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Tag Archives: credit
The Great Fall Of China Started At Least 4 Years Ago
The Great Fall Of China Started At Least 4 Years Ago Looking through a bunch of numbers and graphs dealing with China recently, it occurred to us that perhaps we, and most others with us, may need to recalibrate our focus on what to emphasize amongst everything we read and hear, if we’re looking to […]
Weekly Commentary: Risk Off?
Weekly Commentary: Risk Off? The “Granddaddy of All Bubbles” thesis rests upon the view that the world is in the midst of the precarious grand finale of a multi-decade global Credit and financial Bubble. When a Bubble bursts, system reflation requires an even larger fresh new Bubble. This has repeatedly been the case going back […]
They’re coming for your cash
They’re coming for your cash It might sound like a conspiracy theory spun by right-wing crazies. But judging by the increasing desperation of governments to reboot the world economy, it just might happen. “It” is the recall or confiscation of cash, i.e., dollars, euros, pounds, etc., in physical form. And a key justification that those […]
The Bubble Finance Cycle: What Our Keynesian School Marm Doesn’t Get, Part 2
The Bubble Finance Cycle: What Our Keynesian School Marm Doesn’t Get, Part 2 In Part 1 of The Bubble Finance Cycle we demonstrated that a main street based wage and price spiral always proceeded recessions during the era of Lite Touch monetary policy (1951 to 1985). That happened because the Fed was perennially “behind the curve” and […]
Spend A Little, Live A Lot
Spend A Little, Live A Lot Most people want to live a life of extravagance but their meager paychecks often fall far short of reaching that happy place. As a result they are forced to borrow their way to their imagined happiness causing them great financial stress along the way. People have been sold on the […]
How the easy money boom ends
How the easy money boom ends Through the door there came familiar laughter I saw your face and heard you call my name Oh, my friend we’re older but no wiser For in our hearts the dreams are still the same Those were the days – “Those Were the Days” by Gene Raskin POITOU, France […]
A Stunning Admission From A BOE Central Banker: This Is What The Coming “Helicopter Money” Will Look Like
A Stunning Admission From A BOE Central Banker: This Is What The Coming “Helicopter Money” Will Look Like Back in early 2009, just around the time the Fed announced it would unleash QE1, we warned that any attempt to reflate the debt (a pathway which ultimately leads to hyperinflation as monetary paradrops are the only […]
The Global Test Most Will Fail: Surviving the Bust That Inevitably Follows a Boom
The Global Test Most Will Fail: Surviving the Bust That Inevitably Follows a Boom Now that virtually every nation is entering the bust phase, all are being tested. Booms powered by credit, new markets and speculation are followed by busts as night follows day. This creates a very difficult test for every nation-state facing the inevitable […]
The Yield Curve and GDP – a causal relationship?
The Yield Curve and GDP – a causal relationship? One of the most reliable indicators of an imminent recession through recent history has been the yield curve. Whenever longer dated rates falls below shorter dated ones, a recession is not far off. Some would even say that yield curve inversion, or backwardation, help cause the economic contraction. […]
Can the Fed Print Money?
Can the Fed Print Money? Every morning is the dawn of a new error – Anonymous It Can and it Does In light of the upcoming October Fed (non-)decision, we want to briefly revisit a subject that still appears to be causing some confusion. We most recently encountered this confusion again in a quarterly update by […]
“Bank Failures and Systemic Breakdowns”: Regulator Warns on Autos, Subprime, Commercial Real-Estate…
“Bank Failures and Systemic Breakdowns”: Regulator Warns on Autos, Subprime, Commercial Real-Estate… If you look at auto sales, which are flirting with all-time highs, and at commercial real-estate prices, which are way beyond all-time highs, and if you look at the loans, including subprime, that make it all happen, you’d think the US economy is […]
The End of the World Has Already Begun
The End of the World Has Already Begun Disappearing Growth Nothing much to report from the stock market yesterday. Investors are regaining their calm. A few weeks ago, it looked as though the end of the world had begun. We are talking, of course, about the world in which credit, stocks, and central bank reputations […]
Bubbles and Backlashes
Bubbles and Backlashes Image: trialsanderrors/Flickr CC. Financial markets have been turbulent as of late with no end in sight. A sagging global economy could overwhelm America’s recovery efforts with toxic effects on key climate change and clean energy initiatives now underway. The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to postpone an interest rate hike is but one reflection […]
