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Negative Interest Rates Are Extremely Toxic

Negative Interest Rates Are Extremely Toxic Jim Bianco, President of Bianco Research, cautions against evermore unconventional monetary policy interventions. He fears that the global slowdown is going to get worse and he spots opportunities in long-term bonds and gold. The global economy is on the brink: Europe is headed for recession, Japan as well and […]

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In Ominous Warning, Dalio Says The Current Period Is Just Like 1935-1945

In Ominous Warning, Dalio Says The Current Period Is Just Like 1935-1945 Something has dramatically changed in the establishment’s view of central banking… and of the future. As we reported earlier this week, recently we have observed a surprising spike in criticism of central banks by establishment figures, in some cases central bankers themselves, most […]

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The Mechanics of Absurdity

The Mechanics of Absurdity Over the past few decades, the central banks, including the Federal Reserve (Fed), have relied increasingly on interest rates to help modify economic growth. Interest rate management is their tool of choice because it can be effective and because central banks regulate the supply of money, which directly effects the cost to borrow […]

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Dead Meat in Jackson Hole

Dead Meat in Jackson Hole The Pointlessness of Negative Yields If there are any virtues of debt instruments with negative yields we have yet to realize them. Certainly, we understand that as bond yields fall, bond prices rise, and bond investors are rewarded with capital appreciation. But when capital is appreciating as a consequence of negative yields, […]

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BofA: Central Banks Are Creating Bubbles Instead Of Helping The Economy; The Result Will Be A Disaster

BofA: Central Banks Are Creating Bubbles Instead Of Helping The Economy; The Result Will Be A Disaster In recent weeks we have seen a surprising spike in criticism of central banks by establishment figures, in some cases central bankers themselves, most notably Mark Carney who last Friday remarkably admitted that very low interest rates tend “to coincide […]

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Mr. President, This Is How To Get The Fed To Launch Quantitative Easing

Mr. President, This Is How To Get The Fed To Launch Quantitative Easing Yesterday, after countless demands that the Fed cut interest rates, Trump finally made his first, long anticipated formal demand that the Fed should pursue “some quantitative easing“: ✔ · Aug 19, 2019 Our Economy is very strong, despite the horrendous lack of vision by […]

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Are Recessions Inevitable?

Are Recessions Inevitable? Stocks fell last week following news that the yield curve on Treasury notes had inverted. This means that a short-term Treasury note was paying higher interest rates than long-term Treasury note. An inverted yield curve is widely seen as a sign of an impending recession. Some economic commentators reacted to the inverted […]

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Silver prices with explosive upside

Silver prices with explosive upside  Silver prices have lagged gold prices since 2017 which has pushed the gold-to-silver ratio close to the all-time high. Silver prices are also significantly below what is predicted by our pricing model. We think that the reasons for this subdued performance are transitory and that silver will outperform gold again […]

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Economic Storm Trump Will be Blamed For Because of Bad Advisers

Economic Storm Trump Will be Blamed For Because of Bad Advisers  There is a very Dark Cloud hovering over the world economy and at the center of this cloud lies not just Europe, but Germany – the strongest economy holding up all of Europe. The German manufacturing sector is in freefall. Trump will be blamed […]

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This Is The Same Pattern The Fed Followed Before The Great Depression

This Is The Same Pattern The Fed Followed Before The Great Depression There is immense confusion surrounding July’s Federal Reserve meeting and the rather insane aftermath that has been spurred on in the trade war. The Fed’s latest rate decision of a mere .25 bps cut was seen as “disappointing”, this was then followed by […]

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Powell Rate Cut Unleashes Volatility Tsunami

Powell Rate Cut Unleashes Volatility Tsunami It wasn’t supposed to work this way. In the rate cut playbook envisioned by Trump, Powell’s July 31st rate cut was supposed to send stocks higher while crushing the dollar. However, when the FOMC announce a “mid-cycle”, 25bps cut, the outcome was not only a surge in the dollar […]

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Can the Fed really Control the Economy?

Can the Fed really Control the Economy?  QUESTION: This whirligig talk of whether the Fed cuts rates by 25 or 50 basis points is carnival-level absurdity. Does the Fed have the “pretense of knowledge,” as F.A. Hayek, said, that they can regulate the economy like turning up or down the thermostat? I know you don’t agree […]

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Peter Schiff On Today’s Sell Off: The Fed Is “Lying”, Rates Are Going Back To 0%, Gold Is Going To $2,000

Peter Schiff On Today’s Sell Off: The Fed Is “Lying”, Rates Are Going Back To 0%, Gold Is Going To $2,000 On a day where it looks as though the Fed’s bullshit “magic potion” may finally be wearing off on the stock market, Peter Schiff joined Chris Irons on the Quoth the Raven Podcast to speak about today’s market […]

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If The Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates Now, It Will Be An Admission That A Recession Is Coming

If The Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates Now, It Will Be An Admission That A Recession Is Coming So there is a lot of buzz that the Federal Reserve is about to cut interest rates – and it might actually happen.  We’ll see.  But if it does happen, it will directly contradict the carefully crafted […]

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The Fed Should Hike Interest Rates, Not Cut Them

The Fed Should Hike Interest Rates, Not Cut Them In the runup to the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee meetings on July 30 and July 31, policy makers are debating the value of what would normally be considered unorthodox policy actions. The consequences of the Fed’s actions in the next week—the U.S. central bank is […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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