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Alice in Wonderland

If I had a world of my own, everything would be nonsense. Nothing would be what it is, because everything would be what it isn’t. And contrary wise, what is, it wouldn’t be. And what it wouldn’t be, it would. You see?

– Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland

Mad_Hatter_0011A public service message from the Mad Hatter – bad news is bad. Ominous, even. Hat help us all!     Illustration credit: Bob Kane

BALTIMORE – The Dow rose the fifth week in a row last week, ending with a 120-point jump on Friday. This has put the index firmly in the black for 2016. Well, this is a showdown, isn’t it?

Either us… or the great mass of investors – one of us is wrong. In the weeks to come, we’ll find out who (notice to new readers: It could go either way). But wait a minute…

Our old friend Rob Marstrand, who writes at Of Wealth.com, explains why the great mass of investors has little to do with it. Apparently, corporations have nothing better to do with their money than buy their own shares.

“There’s a dirty little secret in the U.S. stock market. Corporate America is paying out more cash to shareholders than it earns in profits. This means there’s nothing left to invest in business growth. It also means debt levels are going up, increasing risk…

Analysis by Bloomberg shows that those companies are on track to spend $590 billion a year on buybacks in 2016, at the first-quarter rate. That would be even more than the last point of peak buybacks – at the previous market top in 2007, just before the last crash. Put simply, companies are spending record amounts of cash on buybacks at precisely the wrong time (as usual): when stocks are extremely expensive.”

1-Buybacks vs. fund flows

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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