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For Heaven’s Sake: Hedge!

For Heaven’s Sake: Hedge! If you’re not positioned defensively by now, you’re nuts Q: How do you make a small fortune on Wall Street? A: Start with a large fortune. ~ old investing adage Last fall, I wrote an article titled Defying Gravity that warned of the absurd price levels that stocks and bonds had risen to. […]

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When the Herd Turns

When the Herd Turns Once market participants realize the top is in and the only possible result from here on is a loss, the herd will turn and follow the leaders who are selling. A funny thing happens when the stock market herd turns–all the usual central bank tricks no longer push the markets higher. […]

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The Financial Markets Now Control Everything

The Financial Markets Now Control Everything The entire economic and political structure is now dependent in one way or another on the continued expansion of financial markets. The financial markets don’t just dominate the economy–they now control everything. In 1999, the BBC broadcast a 4-part documentary by Adam Curtis, The Mayfair Set ( Episode 1: “Who Pays Wins” 58 minutes), […]

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Record Financial Engineering Will Goose Stocks: Goldman

Record Financial Engineering Will Goose Stocks: Goldman GE, in order to paper over a net loss of $13.6 billion and declining revenues in the first quarter, said on April 10 that it would buy back $50 billion of its own shares. That’s on top of the $10.8 billion in actual buybacks last year. The announcement was […]

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When Exactly Will the Fed Launch QE4?

When Exactly Will the Fed Launch QE4? Money From Nowhere On Friday, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed at record highs. It’s the first time both indexes have done so since December 31, 1999. Why such optimism? High profits, you say. But where do profits come from? Households have less money to spend than […]

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Fitch Downgrades Japan To A From A+

Fitch Downgrades Japan To A From A+ With the USDJPY’s ascent to 125, 150 and higher having seemingly stalled just under 120, with concerns that the BOJ may not monetize more than 100% of its net debt issuance suddenly surfacing, the BOJ and the Nikkei would take any help they could get. They got just […]

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SoT Ep 17 – Bix Weir: Gold, Silver And The End Game

SoT Ep 17 – Bix Weir: Gold, Silver And The End Game  When the bond market collapses it will make the stock market crash look like a day at the beach. – Bix Weir, Shadow of Truth How much gold does China’s Central Bank/Government currently own? How much will they admit to owning when they update […]

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No Major Country Is More Exposed to Banks than Australia

No Major Country Is More Exposed to Banks than Australia There are six large (with a market cap of over AUD50 billion) listed companies in Australia. The biggest four are banks, the fifth is BHP, one of the world’s largest mining companies. The sixth is the world’s most over-priced Telco, Telstra. The table below puts […]

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It’s Just a Question of Whose Capital Will Be Destroyed

It’s Just a Question of Whose Capital Will Be Destroyed The amount of money investors have plowed into startups has reached record highs. In 2014, investors of all kinds, from angels and VCs to big asset managers, invested $48.35 billion in startups, “only” the third highest year on record, but the highest since the crazy […]

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10 Charts Which Show We Are Much Worse Off Than Just Before The Last Economic Crisis

10 Charts Which Show We Are Much Worse Off Than Just Before The Last Economic Crisis If you believe that ignorance is bliss, you might not want to read this article.  I am going to dispel the notion that there has been any sort of “economic recovery”, and I am going to show that we […]

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What Happens to the Stock Market if the U.S. Follows the World into Recession?

What Happens to the Stock Market if the U.S. Follows the World into Recession? History is rather unkind to blind faith in central banks, just as the rising U.S. dollar and stagnant sales are being very unkind to corporate profits. The quasi-religious faith that central banks can push stock markets ever higher regardless of real-world […]

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At the Fed in 2009, Rolling Dice in a Crisis

At the Fed in 2009, Rolling Dice in a Crisis Ben Bernanke and his colleagues at the Federal Reserve Board have earned accolades from all corners for the extraordinary actions they took to rescue the financial system in 2009. While 2008 was the Fed’s annus horribilis, exposing how unaware the central bank had been of the risks building […]

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Equity Valuations, Recessions and Stock Market Declines

    Equity Valuations, Recessions and Stock Market Declines Click for a larger image Last week I had a fascinating conversation with Neile Wolfe, of Wells Fargo Advisors, LLC. Based on the underlying data in the chart above, Neile made some cogent observations about the historical relationships between equity valuations, recessions and market prices: High valuations […]

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Ex-Plunge Protection Team Whistleblower: “Governments Control Markets; There Is No Price Discovery Anymore”

Ex-Plunge Protection Team Whistleblower: “Governments Control Markets; There Is No Price Discovery Anymore” One year after the great stock market crash in 1987, US President Ronald Reagan launched the “Working Group on Financial Markets.” Conspiracy theorists believe, however, that the real task of this committee is to protect against a renewed slump in the stock […]

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Federal Reserve Insider Alan Greenspan Warns: There Will Be a “Significant Market Event… Something Big Is Going To Happen”

Federal Reserve Insider Alan Greenspan Warns: There Will Be a “Significant Market Event… Something Big Is Going To Happen” With the Federal Reserve printing trillions upon trillions of dollars to keep the economic system afloat, many investors and financial pundits have surmised that the fundamental economic problems facing the United States during the crash of […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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