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The Trade War Distraction: Huawei And Linchpin Theory
The Trade War Distraction: Huawei And Linchpin Theory Since the beginning of this year, I have been warning that trade tariffs initiated by Donald Trump would develop into a full-blown trade war with China, and perhaps other nations, and that the timing of this trade war is rather suspicious. Suspicious how? Almost every instance of […]
Historic Debt Is At The Core Of Our Economic Decline
Historic Debt Is At The Core Of Our Economic Decline From Brandon Smith As I predicted just after the 2016 presidential election, a sordid theater of blame has exploded over the state of the U.S. economy, with fingers pointing everywhere except (in most cases) at the true culprits behind the crash. Some people point to […]
A Global Dearth of Liquidity
A Global Dearth of Liquidity Worldwide Liquidity Drought – Money Supply Growth Slows Everywhere This is a brief update on money supply growth trends in the most important currency areas outside the US (namely the euro area, Japan and China) as announced in in our recent update on US money supply growth (see “Federal Punch […]
Economic Downturn: Credit Cards Aren’t Being Paid, Accounts Are Being Closed
Economic Downturn: Credit Cards Aren’t Being Paid, Accounts Are Being Closed A new report is shining some light on an indicator that the economy is about to take a major downturn. Credit card accounts are not being paid and some accounts are being closed in anticipation for an upcoming recession. Credit-card delinquencies, application rejections, and […]
Empty Words Are Failing. A Timeline For What Comes Next
Empty Words Are Failing. A Timeline For What Comes Next A quick recap of the past couple of months: Stocks plunge. The politicians, bureaucrats and bankers who depend on artificially-elevated financial asset prices start to panic. The Fed announces that maybe it won’t have to raise interest rates any more, and the president announces a temporary […]
Blain: “Are We Backing The Wrong Country In The Saudi-Iran Race”
Blain: “Are We Backing The Wrong Country In The Saudi-Iran Race” As excerpted from Blain’s Morning Porridge, submitted by Bill Blain Where do we go from here? I’ve said it a few times already – 2019 is likely to see the start of the New Market Reality. Although some pundits claim yesterday’s sell-off was due […]
The Art of Defaulting
The Art of Defaulting … the debt-financed overspending of the 1960s had continued into the early 1970s. The Fed had funded this spending with easy-credit policies, but by paying back its debts with depreciated paper money instead of gold-backed dollars, the U.S. effectively defaulted. Ray Dalio Principles for navigating big debt crises Ray Dalio of […]
The Fed Explains the Rate Hikes: To Prevent Financial Crisis 2
The Fed Explains the Rate Hikes: To Prevent Financial Crisis 2 Instead of “bubble” or “collapse,” it uses “valuation pressures” and “broad adjustment in prices.” Business debt, not consumer debt, is the bogeyman this time. Preventing another financial crisis – or “promoting financial stability,” as the Federal Reserve Board of Governors calls it – isn’t […]
Chairman Powell Talks Out of Both Sides of His Mouth
Chairman Powell Talks Out of Both Sides of His Mouth In a speech on Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that he had a “neutral” outlook on rates. According to a CNBC article, he was quoted: Interest rates are still low by historical standards, and they remain just below the broad range of estimates […]
Truth Is What We Hide, Self-Serving Cover Stories Are What We Sell
Truth Is What We Hide, Self-Serving Cover Stories Are What We Sell The fact that lies and cover stories are now the official norm only makes us love our servitude with greater devotion. We can summarize the current era in one sentence: truth is what we hide, self-serving cover stories are what we sell. Jean-Claude […]
DiMartino Booth: The Fraying Of The Fed’s Fragile Narrative
DiMartino Booth: The Fraying Of The Fed’s Fragile Narrative Former Dallas Fed official Danielle DiMartino Booth joins the show just as Chairman Jay Powell faces his first major challenge: will he keep raising rates as promised now that autos, housing, employment, and even tech stocks look soft? And if not, will he effectively signal that the US […]
Weekly Commentary: Framework for Monitoring Financial Stability
Weekly Commentary: Framework for Monitoring Financial Stability Upon the public release of Jerome Powell’s Wednesday speech came the Bloomberg headline: “Powell: No Preset Policy Path, Rates ‘Just Below’ Neutral Range.” When the Fed Chairman began his presentation to the New York Economic Club just minutes later, the Dow had already surged 460 points. From Powell’s […]
Competing Mortgage Headlines: Rates Barely Move vs Rates Surge Lower on Powell
Competing Mortgage Headlines: Rates Barely Move vs Rates Surge Lower on Powell Freddie Mac says “mortgage rates barely move” but Mortgage News Daily says “rates surge lower” Mortgage News Daily and Freddie Mac offer conflicting reports on the bond market reaction Jerome Powell’s speech yesterday. Mortgage News Daily says Mortgage Rates Surge Lower Mortgage rates […]
