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“The Real Economic Shock Is Yet To Come” – Trade War Deepens Across Asia
“The Real Economic Shock Is Yet To Come” – Trade War Deepens Across Asia The last chance to avoid a full-blown 2019 trade war may come later this month when President Trump is scheduled to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping at the G-20 Buenos Aires summit in the city of Buenos Aires, Argentina. It […]
China’s Senior Leadership Prepares For Economic Collision In Spring 2019
China’s Senior Leadership Prepares For Economic Collision In Spring 2019 China’s senior leadership has just signaled for more stimulus, as its economy and stock market prepares for a possible economic collision in early 2019 from the trade war with the United States. The Communist Party’s Politburo, a group of 25 people who oversee the Communist […]
Pushing Past the Breaking Point
Pushing Past the Breaking Point Schemes and Shams Man’s willful determination to resist the natural order are in vain. Still, he pushes onward, always grasping for the big breakthrough. The allure of something for nothing is too enticing to pass up. From the “displays of disbelief, revealing touching old-fashioned notions” file… [PT] Systems of elaborate folly […]
Three Events That Could Change The Face Of America
Three Events That Could Change The Face Of America The past year in general has been a firestorm of news events, many of them misrepresented by the mainstream media but nevertheless important signals that the economic, social and geopolitical systems we are familiar with are changing or destabilizing rapidly. It is important to understand, however, […]
Fed’s Balance Sheet Shrinks The Most Since Start Of QT; QE Unwind Hits $321 Billion
Fed’s Balance Sheet Shrinks The Most Since Start Of QT; QE Unwind Hits $321 Billion On Monday, when discussing the two key, opposing forces facing stocks this week, we said that while on one hand stock buybacks will make a triumphant return, as companies with $50bn of quarterly buybacks exited their blackout periods, and the […]
Oil Prices Plunge As Storm Clouds Gather Over Global Economy
Oil Prices Plunge As Storm Clouds Gather Over Global Economy Oil declined more than 3% on Thursday, and extended those losses Friday, with ICE West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures probing lows not seen since April, due to weakening global demand at a time when the output from the Organization of the […]
Wall Street Moves to Gut Post-Crisis Financial Rules
WALL STREET MOVES TO GUT POST-CRISIS FINANCIAL RULES ON THE CAMPAIGN trail, Donald Trump frequently pledged to “dismantle” the Dodd-Frank financial reforms passed in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis. On Wednesday, with the Federal Reserve’s release of a proposal to roll back capital and liquidity requirements, he caught his big whale. Those requirements, imposed by […]
The Fed’s QE Unwind Hits $321 Billion
The Fed’s QE Unwind Hits $321 Billion The “up to” exacts its pound of flesh. Over the four-week period from October 3 through October 31, the Federal Reserve shed $35 billion in assets, according to the Fed’s weekly balance sheet released Thursday afternoon. This brought the balance sheet to $4,140 billion, the lowest since February […]
Preparing for Turmoil, Central Banks Turn to Gold
Preparing for Turmoil, Central Banks Turn to Gold The trend is your friend and in this case, the trend comes tinged with a yellowish hue. As I have been highlighting recently, Central Banks around the world are finally waking up the the harsh reality that is our current geopolitical and financial situation. On the surface, […]
New York City Joins The “Imminent Bankruptcy” Club
New York City Joins The “Imminent Bankruptcy” Club The “public pension crisis” is the kind of subject that’s easy to over-analyze, in part because there are so many different examples of bad behavior out there and in part because the aggregate damage these entities will do when they start blowing up is immense. But most […]
Russia, India And Iran To Cooperate On New Trade Route Alternative To Suez Canal
Russia, India And Iran To Cooperate On New Trade Route Alternative To Suez Canal After their leaders pledged to strengthen bilateral trade and military cooperation at a bilateral summit last month, Russia and India announced earlier this week that they had sealed a long-discussed $6 billion arms deal despite threats of economic sanctions from Washington. […]
US Approves Waivers On Iranian Oil Imports As Supply Panic Fades
US Approves Waivers On Iranian Oil Imports As Supply Panic Fades With oil prices already extending the drop from their highs as the trader “panic attack” identified by celebrated energy analyst Art Berman abates, and approaching a bear market from recent highs, a Friday morning report from Bloomberg will likely ensure that prices continue to […]
Europe More Than Europe: From ‘Boom’ To The Precipice of Recession
Europe More Than Europe: From ‘Boom’ To The Precipice of Recession Data dependent, they claim. They aren’t. Mario Draghi at his last press conference admitted, “incoming information, [is] somewhat weaker than expected.” There is so much riding on the word “somewhat.” Because of the weasel, the head of the ECB told the assembled media policy […]
