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Tag Archives: monetary policy
Don’t Expect A Fed Bail Out: What Convexity Flows Mean For Repricing Of The “Fed Put”
Don’t Expect A Fed Bail Out: What Convexity Flows Mean For Repricing Of The “Fed Put” One of the major topics to emerge among financial professionals over the past week in the aftermath of the latest violent market move lower was whether the “Fed Put” would come into play, and at what level, and just […]
Weekly Commentary: “Whatever They Want” Coming Home to Roost
Weekly Commentary: “Whatever They Want” Coming Home to Roost Let’s begin with global. China’s yuan (CNY) traded to 6.9644 to the dollar in early-Friday trading, almost matching the low (vs. dollar) from December 2016 (6.9649). CNY is basically trading at lows going back to 2008 – and has neared the key psychological 7.0 level. CNY […]
Is it the Elections or Interest Rates?
Is it the Elections or Interest Rates? QUESTION: Dear Marty, Thanks for the continuous enlightening blogs about increasing interest rates and its effects on EM’s and others. Today on Bloomberg , they were discussing that the earlier 60:40 Equity bond correlation is breaking down and now it’s 100:0 i.e. both go up and down together. If […]
Swedish Central Bank Makes U-Turn on Cash as NIRP is Ending
Swedish Central Bank Makes U-Turn on Cash as NIRP is Ending Cash is less of a threat to central bank policies when interest rates rise above zero. Sweden’s Riksbank has become the first central bank in the 21st century to take concrete measures to ensure that cash does not disappear as a means of payment from […]
“The Central Bank Will Intervene”: PBOC Said To Sell Reserves If Yuan Drops Below 7.00
“The Central Bank Will Intervene”: PBOC Said To Sell Reserves If Yuan Drops Below 7.00 According to the latest data from China’s SAFE, net FX outflows from China picked up to US$21BN in September (vs. US$11BN in August) and the highest since mid-2017 with Goldman noting that “outflow might have increased moderately further in October, but […]
Kenny Polcari: Fed Can’t Stop Raising & Dow Could Drop 1,000 on Dems Winning Senate
Kenny Polcari: Fed Can’t Stop Raising & Dow Could Drop 1,000 on Dems Winning Senate My friend Kenny Polcari joins me again to talk about: 1. The recent volatility in the markets 2. Why he thinks the Fed must continue to raise rates 3. Why he thinks Democrats taking the Senate could lead to 1,000 […]
ECB To End QE In December, Will Keep Rates Unchanged “As Long As Necessary”
ECB To End QE In December, Will Keep Rates Unchanged “As Long As Necessary” In a statement that was a virtual replica from September, the ECB announced it was keeping its three key rates unchanged (main refinancing operations: 0.00%, marginal lending facility: 0.25%; deposit facility: -0.40%), that it will end its LSAP QE program at […]
Volcker Recalls Another Time the Fed Was in the President’s Crosshairs
Volcker Recalls Another Time the Fed Was in the President’s Crosshairs The central banker’s memoir recounts an awkward encounter with Ronald Reagan. Reagan and Volcker in the Oval Office in 1981. PHOTOGRAPHER: J. SCOTT APPLEWHITE/AP PHOTO Donald Trump’s repeated public criticism of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy seems extraordinary, but he isn’t the first president […]
Trump Blaming Fed for Next Market Crash – Dave Janda
Trump Blaming Fed for Next Market Crash – Dave Janda Radio host Dr. Dave Janda says everybody in Washington knows the next big crash is right around the corner. It’s been 10 years since the Fed reflated the last meltdown, and Dr. Janda says President Trump is already blaming the Federal Reserve for killing the […]
Opinion: Powell has lost his North Star, and the Fed is flying blind
Opinion: Powell has lost his North Star, and the Fed is flying blind The Fed risks raising interest rates too much as the compass spins wildly STAN HONDA/AFP/Getty ImagesStars appear to rotate around Polaris, the North Star, in this time exposure of the Kitt Peak National Observatory near Tucson, Ariz. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell […]
St Louis Fed Discloses More Free Money: A Carry Trade in Liquidity
St Louis Fed Discloses More Free Money: A Carry Trade in Liquidity Not only do banks earn free money on excess reserves, they can borrow money and make guaranteed free money on that. The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis discusses the Carry Trade in Liquidity. The IOER [interest on excess reserves] has been the […]
Ten Years After the Last Meltdown: Is Another One Around the Corner?
Ten Years After the Last Meltdown: Is Another One Around the Corner? September marked a decade since the bursting of the housing bubble, which was followed by the stock market meltdown and the government bailout of the big banks and Wall Street. Last week’s frantic stock market sell-off indicates the failure to learn the lesson […]
Choking On the Salt of Debt
Choking On the Salt of Debt Life After ZIRP Roughly three years ago, after traversing between Los Angeles and San Francisco via the expansive San Joaquin Valley, we penned the article, Salting the Economy to Death. At the time, the monetary order was approach peak ZIRP. Our boy ZIRP has passed away. Mr. 2.2% effective […]
Yes, Something Broke
Yes, Something Broke In this missive, we are just going to focus on the “WTF!” moment of this past week. In order to do this properly, I need to start with last week’s missive where we asked the question “Did Something Just Break?” In that article we addressed very specific concerns about interest rates and the problem they […]
Peter Schiff Explains “What Happens Next” In 47 Words
Peter Schiff Explains “What Happens Next” In 47 Words Outspoken critic of The Fed and one of the few that can see through the endless barrage of bullshit to how this really ends, has laid out in a tweet “what happens next”… Likely sequence of events: 1. Bear market; 2. Recession; 3. Deficits explode; 4. […]
