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Coming Attractions
Coming Attractions “Last night I had a dream. You were in it and I was in it with you….”— Randy Newman As in this age of Hollywood sequels and prequels, America prefers to recycle old ideas rather than entertain new ones, so you can see exactly how the 2020 presidential election is shaping up to […]
Brexit, EU, Germany, China and Yellow Vests In 2019 – Something Wicked This Way Comes
Brexit, EU, Germany, China and Yellow Vests In 2019 – Something Wicked This Way Comes – “Something wicked this way comes” warns John Mauldin– Shaky China: Chinese landing could be harder than expected– Brexit and EU Breakage: “I have long thought the EU will eventually fall apart”– Helpless Europe: If Germany sneezes, their banks & the rest […]
Two Ways the System Is Rigged: HFT and Oligarchic Inheritance
Two Ways the System Is Rigged: HFT and Oligarchic Inheritance The net result of a rigged system is the vast majority of the gains in income and wealth flow to the very tippy-top of the wealth/power pyramid. We often hear how the system (i.e. our economy) is rigged to benefit the few at the expense […]
The Next Recession: What It Could Look Like
The Next Recession: What It Could Look Like With the New Year and the US recovery soon to be record-breaking in duration, many are asking when the next recession is likely to come and what will cause it. While none of us has a crystal ball that gives a clear view of the future, there […]
Panic Cycles v Waterfall Events
Panic Cycles v Waterfall Events COMMENT: Hi There,I suggest you do an article on the terminology you use.For example I noted that on your commentary on centamin Egypt you use the term waterfall pattern. You also you use the term panic cycle.An article on these words and their meaning would be helpful.Thanks S REPLY: We do have […]
Mortgage Stress Test Blamed For 25% Collapse In British Columbia Home Sales
Mortgage Stress Test Blamed For 25% Collapse In British Columbia Home Sales Home sales in British Columbia, Canada’s westernmost province, collapsed in 2018 is mostly correlated to the mortgage stress test that started in January 2018, which decreased buyers’ purchasing power. The B.C. Real Estate Association (BCREA) reported Tuesday that a total of 78,345 homes were sold on B.C.’s […]
“Globalization is the Demise of Humanity”: Towards an “Economy of Peace” with an Alternative Monetary System
“Globalization is the Demise of Humanity”: Towards an “Economy of Peace” with an Alternative Monetary System Globalisation is the demise of humanity. That being said, if we want peace, solidarity, harmonious cohabitation, justice and equality – we have to defeat globalisation. And to be able to defeat it, countries which strive to take back autonomy […]
“It Feels Apocalyptic” – A Letter From Zimbabwe, Where The Country Remains In Total Shutdown
“It Feels Apocalyptic” – A Letter From Zimbabwe, Where The Country Remains In Total Shutdown Zimbabwe is once again at the brink of economic collapse, making a mockery of President Emmerson Mnangagwa’s claim that the country is open for business. As Bloomberg reports, many shops and factories have shut their doors because of a lack of […]
The Positive Interest Rate Cycle, RIP…1950 – 2019
The Positive Interest Rate Cycle, RIP…1950 – 2019 I’m going to make the case that the US is concluding the final positive interest rate cycle and that upon the next downturn, the Japanese / EU style ZIRP and/or NIRP will become the new norm. But, before we say goodbye…let’s take a look at the ups, downs, and […]
The Difference between 2020 and 2032
The Difference between 2020 and 2032 QUESTION: Hi Martin, My girlfriend brought up a point about your work during coffee this morning. Basically, she’s confused about the two dates you often mention, 2020 and 2032. She wants to know which date (2020, 2032) you expect the markets move into crises mode due to the lack of […]
The Hidden Revelation
The Hidden Revelation The current government shutdown (the longest in history) comes with a hidden revelation: Millions of Americans are financially unprepared for the next economic downturn. Worse, they are highly vulnerable with few protections. 10 years after the financial crisis the economic recovery has left millions behind with little to no savings and the […]
Visualizing The Snowball Of Global Government Debt
Visualizing The Snowball Of Global Government Debt Over the last five years, markets have pushed concerns about debt under the rug. But, while economic growth and record-low interest rates have made it easy to service existing government debt, Visual Capitalist’s Jeff Desjardins points out that it’s also created a situation where government debt has grown […]
‘Modern Monetary Theory’ Is a Joke That’s Not Funny
‘Modern Monetary Theory’ Is a Joke That’s Not Funny Yes, a government that issues its own currency can pay its bills. But piling up debt for no urgent reason is lunacy. There’s a theory behind it. Photographer: Eva Hambach/AFP/Getty Images If you follow the debates over U.S. economic policy, you had probably heard of […]
Weekly Commentary: Monetary Disorder 2019
Weekly Commentary: Monetary Disorder 2019 The S&P500 advanced 6.5% in 2019’s first 13 trading sessions. The DJ Transports are up 9.2% y-t-d. The broader market has outperformed. The small cap Russell 2000 sports a 9.9% gain after 13 sessions, with the S&P400 Midcap Index rising 9.3%. The Nasdaq Composite has gained 7.9% y-t-d (Nasdaq100 up […]
