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What Comes Next
What Comes Next
All things have a beginning, a middle and and end.
And now, more than 3,480 days into the current bull market, the longest in history, we can say with high confidence we are very close to its end.
Why?
For manifold reasons that are multiplying fast. So many, in fact, that each of the key speakers at the recent Peak Prosperity/Contra Corner Summit in New York City had difficulty finding enough time to enumerate them all during the six-hour event.
David Stockman, President Reagan’s budget head and former US Congressman, focused his warnings on the overconcentration of financialized (i.e., phony) profits in the world economy, which mask the steep decline in the production of tangible (i.e., real) value.
Among his long litany of examples of the sclerosis and fraud within today’s economy, he explained how so much of today’s euphoric stock prices are an artifact of the cheap credit made possible by the world’s central banking cartel — enabling a massive LBO of our corporate industry.
Long story short: artificially low rates have been allowing corporate executives, for years, to buy back a huge percentage of their company’s shares, enriching shareholders (most notably the execs themselves) in the immediate term, while saddling the underlying companies under tremendous leverage (1m:13s):
(Purchase the full replay video)
As long as stock prices stay high and rates stay low, no one cares; they’re making too much money. But as rates rise and prices fall, these corporations will become crippled by their debt service requirements, be forced to lay off large swaths of their workforces, and quite possibly go out of business. Failures will ripple across the corporate landscape, sinking the US into prolonged recession.
As a society we’ll be the poorer for it. And suffer the full brunt of the pain this collapse of malinvestment will bring.
…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…
The Science Of Community
The Science Of Community
The Peak Prosperity tribe is gathering.
Members from all over the country (including a few from Europe and Asia) are arriving in northern California today for our annual weekend seminar.
Chris and I are really looking forward to this. We’re introducing a host of upgrades this year: a better location, a better venue, new content and exercises, and guest appearances by many of the experts who appear on PeakProsperity.com (including Charles Hugh Smith, Richard Heinberg, Axel Merk, Wolf Richter, David Pare, Mark Rees, the New Harbor team, the folks from Farmland LP, as well as several others).
But as anyone who has attended one of our past seminars (or city Summits) knows, it’s the PP members themselves who are the heart of the experience. Having so many like-minded folks in one place at the same time is a refreshing and energizing rarity.
The community that has developed here at Peak Prosperity is truly special. It attracts members who are smart, curious, open-minded, open-hearted — and share a drive to create a better future for themselves, their loved ones, and the world around them.
Of all the elements of the movement Chris and I have worked hard to build over the years, connecting such amazing individuals together into this community is our proudest achievement. Given our mission of “Creating a World Worth Inheriting”, we know that the path to success depends on the collective action of many than on the efforts of just we two.
Which is why we take community-building so seriously.
As we write about often, Social Capital is very important for each of us to build in order to live a resilient life. And whether you’re building it on an individual level in your local neighborhood, or on a global scale as PeakProsperity.com does, there are several science-based factors that are key to success.
…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…
[2015/16 SEMINAR SERIES] ‘The Crisis of Civilization and the Systemic Causes of Mass Violence’ – Dr Nafeez Ahmed
[2015/16 SEMINAR SERIES] ‘The Crisis of Civilization and the Systemic Causes of Mass Violence’ – Dr Nafeez Ahmed
ISCI hosted its second State Crime Seminar Series delivered by Dr Nafeez Ahmed. Nafeez is an award-winning investigative journalist, international security scholar, best-selling author and Executive Director of the Institute for Policy Research and Development. Based on his acclaimed documentary ‘The Crisis of Civilization’ and ground-breaking journalism for Middle East Eye, Vice’s Motherboard, The Guardian and InsurgeIntelligence, Nafeez’s seminar talk is entitled: “The Crisis of Civilization and the Systemic Causes of Mass Violence”. Nafeez helps us better understand the root causes of violent conflict as well as the interconnections between global ecological, energy and economic crises.
Organised by Saeb Kasm <saeb.kasm@qmul.ac.uk>