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Subprime Begins to Haunt Credit Card Balances
Subprime Begins to Haunt Credit Card Balances Delinquencies soar past Financial-Crisis peak at the ca. 5,000 smaller US banks, and these are the Good Times. What’s going on? The delinquency rate on credit-card loan balances at commercial banks other than the largest 100 – so at the nearly 5,000 smaller banks in the US – […]
Toxic Mix in Canada: Spiking Inflation, Variable-Rate Mortgages, and a Housing Bubble
Toxic Mix in Canada: Spiking Inflation, Variable-Rate Mortgages, and a Housing Bubble What will the Bank of Canada do? The Bank of Canada has nudged up its target rate four times, starting July a year ago, from 0.5% to 1.5%. It last hiked on July 11. But now it is facing inflation that suddenly and […]
Housing Bubbles Are Dangerous, That’s Why Canada is Finally Trying to Tamp Down on Them. And the US?
Housing Bubbles Are Dangerous, That’s Why Canada is Finally Trying to Tamp Down on Them. And the US? Wolf Richter with Jim Goddard on This Week in Money: The underlying dynamics are similar, but the approach is different. Home prices experience a historic spike in Seattle, and sharp increases in other metros, but prices of condos […]
A Housing Bubble Pops: Update on Australia
A Housing Bubble Pops: Update on Australia It is rare that a housing market makes such a beautifully defined U-turn, after a long hard surge. In Sydney, Australia’s largest housing market and one of the world’s biggest housing bubbles, prices of homes of all types fell 5.4% in July compared to a year ago, and […]
The Fed Accelerates its QE Unwind
The Fed Accelerates its QE Unwind Mopping up liquidity. The Fed’s QE Unwind – “balance sheet normalization,” as it calls this – is accelerating toward cruising speed. The first 12 months of the QE unwind, which started in October 2017, are the ramp-up period – just like there was the “Taper” during the final 12 […]
Spending on Housing Dropped 12% in Canada in June
Spending on Housing Dropped 12% in Canada in June The national slowdown was particularly unkind to the province of BC. Canadian housing data continued to disappoint in the month of June. Albeit the year-over-year decline in home sales was not nearly as disappointing as the month of May. National home sales fell 11% year-over-year in […]
“That’s a Super Dangerous Place to Be”: CEO of JPMorgan Asset Management
“That’s a Super Dangerous Place to Be”: CEO of JPMorgan Asset Management When central banks distort the markets, risk disappears from view. “You could have a bunch of walking-zombie companies and you don’t even know it,” explained Mary Callahan Erdoes, CEO of JPMorgan Asset Management, on Wednesday at the Delivering Alpha Conference in New York. […]
NIRP Did It: I’m in Awe of How Central-Bank Policies Blind Investors to Risks
NIRP Did It: I’m in Awe of How Central-Bank Policies Blind Investors to Risks “Reverse-Yankee” Junk Bond Issuance Hits Record. It’s paradise for US companies looking for cheap money. They range from sparkly investment-grade companies, such as Apple with its pristine balance sheet, to “junk” rated companies, such as Netflix with its cash-burn machine. They […]
Update on the Fed’s QE Unwind
Update on the Fed’s QE Unwind With QE, the Fed created money to buy securities and pump up asset prices; now it sheds securities to destroy this money. Here’s what the Fed’s QE unwind – or the balance sheet normalization, as it calls it – is all about: it reverses over an unknown span of […]
US Dollar Hegemony Tripped Up by Chinese Renminbi?
US Dollar Hegemony Tripped Up by Chinese Renminbi? Um, no. Central banks not enthusiastic about the renminbi. Global central banks are not dumping US-dollar-denominated assets from their foreign exchange reserves. They’re not dumping euro-denominated assets either. And they remain leery of the Chinese renminbi – despite China’s place as the second largest economy in the […]
Next Central Bank Puts QE Unwind on the Calendar
Next Central Bank Puts QE Unwind on the Calendar The end of an era spreads. Markets were surprised today when the Bank of England took a “hawkish” turn and announced that three out of nine members of its Monetary Policy Committee – including influential Chief Economist Andrew Haldane, who’d been considered dovish – voted to […]
Why a US-Style Housing Bust & Mortgage Crisis Can Happen in Canada, Australia, and Other Bubble Markets
Why a US-Style Housing Bust & Mortgage Crisis Can Happen in Canada, Australia, and Other Bubble Markets Despite persistent and false memes to the contrary. When a housing downturn gets big enough, there will be a mortgage crisis, and it will hit banks, shadow banks, and mortgage insurers no matter what the mortgage laws are: […]
Chasing Yield during ZIRP & NIRP Evidently Starved Human Brains of Oxygen. Now the Price Is Due
Chasing Yield during ZIRP & NIRP Evidently Starved Human Brains of Oxygen. Now the Price Is Due See Argentina’s 100-year dollar-bond and emerging-market “turmoil” as the Hot Money flees. Let’s be clear: It’s not just Argentina. But Argentina is the most elegant example. The exodus of the hot money from emerging markets where cheap dollar-debts […]
What’s Going On with Trucking and Rail?
What’s Going On with Trucking and Rail? Everything is spiking, setting off “inflationary concerns.” When consumer products companies, retailers, oil-and-gas drillers, manufacturers, and other companies complain that shipping goods within the US is confronting them with soaring costs, capacity constraints, and delays, they’re not making this up. Trucking companies and railroads – an infamously cyclical […]
