This Week In Energy: ExxonMobil On The Hunt
Oil prices continued to pick up steam for the week ending on February 13. Brent crude traded above $60 per barrel for the first time in 2015, a psychological threshold that caught the markets by surprise and points to a potential price rebound quicker than many had previously thought.
The price surge is underpinned by a continued pull back by the industry. There were also several catalysts this week that pushed oil higher. Apache Corporation (NYSE: APA) reported its fourth quarter earnings this week, and announced a significant draw down in its drilling plans for the year. One of the biggest drillers in Texas, and in the Permian basin in particular, Apache plans on reducing its drilling fleet by 70%, and revised its estimated production growth down to essentially zero.
Also, Royal Dutch Shell’s (NYSE: RDS.A) CEO Ben van Beurden warned investorsabout the potential for prices to spike in the next two years or so. Echoing prior comments from OPEC officials, van Buerden said that severe cutbacks in investment and drilling could result in a supply shortage, not necessarily in 2015, but in the coming years.
Several other background indicators supported oil prices, including positive news coming out of Europe. German GDP figures beat estimates, reducing fears of a European-wide recession. The markets also raised hopes that a resolution to the Greek debt situation would be less intractable than previously thought. Greek officials are meeting with international creditors on February 13. Moreover, the U.S. dollar weakened a bit this week. Retail sales in the U.S. disappointed, falling 0.8% in January from a month earlier. That contributed to a 1% decline in the dollar index. Since oil is priced in U.S. dollars, the depreciation helped push up oil prices.
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