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The Fed’s Painted Itself Into The Most Dangerous Corner In History—–Why There Will Soon Be A Riot In The Casino
The Fed’s Painted Itself Into The Most Dangerous Corner In History—–Why There Will Soon Be A Riot In The Casino The chart below crystalizes why the Fed is stranded in a monetary no man’s land. By the time of next week’s meeting the federal funds rate will have been pinned at about 10 bps, or effectively zero, […]
The Lull Before The Storm—–It’s Getting Narrow At The Top, Part 2
The Lull Before The Storm—–It’s Getting Narrow At The Top, Part 2 The danger lurking in the risk asset markets was succinctly captured by MarketWatch’s post on overnight action in Asia. The latter proved once again that the casino gamblers are incapable of recognizing the on-rushing train of global recession because they have become addicted to “stimulus” as […]
Why We’re Sliding Towards World War
Why We’re Sliding Towards World War Why Now? Paul Craig Roberts – former Assistant Secretary of the Treasury under President Reagan, former editor of the Wall Street Journal, listed by Who’s Who in America as one of the 1,000 most influential political thinkers in the world, PhD economist – wrote an article about the build […]
Wall Street Remains Clueless—–Even As The Brown Stuff Heads Straight Into The Fan
Wall Street Remains Clueless—–Even As The Brown Stuff Heads Straight Into The Fan The Dow should have been down 500 points Tuesday. And that’s to say nothing of the fact that the market’s current lofty valuation makes no sense in the first place. The fact is, the brown stuff is now heading straight for the fan. Didn’t the odds of a […]
It Is Different This Time——–Now Comes The Global CapEx Depression
It Is Different This Time——–Now Comes The Global CapEx Depression Caterpillar (CAT) posted a disastrous 16% decline in worldwide retail sales this morning, meaning that its sales have now fallen for 35 straight months. As Zero Hedge noted, not only did US retail sales finally rollover and drop by 8% compared to prior year, but the rest of the world was a veritable bath […]
Blowback—–The Washington War Party’s Folly Comes Home To Roost
Blowback—–The Washington War Party’s Folly Comes Home To Roost Exactly 26 years ago last week, peace was breaking out in a manner that the world had not experienced since June 1914. The Berlin Wall—-the symbol of a century of state tyranny, grotesque mass warfare and the nuclear sword of Damocles hanging over the planet—-had come tumbling down […]
The Bubble Finance Cycle: What Our Keynesian School Marm Doesn’t Get, Part 2
The Bubble Finance Cycle: What Our Keynesian School Marm Doesn’t Get, Part 2 In Part 1 of The Bubble Finance Cycle we demonstrated that a main street based wage and price spiral always proceeded recessions during the era of Lite Touch monetary policy (1951 to 1985). That happened because the Fed was perennially “behind the curve” and […]
The Bubble Finance Cycle——What Our Keynesian School Marm Doesn’t Get
The Bubble Finance Cycle——What Our Keynesian School Marm Doesn’t Get The world of Bubble Finance economies created by the Fed and other central banks is fundamentally different than that prevailing under the “Lite Touch” monetary policies which preceded the Greenspan era. Those essentially reactive and minimally invasive central bank intrusions into the money and capital markets prevailed from the time of the Fed’s […]
Former Reagan Administration Official Warns That Financial Disaster Is Dead Ahead
Former Reagan Administration Official Warns That Financial Disaster Is Dead Ahead Why won’t the American people listen to the warnings? David Stockman was a member of the U.S. House of Representatives from 1977 to 1981, and he served as the Director of the Office of Management and Budget under President Ronald Reagan from 1981 to […]
This Time Is The Same——And Worse!
This Time Is The Same——And Worse! The current stock market melt-up hardly qualifies as limp. Even the robo-machines and hyper-ventilating day traders apparently recognize that their job is to tag the May 2015 highs and then get out of the way. So when and as they complete their pointless mission, the question recurs as to why the posse […]
Professor Bernanke’s Bogus Contra-factual, Part 2: Why The Friedman/Bernanke Thesis About The Great Depression Was Dead Wrong
Professor Bernanke’s Bogus Contra-factual, Part 2: Why The Friedman/Bernanke Thesis About The Great Depression Was Dead Wrong In explaining to the FT’s Martin Wolf why he bailed out the Wall Street gamblers at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley while crushing millions of ordinary American savers and retirees, Bernanke typically repaired to his go to argument. It had nothing to do with […]
Professor Bernanke’s Bogus Contra-factual, Part 1: The Myth Of Great Depression 2.0
Professor Bernanke’s Bogus Contra-factual, Part 1: The Myth Of Great Depression 2.0 It took no “courage” whatsoever to inflate the Fed’s balance sheet from $900 billion to $2.3 trillion during just 17 weeks in September-December 2008. What it actually took was an epochal con job by a naïve Keynesian academic whose single idea about economics was primitive, self-serving, borrowed and […]
Red Swan Descending
Red Swan Descending The proverbial peddlers of Florida swampland can now move over. They can’t hold a candle to the red suzerains of Beijing. The latter had drawn a line in the sand at 7.0% GDP growth. Conveniently enough, the “consensus” estimate of so-called street economists was pegged at 6.8% for Q3, thereby giving authorities one thin decimal point through which to thread a “beat” at 6.9%. By golly they did it! Even […]
Why This Feels Like a Depression for Most People
Why This Feels Like a Depression for Most People “And the little screaming fact that sounds through all history: repression works only to strengthen and knit the repressed.” – John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath Everyone has seen the pictures of the unemployed waiting in soup lines during the Great Depression. When you try to tell a […]
Bernanke’s Balderdash
Bernanke’s Balderdash The US and world economies are drifting inexorably into the next recession owing to the deflationary collapse of commodities, capital spending and world trade. These are the inevitable “morning after” consequence of the 20-year global credit binge which has now reached its apogee. The apparent global boom during that period was actually a central bank driven excursion […]
