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Gold Prices Will Keep Rising Because Crash Conditions Are Becoming Obvious

Gold Prices Will Keep Rising Because Crash Conditions Are Becoming Obvious The price movements of precious metals are difficult for some people to understand. In the world of equities, investors are mesmerized by tickers day in and day out, and market movements occur minute by minute. This realm of investment teaches people to shorten their […]

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Here’s What I’m Worried About. And It’s Not a Recession

Here’s What I’m Worried About. And It’s Not a Recession A rout in the hyper-inflated bond market can blow up everything at this point. The locker room at my swim club has become the litmus test. When a complex topic, after years of being absent or ignored, suddenly crops up in conversation, and not just […]

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Suffering the Profanity of Plentiful Cheap Money

Suffering the Profanity of Plentiful Cheap Money What if the savings in your bank account lost 55 percent of its value over the last 12 months?  Would you be somewhat peeved?  Would you transfer some of your savings to another currency? That was the favored approach in Argentina – where the official inflation rate’s 55 […]

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More on the puzzle of negative interest rates

More on the puzzle of negative interest rates Interest rates on many bonds have plunged into negative territory. But why on earth would anyone be willing to save $1000 only to get $999 in the future? Saving up for a rainy day has always gone hand in hand with a positive interest rate, not a […]

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Trucking Recession: Heavy-Duty Truck Orders Collapse, Production Slashed, Cancellation Orders Soar

Trucking Recession: Heavy-Duty Truck Orders Collapse, Production Slashed, Cancellation Orders Soar New reports from the trucking industry show the transportation recession continues to gain momentum through the end of summer, likely to continue through 2019 into 1H20. The US trucking industry had a blockbuster year in 2018, as high demand for freight allowed transportation companies to expand […]

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Amazon Chaos: “BlackRock Is Literally Reaping Profits As The World’s Jungles Burn”

Amazon Chaos: “BlackRock Is Literally Reaping Profits As The World’s Jungles Burn” According to a new report from the Friends of the Earth U.S.; Amazon Watch; and Profundo, Larry Fink’s BlackRock Inc is one of the top investors in companies “responsible for tropical forest destruction in the Amazon and around the world.” The report called BlackRock’s Big […]

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These Are Not Signs of a Healthy Market

These Are Not Signs of a Healthy Market If these three charts reflect a “normal” “healthy” Bull market, then why are they so uncommon?  The implicit narrative of the latest rally in stocks is that this is just another normal rally in the ongoing 10-year long Bull market. Nice, but do these three charts look […]

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Powell “Not Forecasting a Recession”

Powell “Not Forecasting a Recession” In a speech today in Zurich Switzerland, Jerome Powell stated the Fed is not forecasting a recession. YouTube Video of Zurich Conference ​The Fed has never forecast a recession, even after they have started. It reminds me of Bernanke’s denials on the housing bubble. ​No Comment on Trade? 1st and […]

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Uh Oh: U.S. Layoffs Rise 38 Percent – Highest Level For August Since 2009

Uh Oh: U.S. Layoffs Rise 38 Percent – Highest Level For August Since 2009 We continue to get more numbers that indicate that U.S. economic activity is really starting to slow down.  According to Challenger, Gray & Christmas, the number of layoffs in the United States was 38 percent higher in August than it was […]

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Powell Doesn’t Change His Tune… And Rabobank Sees Fed Cutting To Zero

Powell Doesn’t Change His Tune… And Rabobank Sees Fed Cutting To Zero The tone of Fed Chairman Powell’s remarks in Zurich was similar to that of his speech in Jackson Hole. Powell repeated the statement that the Fed will ‘act as appropriate to sustain the expansion,’ which indicates that he is leaning toward a September […]

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There Has Been Just One Buyer Of Stocks Since The Financial Crisis

There Has Been Just One Buyer Of Stocks Since The Financial Crisis Over the weekend we showed a chart which demonstrated that the bulk of the 21st century has been characterized by equity retail fund outflows offset by a tsunami of bond inflows, i.e. a reverse “great rotation.” The chart also illustrated that periods of “big bond inflows often […]

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Weekly Commentary: Dudley Sticks His Neck Out

Weekly Commentary: Dudley Sticks His Neck Out What a fascinating environment; each week bringing something extraordinary. Yet there is this dreadful feeling that things are advancing toward some type of cataclysm. “U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade war with China keeps undermining the confidence of businesses and consumers, worsening the economic outlook. This manufactured disaster-in-the-making presents […]

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Unsettled Weather

Unsettled Weather After leaving the Bahamas for dead, Hurricane Dorian barely grazed the US mainland en route to the Canadian shoals of oblivion, perhaps saving America’s insurance industry. But the steamy west coast of Africa is hurling out a cavalcade of replacements as the high season for Atlantic storms commences, so better keep the plywood […]

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Former Dallas Fed Economist Reveals “The Ugly Truth About The Federal Reserve”

Former Dallas Fed Economist Reveals “The Ugly Truth About The Federal Reserve” VIDEO …see first link above for transcript…

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Greenspan: Rising Gold Price Shows Investors Want Hard Assets That Will Increase in Value

Greenspan: Rising Gold Price Shows Investors Want Hard Assets That Will Increase in Value During a CNBC interview, former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said gold prices are surging because investors are looking for hard assets that they know will have value in 20 or 30 years.  Gold is up more than 21% on the year and […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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