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This Is How the “Everything Bubble” Will End
This Is How the “Everything Bubble” Will End Subscribe to International Man FacebookTwitterGoogle+ I think there’s a very high chance of a stock market crash of historic proportions before the end of Trump’s first term. That’s because the Federal Reserve’s current rate-hiking cycle, which started in 2015, is set to pop “the everything bubble.” I’ll […]
The Federal Punch Bowl Removal Agency
The Federal Punch Bowl Removal Agency US Money Supply and Credit Growth Continue to Slow Down Not to belabor the obvious too much, but in light of the recent sharp rebound, the stock market “panic window” is almost certainly closed for this year.* It was interesting that an admission by Mr. Powell that the central […]
Don’t Get Distracted By The Trump/Fed Soap Opera – The Crash Will Continue
Don’t Get Distracted By The Trump/Fed Soap Opera – The Crash Will Continue At the beginning of 2018 I wrote extensively on what was likely to happen under the administration of Jerome Powell, the new Federal Reserve Chairman. In my article ‘New Fed Chairman Will Trigger A Historic Stock Market Crash In 2018‘, published in […]
The Fed Is Tightening More Than It Realizes
The Fed Is Tightening More Than It Realizes Before the 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers, the Fed’s balance sheet stood at $925 billion—mostly U.S. Treasury securities. After 59 months of asset purchases to push down longer-term interest rates, it had ballooned to a peak of $4.5 trillion, including nearly $1.8 trillion in mortgage securities, in […]
Bank Of Canada To Start Buying Mortgage Bonds As Canadian Housing Market Cools
Bank Of Canada To Start Buying Mortgage Bonds As Canadian Housing Market Cools Ten years ago this week, the Federal Reserve announced it would start buying agency MBS. Asset purchases are now arguably a standard non-standard monetary policy tool, as all three major central banks have since embarked in some form of asset purchases, and […]
How a Fragile Euro May Not Survive the Next Crisis
How a Fragile Euro May Not Survive the Next Crisis A big US monetary inflation bang brought the euro into existence. Here’s a prediction: It’s death will occur in response to a different type of US monetary bang — the sudden emergence of a “deflationary interlude.” And this could come sooner than many expect. The […]
Holiday Doings and Undoings
Holiday Doings and Undoings Somehow I doubt that this Christmas will win the Bing Crosby star of approval. Rather, we see the financial markets breaking under the strain of sustained institutionalized fraud, and the social fabric tearing from persistent systemic political dishonesty. It adds up to a nation that can’t navigate through reality, a nation […]
Rates on Their Way to 10-Year High After Hawkish Fed’s Recent Meeting
Rates on Their Way to 10-Year High After Hawkish Fed’s Recent Meeting Round and round we go, where the hawkish Fed stops, nobody knows… There was a bit of tension in the markets last week. This tension stemmed from a prediction that the federal funds rate would be well on its way to a decade […]
Coffee Sellers Are Not Fundamentally Different From Banks
COFFEE SELLERS ARE NOT FUNDAMENTALLY DIFFERENT FROM BANKS With the 2007-8 financial crisis came a splendid alphabetical soup of central bank interventions to stimulate financial markets, lower interest rates, provide astonishing amounts of liquidity to banks and, allegedly, prevent another Great Depression. Likening the failure of big banks to falling elephants crushing even the smallest grass, […]
Subprime Rises: Credit Card Delinquencies Blow Through Financial-Crisis Peak at the 4,705 Smaller US Banks
Subprime Rises: Credit Card Delinquencies Blow Through Financial-Crisis Peak at the 4,705 Smaller US Banks So what’s going on here? In the third quarter, the “delinquency rate” on credit-card loan balances at commercial banks other than the largest 100 banks – so the delinquency rate at the 4,705 smaller banks in the US – spiked […]
Does the Market Need a Heimlich Maneuver?
Does the Market Need a Heimlich Maneuver? For all we know, the panic selling is Wall Street’s way of forcing the Fed’s hand: stop with the rates increases already or Mr. Market expires. Markets everywhere are gagging on something: they’re sagging, crashing, imploding, blowing up, dropping and generally exhibiting signs of distress. Does the market […]
The Intolerable Scourge of Fake Capitalism
The Intolerable Scourge of Fake Capitalism Investment Grade Junk All is now bustle and hubbub in the late months of the year. This goes for the stock market too. If you recall, on September 22nd the S&P 500 hit an all-time high of 2,940. This was nearly 100 points above the prior high of 2,847, which […]
The Coming Monetary Crisis
The Coming Monetary Crisis QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, you said that next year, interest expenditure will most likely exceed military. Is this how the monetary crisis begins to unfold? WR ANSWER: The entire problem with this Quantitative Easing has been the plain fact that the government is the biggest debtor. This is the same model around […]
How US Oil Booms & Busts Hit Industrial Production
How US Oil Booms & Busts Hit Industrial Production Fueled by cheap money and by dashed hopes of high oil prices. Industrial production in October rose 4.1% from a year ago, the Fed Board of Governors reported this morning. This was in the upper portion of the range since 2010. It was powered in part […]
Mortgage Rates May Hit 6% Sooner, as Fed Sheds Mortgage-Backed Securities, But What Will that Do to Housing Bubble 2?
Mortgage Rates May Hit 6% Sooner, as Fed Sheds Mortgage-Backed Securities, But What Will that Do to Housing Bubble 2? Mortgage rates are climbing faster than the 10-year Treasury yield. The average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($453,100 or less) and a 20% down-payment rose to 5.17% for the latest […]
