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Systemic Turmoil, Structural Reform

Systemic Turmoil, Structural Reform   “The problem with the post-2007 world is that we are not in a cyclical recovery; we are in a structural depression defined as a sustained period of below-trend growth with no end in sight. The U.S. has caught the Japanese disease. Structural depressions are not amenable to monetary solutions, they […]

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ECB, Monetarism and a Greek Half-Decade

ECB, Monetarism and a Greek Half-Decade Greece really should not matter, at all, outside of the tragic plight of the Greeks themselves. You’ll see that message echoed particularly inside the US where the status quo takes a contradictory turn toward reasonableness in order to justify further what isn’t. This is all about asset prices and […]

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“Critical” Debt “Domino Chain” Threatens To Destabilize China’s Financial System, SocGen Says

“Critical” Debt “Domino Chain” Threatens To Destabilize China’s Financial System, SocGen Says Since the beginning of March when we first explained why QE (or at least some manner of “unconventional” monetary policy) may be inevitable in China, we’ve tracked developments around the country’s local government debt refi effort closely. For those in need of a […]

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Bank of England Could ‘Trigger the Next Financial Crisis’

Bank of England Could ‘Trigger the Next Financial Crisis’ It’s not some wayward doom-and-gloomer who said it, but the Economic Research arm of Natixis, the investment bank of France’s second largest megabank, Groupe BPCE. The analysis was talking about the Bank of England. But the Fed and other central banks, with their ingenious monetary policies, […]

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“The Collateral Has Run Out” – JPM Warns ECB Will Use Greek “Nuclear Option” If No Monday Deal

“The Collateral Has Run Out” – JPM Warns ECB Will Use Greek “Nuclear Option” If No Monday Deal (via Corriere) Although estimates vary, Kathimerini, citing Greek banking officials, puts Friday’s deposit outflow at €1.7 billion. If true, that would mark a serious step up from the estimated €1.2 billion that left the banking system on Thursday and serves […]

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Janet Yellen’s clout today is especially hefty: Don Pittis

Janet Yellen’s clout today is especially hefty: Don Pittis The sense that change is afoot lends power to the U.S. central banker’s words If you live in a cave and survive on nuts, berries and the odd roasted squirrel, what U.S. Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen says today won’t make much difference to your life. At least not right […]

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Bank Of America Begins 66-Day Countdown Until The Terrible Ghost Of 1937 Returns

Bank Of America Begins 66-Day Countdown Until The Terrible Ghost Of 1937 Returns In 66 trading days on September 17, 2015, the Federal Reserve will, according to Bank of America, hike rates for the first time since 2006, which according to BofA will “end the era of excess liquidity.” We disagree entirely, but let’s hear […]

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Starvation Is The Price Greeks Will Pay For Remaining In The EU

Starvation Is The Price Greeks Will Pay For Remaining In The EU Syriza, the new Greek government that intended to rescue Greece from austerity, has come a cropper. The government relied on the good will of its EU “partners,” only to find that its “partners” had no good will. The Greek government did not understand […]

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The Futility of Our Global Monetary Experiment

The Futility of Our Global Monetary Experiment Jeff Deist: The Fed recently announced just this past week that it would not use specific dates for targeting higher Fed funds rate this year and you almost get the sense that poor Janet Yellen is at the end of this Greenspan-Bernanke experiment and there’s not much left […]

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Why Keynesian voodoo doesn’t work?

Why Keynesian voodoo doesn’t work? Keynesian policy of manipulating economic “aggregates” through countercyclical macro-measures appeared to work when balance sheets was not stretched to the brink. As we wrote in “Goebbelnomics” “If collective exuberance and apathy is the sole cause of the business cycle, then it logically follows that human emotions need to be manipulated […]

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ZIRP——The Monetary Trick Which Killed Wages

ZIRP——The Monetary Trick Which Killed Wages Stupid Fed Trick Number 1 The Fed thinks that keeping interest rates low spurs inflation. It was probably happy to see the purported uptick in wage inflation in the just released May jobs report. It wants to see wages start rising to create a bit of inflationary pressure. That […]

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QE Breeds Instability

QE Breeds Instability Central bankers have promised ad nauseum to keep rates low for long periods of time. And they have delivered. Their claim is that this helps the economy recover, but that is just a silly idea. What it does do is help create the illusion of a recovering economy. But that is mostly […]

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“Bernanke & Greenspan Have Destroyed America” Schiff & Maloney Warn “People Don’t Realize What Is Coming”

“Bernanke & Greenspan Have Destroyed America” Schiff & Maloney Warn “People Don’t Realize What Is Coming” Ali and Frazier, Laurel and Hardy, Mayweather and Pacquiao, Liesman and Santelli, and now Schiff and Maloney. Peter and Mike join clash of the titan-like to discuss their investment strategies and expose the charts the government doesn’t want you to seeas […]

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A Much Bigger Threat Than Our National Debt

A Much Bigger Threat Than Our National Debt The markets are acting as though it was already summer. They are wandering around with little ambition in either direction. Meanwhile, we’ve been wondering about… and trying to explain… what it is we are really doing at the Diary. We expect a violent monetary shock, in which the dollar […]

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“If It Looks Like A Duck” – The Man In The Moon: Part 2

“If It Looks Like A Duck” – The Man In The Moon: Part 2 In part 2 of the “Man in the Moon” series we look at Paul Volcker’s roundtrip – monetary policies and their impacts from 1971 through the Great Leveraging to today. Part 1 can be found here. If it Looks Like a Duck… […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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