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What Caused the Recession of 2019-2021?

What Caused the Recession of 2019-2021? The banquet of consequences is now being served, but the good seats have all been taken.As I discussed in We’re Overdue for a Sell-Everything/No-Fed-Rescue Recession, recessions have a proximate cause and a structural cause. The proximate cause is often a spike in energy costs (1973, 1990) or a financial crisis triggered […]

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Fed Warns Dollar “Might Not Retain Its Dominance Forever”

Fed Warns Dollar “Might Not Retain Its Dominance Forever” When the TBAC published the minutes to its quarterly refunding decision two weeks ago, the most interesting part of the discussion was the “unique challenges” faced by the Treasury over the medium term, especially the possibility of significant financing gap over next 10 years amounting to over $12 […]

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Reason #437 to own gold: The Fed wants Negative Interest Rates

Reason #437 to own gold: The Fed wants Negative Interest Rates And just like that, it seems we’re headed back to quantitative easing… After cutting interest rates to nearly zero following the 2008 crisis, the Federal Reserve starting raising rates near the end of 2015 (from 0.25% to 2.5% today). Following the most recent hike […]

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Rant Alert

Rant Alert Warning. Rant Alert: The global central bank easy money experiment has failed and it is past time that central bankers stopped bullshitting us and just admitted it. Europe is about to enter a recession and rates are still negative, the US Fed just tried to reduce its balance sheet with the greatest economic […]

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For the First Time Since 2007, Central Banks Are Net DRAINING Liquidity

For the First Time Since 2007, Central Banks Are Net DRAINING Liquidity Yesterday was a wake up call for the bulls. Unfortunately it’s only going to get worse. The fact is that no matter what verbal interventions Central Banks or the political elite issue, liquidity is now rapidly leaving the financial system. The Fed continues […]

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Why Monetary Easing Will Fail

WHY MONETARY EASING WILL FAIL The major economies have slowed suddenly in the last two or three months, prompting a change of tack in the monetary policies of central banks. The same old tired, failing inflationist responses are being lined up, despite the evidence that monetary easing has never stopped a credit crisis developing. This […]

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The next recession could force the Fed to cut interest rates into negative territory. Here’s what that means, and how it could affect you.

The next recession could force the Fed to cut interest rates into negative territory. Here’s what that means, and how it could affect you. The San Francisco Federal Reserve recently published a paper indicating that an unprecedented policy step, if adopted, would have helped the economy recover more quickly from the most recent financial crisis.  […]

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Peter Schiff: This Is the Beginning of the End (Video)

Peter Schiff: This Is the Beginning of the End (Video) During his keynote speech at the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference, Peter Schiff said we are at the beginning of the end. The Fed appears to have paused interest rate hikes in order to save the stock market. The markets have reacted positively and a lot of analysts […]

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Weekly Commentary: No Mystery

Weekly Commentary: No Mystery January 30 – Financial Times (Sam Fleming): “After putting traders on notice six weeks ago to expect further increases in US interest rates in 2019, the Federal Reserve… executed one of its sharpest U-turns in recent memory. Leaving rates unchanged at 2.25-2.5%, Jay Powell, Fed chairman, unveiled new language that opened […]

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An Obituary: Fred Credibility

An Obituary: Fred Credibility As with many terminal patients the initial hope is that aggressive treatment would work and cure the patient. But when the one time emergency round of drugs didn’t cure the patient additional drugs were needed and turned the patient into a hopeless junkie. After multiple injections a sense of dread was […]

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Global Collapse Accelerating Buy Gold Now – Chris Martenson

Global Collapse Accelerating Buy Gold Now – Chris Martenson By Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com Futurist and economic researcher Chris Martenson says a collapse is “a process, not an event.” Martenson contends the long awaited global collapse, on many fronts, has not only started, but is picking up speed. Martenson says, “Our prediction at PeakProsperity.com is these collapse […]

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Fed Will Crash Markets & Dollar, Gold Protects – John Williams

Fed Will Crash Markets & Dollar, Gold Protects – John Williams Economist John Williams warns the Federal Reserve has painted itself into a very tight no win corner. No matter what the Fed does with rates it’s going to be a disaster. Williams explains, “You had some very heavy selling towards the end of the […]

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Fire the Fed?

Fire the Fed? President Trump’s frustration with the Federal Reserve’s (minuscule) interest rate increases that he blames for the downturn in the stock market has reportedly led him to inquire if he has the authority to remove Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Chairman Powell has stated that he would not comply with a presidential request for […]

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“Real” Inflation Expected to Rise – Hedge Your Bets With Gold

“Real” Inflation Expected to Rise – Hedge Your Bets With Gold Some are under the impression that gold’s performance in the U.S. is not as good as it should be, considering we had a rather uncertain year last year. In the U.S., even economists who favor the dollar gold price might be blind to an […]

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The Arrival of the Credit Crisis

THE ARRIVAL OF THE CREDIT CRISIS Those of us who closely follow the credit cycle should not be surprised by the current slide in equity markets. It was going to happen anyway. The timing had recently become apparent as well, and in early August I was able to write the following: “The timing for the […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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