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US Debt: Bomb or Overblown?
US Debt: Bomb or Overblown? SUMMARY The latest report from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) is enough to curdle the blood of any fiscal conservative. According to the report, US federal debt held by the public relative to GDP currently stands at 78 percent (debt issued in Treasury securities). If current trends hold, that number […]
How Will The Surge In Oil Prices Impact US GDP: One Bank Answers
How Will The Surge In Oil Prices Impact US GDP: One Bank Answers Back in late 2014, when oil prices tumbled after the OPEC “thanksgiving massacre“, the conventional narrative was that dropping oil prices were a boon for the economy as they resulted in lower gas prices and thus greater discretionary income. The stark reality […]
Weekly Commentary: Old Roach Motel
Weekly Commentary: Old Roach Motel One hundred and six months. The current expansion, having emerged in the aftermath of the collapse of the mortgage finance Bubble, is now the second-longest on record (lagging only the 120-month 1990’s Bubble period). The unemployment rate dropped to 3.9% last month, the lowest level since the 3.8% print in […]
The Faster America “Grows”, The Faster America Goes Bust
The Faster America “Grows”, The Faster America Goes Bust As of October 1st of 2007 (the start of the 2008 Federal Government fiscal year), federal debt stood at $9 trillion and 70 billion. In the subsequent ten years and five months, the US federal debt has grown $11 trillion and 805 billion and now stands at $20 […]
“This Is 1987”: Some “Haunting Math” On Today’s GDP Number From David Rosenberg
“This Is 1987”: Some “Haunting Math” On Today’s GDP Number From David Rosenberg When discussing today’s unexpectedly weak Q4 GDP print, which came in at 2.6%, far below consensus and whisper estimates in the 3%+ range, and certainly both the Atlanta and NY Fed estimates, we pointed out the silver lining: personal spending and final […]
Goldman Sachs——-Perpetuator Of The Fed’s Jihad Against Savers
Goldman Sachs——-Perpetuator Of The Fed’s Jihad Against Savers You can’t blame Janet Yellen entirely for the growing prospect that the Fed will take a powder on Wednesday and opt for the 81st straight month of ZIRP. After all, she’s basically a fuddy duddy school marm caught in a 1970s labor economics time warp—–a branch of the […]
A Recession Within A Recession
A Recession Within A Recession On Friday, the federal government announced that the U.S. economy contracted at a 0.7 percent annual rate during the first quarter of 2015. This unexpected shrinking of the economy is being primarily blamed on “harsh” weather during the first three months of this year and on the strengthening of the […]
Sucking Spoilt Milk From A Bloated Dead Sow
Sucking Spoilt Milk From A Bloated Dead Sow With US GDP growth ‘officially’ back where it belongs, in the Arctic zone close to freezing on the surface but much worse in real life, for reasons both Albert Edwards and Ambrose Evans-Pritchard (not exactly a pair of Siamese twins) remarked this week; that is, excluding the […]
Magic Growth Numbers — Paul Craig Roberts – PaulCraigRoberts.org
Magic Growth Numbers — Paul Craig Roberts – PaulCraigRoberts.org. Everyone wants good news, so the government makes it up. The latest fiction is that US real GDP grew 4.6% in the second quarter and 5% in the third. Where did this growth come from? Not from rising real consumer incomes. Not from rising consumer credit. […]
