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Coffee Sellers Are Not Fundamentally Different From Banks
COFFEE SELLERS ARE NOT FUNDAMENTALLY DIFFERENT FROM BANKS With the 2007-8 financial crisis came a splendid alphabetical soup of central bank interventions to stimulate financial markets, lower interest rates, provide astonishing amounts of liquidity to banks and, allegedly, prevent another Great Depression. Likening the failure of big banks to falling elephants crushing even the smallest grass, […]
Subprime Rises: Credit Card Delinquencies Blow Through Financial-Crisis Peak at the 4,705 Smaller US Banks
Subprime Rises: Credit Card Delinquencies Blow Through Financial-Crisis Peak at the 4,705 Smaller US Banks So what’s going on here? In the third quarter, the “delinquency rate” on credit-card loan balances at commercial banks other than the largest 100 banks – so the delinquency rate at the 4,705 smaller banks in the US – spiked […]
Does the Market Need a Heimlich Maneuver?
Does the Market Need a Heimlich Maneuver? For all we know, the panic selling is Wall Street’s way of forcing the Fed’s hand: stop with the rates increases already or Mr. Market expires. Markets everywhere are gagging on something: they’re sagging, crashing, imploding, blowing up, dropping and generally exhibiting signs of distress. Does the market […]
Mad World
MAD WORLD And I find it kinda funny, I find it kinda sad The dreams in which I’m dying are the best I’ve ever had I find it hard to tell you, I find it hard to take When people run in circles it’s a very very Mad world, mad world The haunting Gary Jules […]
The Intolerable Scourge of Fake Capitalism
The Intolerable Scourge of Fake Capitalism Investment Grade Junk All is now bustle and hubbub in the late months of the year. This goes for the stock market too. If you recall, on September 22nd the S&P 500 hit an all-time high of 2,940. This was nearly 100 points above the prior high of 2,847, which […]
The Primacy Of Income
The Primacy Of Income The Era Of Gains is over Ever since the central banks became serial bubble blowers twenty years ago, household wealth has mostly been driven by asset price inflation: But this has been a quixotic pursuit. Created by pulling tomorrow’s prosperity into today, these asset price bubbles are unsustainable, and invariably suffer […]
The Coming Monetary Crisis
The Coming Monetary Crisis QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, you said that next year, interest expenditure will most likely exceed military. Is this how the monetary crisis begins to unfold? WR ANSWER: The entire problem with this Quantitative Easing has been the plain fact that the government is the biggest debtor. This is the same model around […]
How US Oil Booms & Busts Hit Industrial Production
How US Oil Booms & Busts Hit Industrial Production Fueled by cheap money and by dashed hopes of high oil prices. Industrial production in October rose 4.1% from a year ago, the Fed Board of Governors reported this morning. This was in the upper portion of the range since 2010. It was powered in part […]
Mortgage Rates May Hit 6% Sooner, as Fed Sheds Mortgage-Backed Securities, But What Will that Do to Housing Bubble 2?
Mortgage Rates May Hit 6% Sooner, as Fed Sheds Mortgage-Backed Securities, But What Will that Do to Housing Bubble 2? Mortgage rates are climbing faster than the 10-year Treasury yield. The average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($453,100 or less) and a 20% down-payment rose to 5.17% for the latest […]
US Household Debt Hits Record $13.5 Trillion As Delinquencies Hit 6 Year High
US Household Debt Hits Record $13.5 Trillion As Delinquencies Hit 6 Year High Total household debt hit a new record high, rising by $219 billion (1.6%) to $13.512 trillion in Q3 of 2018, according to the NY Fed’s latest household debt report, the biggest jump since 2016. It was also the 17th consecutive quarter with […]
Inflation Surges In October; Media Blames Gas Prices
Inflation Surges In October; Media Blames Gas Prices A key measurement of inflation, The Consumer Price Index, rose 2.5% in October from a year earlier. The inflation was linked to rising gas prices by the media, but there’s more to it than just the cost of fuel. Rising inflation is actually also likely tied to […]
The Fed Will Continue Tightening Until Everything Breaks
The Fed Will Continue Tightening Until Everything Breaks Around three years ago, in September 2015, I wrote an article titled ‘The Real Reasons Why The Fed Will Hike Interest Rates‘ in which I predicted that the Federal Reserve, in the face of criticism, would soon pursue a program of interest rate hikes into economic weakness. […]
Steen Jakobsen: The Four Horsemen Portend A Painful Reckoning
Steen Jakobsen: The Four Horsemen Portend A Painful Reckoning Even the US is now ‘swimming naked’ Steen Jacobsen, Chief Economist and Chief Investment Officer of Saxo Bank sees economic slowdown ahead. Specifically, his “Four Horseman” indicators: the drivers of economic growth, are all flashing red. Jacobsen believes that the central banks will continue their liquidity […]
Foundation and Empire
Foundation and Empire Thomas Cole, “The Consummation of Empire” (1836) Every vice of the Empire has been repeated in the Foundation. Inertia! Our ruling class knows one law; no change. Despotism! They know one rule; force. Maldistribution! They know one desire; to hold what is theirs. That quote is the narrative crux of Isaac Asimov’s […]
As Short-Term Rates Hit Levels Not Seen Since 2008 – Trillions Are At Risk
As Short-Term Rates Hit Levels Not Seen Since 2008 – Trillions Are At Risk Readers know that I haven’t shied away from stressing over the Federal Reserve’s tightening. As a firm believer in the Austrian Business Cycle Theory – first drafted by Ludwig Von Mises in early 1900’s – I believe that artificially moving interest […]
