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Petrobras Default Looms Under $90B Dollar-Denominated Debt
Petrobras Default Looms Under $90B Dollar-Denominated Debt
There is blood on the streets wherever you look in Brazil today, but probably of most interest to the hundreds of US asset managers (the ones managing your mutual funds) is what happens to Petrobras as it remains so widely held. As we noted below, bond prices are collapsing and default risk is soaring, and with the nation’s currency collapsing amid the lower-for-longer oil prices, $90 billion of dollar-denominated debt could soon potentially be too burdensome for the company to repay.
Default Risk is exploding…
And as New York Shock Exchange details,
S&P recently lowered Brazil’s credit rating to junk status. It later downgraded 60 corporate and infrastructure entities in Brazil, including cutting Petrobras (NYSE:PBR) two notches to “BB.” Petrobras has been reeling from a corruption scandalthat reportedly involved Petrobras’ executives and directors awarding suppliers over-inflated contracts in exchange for kickbacks. The scandal has cost the company billions of dollars, and has been a blow to the reputation of Brazil’s President Dilma Rousseff.
PBR is off about 70% over the past year, versus a 50% decline for the Brazilian ETF (NYSEARCA:EWZ) and flat growth for the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY). Investors should continue to avoid PBR for the following reasons:
Stagnant Revenue And Earnings
When it rains, it pours for Petrobras. In addition to the corruption scandal, a free fall in oil prices has stymied the company’s revenue growth. For the first half of 2015, Petrobras’ revenue was down 27% Y/Y from $71.4 billion to $52.0 billion, while EBITDA growth was flat. EBITDA margin increased to 26% in the first half of 2015 from 19% in the year-earlier period, as the company slashed cost of sales, SG&A expense and R&D.
…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…
European Banks At Risk Of Bail-Ins In 2015 – Moody’s and S&P Warn | www.goldcore.com
European Banks At Risk Of Bail-Ins In 2015 – Moody’s and S&P Warn | www.goldcore.com.
Europe’s banks are vulnerable in 2015 due to weak macroeconomic conditions, unfinished regulatory hurdles and the risk of bail-ins according to credit rating agencies.
The economic outlook for European banks in 2015 will be hampered by weak profits, risks of bail-ins and litigation charges, Moody’s Investors Service announced Monday.
“Weak macroeconomic conditions will continue to weigh on Europe’s banking sector in 2015 and banks’ low overall profitability implies that Europe’s banking sector remains structurally vulnerable,” Moody’s Europe, Middle East and Africa financial institutions group managing director said in a statement.
“The European banking industry remains structurally vulnerable,” said Carola Schuler, managing director at Moody’s, in a presentation on the sector’s outlook.
The agencies said moves to reduce implied government support for the banking sector and force bank debt holders to participate by coming to the aid of wayward lenders would also put downward pressure on bank ratings.
…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…
