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Tag Archives: recession
Barron’s Nonsensical Idea: Cut Rates Like Mad to Avoid Recession
Barron’s Nonsensical Idea: Cut Rates Like Mad to Avoid Recession Barron’s writer Matthew Klein proposes to stop the recession by cutting interest rates like it’s 1995. Klein says How to Avoid a Recession? Cut Interest Rates Like It’s 1995. One of the most reliable harbingers of U.S. recession—short-term interest rates on U.S. Treasury debt higher than […]
Major Recession Alarm Sounds
Major Recession Alarm Sounds Red, red, in every direction we turn today… red. The Dow Jones shed 800 scarlet points on the day. Percentage wise, both S&P and Nasdaq took similar whalings. The S&P lost 86 points. And the Nasdaq… 242. And so the market paid back all of yesterday’s trade-induced gains — with heaps […]
David Rosenberg: “These Are Truly Historic And Dangerous Times”
David Rosenberg: “These Are Truly Historic And Dangerous Times” We are living in dangerous times. Mostly, everyone I speak to lives in the here and now. They seem more interested in telling people how crazy cheap the stock market is and how crazy expensive the Treasury market is, rather than trying to look at the […]
If The Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates Now, It Will Be An Admission That A Recession Is Coming
If The Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates Now, It Will Be An Admission That A Recession Is Coming So there is a lot of buzz that the Federal Reserve is about to cut interest rates – and it might actually happen. We’ll see. But if it does happen, it will directly contradict the carefully crafted […]
Peter Schiff: We’re Heading for Recession No Matter What the Fed Does With Rates
Peter Schiff: We’re Heading for Recession No Matter What the Fed Does With Rates Jerome Powell took center stage last week and the Federal Reserve chair didn’t do anything to dampen expectations of a rate cut. His comments sent both stocks and gold higher. Peter Schiff recently appeared on RT Boom Bust with University of Amherst economics […]
Bizarro World: The Herd Has Truly Gone MadYou’re not crazy. The world we now live in is
Bizarro World: The Herd Has Truly Gone MadYou’re not crazy. The world we now live in is Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one. ~ Charles Mackay (1841) Like me, you may often […]
Trying To Prevent Recessions Leads To Even Worse Recessions
Trying To Prevent Recessions Leads To Even Worse Recessions Deutsche Bank strategists Jim Reid and Craig Nicol wrote a report this week that echos what I and other Austrian School economists have been saying for many years: actions taken by governments and central banks to extend business cycles and prevent recessions lead to even more severe recessions […]
Waiting For The Black Swan
Waiting For The Black Swan War with Iran would be the beginning of the end Two more tankers were attacked near the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday morning (6/13/19) in the Gulf of Oman, and if hostilities advance we could be facing a ‘black swan’ event. One that changes everything, and divides the world into […]
Recession Already in Place, Watch Out – John Williams
Recession Already in Place, Watch Out – John Williams You might be wondering why the Trump Administration is calling for rate cuts and money printing with all the good news about the economy. Economist John Williams of ShadowStats.com knows why and contends, “We have a recession in place. It’s just a matter of playing out […]
Wealth Bubble Leaves U.S. Economy in Uncharted Territory
Wealth Bubble Leaves U.S. Economy in Uncharted Territory There have been numerous signs that the U.S. is likely to go through another major recession at some point. And regardless of when or if a recession happens, it won’t change the fact that the U.S. economy is already in hot water. At MarketWatch, the “hot water” is explained in […]
List of 24 Points Pressing Hard toward Recession
List of 24 Points Pressing Hard toward Recession The US stock market is slightly overbought (which is not a positive in terms of head room for more of a rally). It’s massively built up on debt that is now more expensive to maintain and/or obtain. The Fed is still rapidly tightening money supply and says […]
Japanified World Ahead
Japanified World Ahead Losing DecadesToo Much, Too FastA $10 Trillion Federal Reserve Balance SheetMastering Private MarketsLiving on Puerto Rico Time Regular readers may have noticed me slowly losing confidence in the economy. Your impression is correct and there’s a good reason for it, as I will explain today. The facts have changed so my conclusions […]
Zombified Economy: What Will the Next Recession Look Like?
Zombified Economy: What Will the Next Recession Look Like? The short answer is nothing like the last. If you search for “next recession” numerous ideas pop up. Many believe there will not be a recession soon. Condition Comparison Conditions are radically different than in 2007 and 2000. The Fed re-blew a housing price bubble but […]
Just Before The Great Recession, Mountains Of Unsold Goods Piled Up In U.S. Warehouses – And Now It Is Happening Again
Just Before The Great Recession, Mountains Of Unsold Goods Piled Up In U.S. Warehouses – And Now It Is Happening Again When economic conditions initially begin to slow down, businesses continue to order goods like they normally would but those goods don’t sell as quickly as they previously did. As a result, inventory levels begin […]
The Capitulation of Jerome Powell and the Fed
The Capitulation of Jerome Powell and the Fed This past week, on March 20, 2019, Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell announced the US central bank would not raise interest rates in 2019. The Fed’s benchmark rate, called the Fed Funds rate, is thus frozen at 2.375% for the foreseeable future, i.e. leaving the central bank […]
