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The U.S. And EU Will Collapse Regardless Of Economic ‘Contagion’

The U.S. And EU Will Collapse Regardless Of Economic ‘Contagion’ In order to understand what is really going on around the globe in terms of the collapsing economy, we must set aside false mainstream versions of reality. When it comes to the EU and its current fiscal turmoil, it is very important to, in some […]

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Collapse Part 3: No Institutional Path to Contraction

Collapse Part 3: No Institutional Path to Contraction  Collapse is not an event, it is a process. One poorly understood source of collapse is the lack of pathways to contraction and a reduction of complexity/cost. The only pathway that is clearly marked is the one to expansion–of production, debt, credit, government, income, benefits, costs and complexity: […]

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Collapse, Part 2: The Nine Dynamics of Decay

Collapse, Part 2: The Nine Dynamics of Decay  Rome didn’t fall so much as erode away. That’s the template for collapse. While collapse may be sudden, the decay that generated the collapse had been rotting away the foundation for years or decades. In distilling the vast literature on collapse into nine dynamics, I am drawing upon […]

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Pop goes the Bubble

Pop goes the Bubble Running a fundraiser (which, by the way, has been a great success—thank you all very much!) has prompted me to think about money more deeply than I normally do. I am no financial expert, and I certainly can’t give you investment advice, but when I figure something out for myself, it […]

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“It’s Time To Hold Physical Cash”, Fidelity Manager Warns Ahead Of “Systemic Event”

“It’s Time To Hold Physical Cash”, Fidelity Manager Warns Ahead Of “Systemic Event” As Jamie Dimon recently noted while discussing the perils of illiquid fixed income markets, the statistics around “tail events” can no longer be trusted. In other words, 6, 7, or 8 standard deviation moves that in theory should only happen once every two or […]

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Collapse, Part 1: Greece

Collapse, Part 1: Greece When systems are broke and broken, collapse is the only way forward. The theme this week is collapse. It’s a big, complex topic because there are as many types of collapse as there are systems. Some systems appear stable on the surface but collapse suddenly; others visibly decay for decades before finally […]

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UK Government-backed scientific model flags risk of civilisation’s collapse by 2040

UK Government-backed scientific model flags risk of civilisation’s collapse by 2040 New scientific models supported by the British government’s Foreign Office show that if we don’t change course, in less than three decades industrial civilisation will essentially collapse due to catastrophic food shortages, triggered by a combination of climate change, water scarcity, energy crisis, and […]

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The Era of Dissolution

The Era of Dissolution The last of the five phases of the collapse process we’ve been discussing here in recent posts is the era of dissolution. (For those that haven’t been keeping track, the first four are the eras of pretense, impact, response, and breakdown). I suppose you could call the era of dissolution the […]

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The Era of Breakdown

The Era of Breakdown The fourth of the stages in the sequence of collapse we’ve been discussing is the era of breakdown. (For those who haven’t been keeping track, the first three phases are the eras of pretense, impact, and response; the final phase, which we’ll be discussing next week, is the era of dissolution.) […]

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Kondratiev Goes Surfing

Kondratiev Goes Surfing “Excursions from the comfort of the normal to the uncertainty of the new typically happen brutally and violently.” We read recently in aSouthern California newspaper that climate change may wreck the shape and direction of waves that make for some of the world’s best surfing beaches. We wondered if it might have a […]

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The Era of Response

The Era of Response The third stage of the process of collapse, following what I’ve called the eras of pretense and impact, is the era of response. It’s easy to misunderstand what this involves, because both of the previous eras have their own kinds of response to whatever is driving the collapse; it’s just that […]

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‘Titanic’ Global Economy May “Collapse” Warn HSBC – Gold Is Lifeboat

‘Titanic’ Global Economy May “Collapse” Warn HSBC – Gold Is Lifeboat -“The world economy is like an ocean liner without lifeboats …” – HSBC – Four areas of high risk identified by HSBC – Risk of stock market crash – Pension funds and insurers may not meet obligations – Chinese recession may drag U.S. into […]

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The Era of Impact

The Era of Impact Of all the wistful superstitions that cluster around the concept of the future in contemporary popular culture, the most enduring has to be the notion that somehow, sooner or later, something will happen to shake the majority out of its complacency and get it to take seriously the crisis of our […]

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Urban Survival Skills That Will Keep You Alive

Urban Survival Skills That Will Keep You Alive When the subject of Survival comes up in conversation, what do you think of? I am sure context plays a big part in the answer to that question, but for me personally it used to always conjure up the shipwrecked on a deserted island idea of survival. […]

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The Era of Pretense

The Era of Pretense I’ve mentioned in previous posts here on The Archdruid Report the educational value of the comments I receive from readers in the wake of each week’s essay. My post two weeks ago on the death of the internet was unusually productive along those lines.  One of the comments I got in response to that […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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