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Tag Archives: gdp
China Is A Monumental Economic Trainwreck—–The Evidence Is Mounting Rapidly
China Is A Monumental Economic Trainwreck—–The Evidence Is Mounting Rapidly How Fast is China Growing? Analyst estimates of Chinese growth keep getting lower and lower. Yet, those declining estimates have all been from a lofty level: From 10% to 9%, to 8% to 7.5%. China’s growth target for 2015 is 7.0%. Many question those growth […]
Currency Wars… Are Not Working
Currency Wars… Are Not Working While none of the current batch of currency-devaluing Central Bankers would admit that their policies are designed to weaken the currency, enhance competitiveness, and hail a new bright future of growth for their nation (by printing money), it is clear that is the chosen textbook-based path chosen. However, as the following […]
Why Is Per Capita Energy Consumption at Recession Levels After Six Years of Recovery?
Why Is Per Capita Energy Consumption at Recession Levels After Six Years of Recovery? Per capita energy consumption remains at recession levels. One way to verify rosy official data–GDP growth, low unemployment, etc.–is to compare it with data that is less easily gamed: for example, energy consumption.Those seeking a realistic snapshot of the Chinese economy […]
The One Chart You Need to Predict the Future
The One Chart You Need to Predict the Future We are witnessing a profound secular sea-change: the failure of expanding debt and leverage to lift the real economy of wages and household income. When push comes to shove, you only need one chart to predict the future: debt and wages ( credit and compensation). This […]
Global Debt Is MORE THAN TWICE AS BIG As the Entire World Economy … What Does It Mean?
Global Debt Is MORE THAN TWICE AS BIG As the Entire World Economy … What Does It Mean? The Guardian reports that global debt has grown by $57 trillion dollars – to $199 trillion dollars – since the 2008 financial crisis. How much is that? It’s a big number … but what does it actually mean? The Guardian notes that […]
Role of Wages of the Common Worker in Oil Prices, Collapse
Role of Wages of the Common Worker in Oil Prices, Collapse In their book Secular Cycles, Peter Turchin and Surgey Nefedof point out the important role falling wages of the common workers played in early collapses. I got to thinking that this might be an issue with our current situation as well, including the low level […]
Equity Valuations, Recessions and Stock Market Declines
Equity Valuations, Recessions and Stock Market Declines Click for a larger image Last week I had a fascinating conversation with Neile Wolfe, of Wells Fargo Advisors, LLC. Based on the underlying data in the chart above, Neile made some cogent observations about the historical relationships between equity valuations, recessions and market prices: High valuations […]
Briefing For A Descent Into Hell
Briefing For A Descent Into Hell Oh well, some are more equal than others. One day after Eurogroup head Dijsselbloem says France won’t get any more lenience … France Must Respect EU Budget Rules France must meet EU budget targets or risk damaging the bloc’s entire framework for policing countries’ spending plans, the head of […]
Global Cooling Alert: Brazil Headed For Worst Economy Since 1930-1931
Global Cooling Alert: Brazil Headed For Worst Economy Since 1930-1931 For all the debt crises, hyperinflation and boom-and-bust cycles Brazil’s economy has suffered in recent decades, the country hasn’t posted two consecutive years of contraction since the Great Depression. But if 2014’s fourth quarter was as bad as many economists think and their expectations for […]
This Is The Biggest Problem Facing The World Today: 9 Countries Have Debt-To-GDP Over 300%
This Is The Biggest Problem Facing The World Today: 9 Countries Have Debt-To-GDP Over 300% If anyone has stopped to ask just why global central banks are in such a rush to create inflation (but only controlled inflation, not runaway hyperinflation… of course when they fail with the “controlled” part the money paradrop is only […]
Whatever Became of Economists and the American economy
Whatever Became of Economists and the American economy According to the official economic fairy tale, the US economy has been in recovery since June 2009. This fairy tale supports America’s image as the safe haven, an image that keeps the dollar up, the stock market up, and interest rates down. It is an image that […]
If Oil Prices Are Surprising, Then That Can Only Mean Demand
If Oil Prices Are Surprising, Then That Can Only Mean Demand Crude oil futures have been quite volatile of late, particularly in the front months where even the slightest changes in expectations of whatever factor (rig counts, CEO comments, etc.) send WTI surging or tumbling by turn. Despite that, however, the outer years on the […]
This Week In Energy: ExxonMobil On The Hunt
This Week In Energy: ExxonMobil On The Hunt Oil prices continued to pick up steam for the week ending on February 13. Brent crude traded above $60 per barrel for the first time in 2015, a psychological threshold that caught the markets by surprise and points to a potential price rebound quicker than many had […]
What ‘Escape Velocity’? December Business Sales And Inventories Repudiate The Money Printers’ Myth
What ‘Escape Velocity’? December Business Sales And Inventories Repudiate The Money Printers’ Myth It is plain as day that massive central bank money printing and perpetual ZIRP do not rejuvenate the main street economy under conditions of “peak debt”. And the reason is so obvious that only Keynesian economists can’t grasp it. To wit, if the balance […]
Empire of Lies
Empire of Lies We are living in an era where a single statement of truth will drive a pin into the global bubble of phantom assets and debts, and the lies spewed to justify those bubbles. How many nations are blessed with political and financial leaders who routinely state the unvarnished truth in public? Only […]
