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Why I think the Ugly October in Stocks Is Just a Preamble

Why I think the Ugly October in Stocks Is Just a Preamble Yet, the crybabies on Wall Street are already clamoring for the “Powell put.” Let me just say right up front: The stock market did not “collapse.” It has experienced a sell-off that made some people’s ears ring, as sell-offs normally do, and October […]

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The Wolf Street Report

THE WOLF STREET REPORT When will the Fed buckle? In this podcast, I ask: Where are interest rates headed, when will the Fed buckle, and who are the new winners and losers? (10 minutes) “Everyone is worried where things are headed.” Read…  Fed’s Medicine “Gradually” Pricking the Commercial Real Estate Bubble?

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Paul Volcker’s Fed Criticism Hints at Potential Recession

Paul Volcker’s Fed Criticism Hints at Potential Recession From Birch Gold Group In the 1980’s, amidst out-of-control inflation, former Fed chairman Paul Volcker employed a controversial economic strategy of high interest rates to combat the issue. In that case, the economic band-aid, dubbed “The Volcker Rule”, worked. Volcker is 91 now, and as reported in […]

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Where The Next Financial Crisis Begins

Where The Next Financial Crisis Begins We are not sure of how the next financial crisis will exactly unfold but reasonably confident it will have its roots in the following analysis.   Maybe it has already begun. The U.S. Treasury market is the center of the financial universe and the 10-year yield is the most important price […]

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Don’t Expect A Fed Bail Out: What Convexity Flows Mean For Repricing Of The “Fed Put”

Don’t Expect A Fed Bail Out: What Convexity Flows Mean For Repricing Of The “Fed Put” One of the major topics to emerge among financial professionals over the past week in the aftermath of the latest violent market move lower was whether the “Fed Put” would come into play, and at what level, and just […]

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Is it the Elections or Interest Rates?

Is it the Elections or Interest Rates? QUESTION: Dear Marty, Thanks for the continuous enlightening blogs about increasing interest rates and its effects on EM’s and others. Today on Bloomberg , they were discussing that the earlier 60:40 Equity bond correlation is breaking down and now it’s 100:0 i.e. both go up and down together. If […]

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“Peak QE”: This Is What Share Of The Market Central Banks Now Own

“Peak QE”: This Is What Share Of The Market Central Banks Now Own After a decade of unprecedented liquidity injections by central banks to preserve the western financial system, global QE has peaked. First, the aggregate balance sheet of major central banks started to shrink earlier in the year, a reversal that took investors many […]

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The Trade War Is Getting Worse For U.S. Businesses

The Trade War Is Getting Worse For U.S. Businesses President Donald Trump’s trade war is making things even worse than before for businesses in the United States. The trade war has been dragging on for four long months now, and the pain is being felt financially. Companies’ earlier worries are starting to translate into actual financial pain as new orders […]

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Kenny Polcari: Fed Can’t Stop Raising & Dow Could Drop 1,000 on Dems Winning Senate

Kenny Polcari: Fed Can’t Stop Raising & Dow Could Drop 1,000 on Dems Winning Senate My friend Kenny Polcari joins me again to talk about: 1. The recent volatility in the markets 2. Why he thinks the Fed must continue to raise rates 3. Why he thinks Democrats taking the Senate could lead to 1,000 […]

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Volcker Recalls Another Time the Fed Was in the President’s Crosshairs

Volcker Recalls Another Time the Fed Was in the President’s Crosshairs The central banker’s memoir recounts an awkward encounter with Ronald Reagan. Reagan and Volcker in the Oval Office in 1981. PHOTOGRAPHER: J. SCOTT APPLEWHITE/AP PHOTO Donald Trump’s repeated public criticism of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy seems extraordinary, but he isn’t the first president […]

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Paul Volcker Trashes Fed, Washington Plutocrats: World’s In “A Hell Of A Mess In Every Direction”

Paul Volcker Trashes Fed, Washington Plutocrats: World’s In “A Hell Of A Mess In Every Direction” While we have grown used to Alan Greenspan’s flexible world views appearing regularly among US media channels, when former Fed Chair Paul Volcker speaks, it’s low frequency nature tends to make on pay attention, and he is not optimistic […]

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End Of The Financial World?

End Of The Financial World? Predicting the end of the world, physical or financial, is seldom helpful. If the prediction is correct, how do you profit from the insight? If the prediction is wrong and the “end of the world” is delayed (typical), you lose credibility. An estimate of risk versus reward based on an […]

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Trump Blaming Fed for Next Market Crash – Dave Janda

Trump Blaming Fed for Next Market Crash – Dave Janda Radio host Dr. Dave Janda says everybody in Washington knows the next big crash is right around the corner. It’s been 10 years since the Fed reflated the last meltdown, and Dr. Janda says President Trump is already blaming the Federal Reserve for killing the […]

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Why You Should Expect the Unexpected

Why You Should Expect the Unexpected End of the Road The confluence of factors that influence market prices are vast and variable.  One moment patterns and relationships are so pronounced you can set a cornerstone by them.  The next moment they vanish like smoke in the wind. One thing that makes trading stocks so confounding […]

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Oil Markets Tremble As Chinese Stocks Crash

Oil Markets Tremble As Chinese Stocks Crash China’s stock market fell sharply on Thursday, dragged down by a range of concerns that should offer a warning to the broader global economy. The Shanghai Composite Index fell nearly 3 percent on Thursday, falling to its lowest point in nearly four years. The problems in China are […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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