austerity and gambles on a fiscal surge
World watching as Canada casts aside austerity and gambles on a fiscal surge A global economic debate plays out in Canada as our government goes from miser to spendthrift Canada’s Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Finance Minister Bill Morneau are taking Canada into unknown waters, betting that spending will do what austerity has not. (Reuters) […]
Our economic growth system is reaching limits in a strange way
Our economic growth system is reaching limits in a strange way Economic growth never seems to be as high as those making forecasts would like it to be. This is a record of recent forecasts by the International Monetary Fund: Figure 1. World GDP Forecasts by the International Monetary Fund. Figure 2 shows world economic growth […]
We Need the Pain that Comes with More Saving
We Need the Pain that Comes with More Saving The endgame of monetary side manipulations is upon us. Since 2008, central banks have done what they thought was needed to bring the markets back from the pain they experienced during the crash. The problem, of course, is that these Keynesians and Monetarists placed the high […]
Mr. MORE!
Mr. MORE! The Man with the Inflation Plan Proving beyond a shadow of doubt that Keynesian absurdity knows no bounds, Larry Summers has graced the FT – one of the West’s premier establishment propaganda mouthpieces advocating central economic planning as practiced by modern-day regulatory democracies – with yet another cringe-worthy editorial. Larry Summers – it […]
Time for Helicopter Money?
Time for Helicopter Money? WASHINGTON, DC – “Out of ammo?” The Economist recently asked of monetary policymakers. Stephen Roach has called the move by major central banks – including the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Sweden – to negative real (and, in some cases, even nominal) interest rates a “futile” effort that merely sets […]
Downtrend In the Growth Rate of Money Supply Poses a Threat to Bubble Activities
DOWNTREND IN THE GROWTH RATE OF MONEY SUPPLY POSES A THREAT TO BUBBLE ACTIVITIES The yearly growth rate of real gross domestic product eased to 1.9% in Q4 from 2% in the previous quarter. Using our large scale econometric model we can suggest that the yearly growth rate of GDP could fall to 1.7% by Q3 before bouncing to […]
