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Close to the Edge

CLOSE TO THE EDGE “Look at it this way. In 100 years, who’s gonna care ?” Nancy, waitress, in ‘The Terminator’ (screenplay by James Cameron and Gale Ann Hurd). Imagine that a cyborg from 10 years into the future paid you a visit back in 2007. Here is what is going to happen, he says, […]

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What Hayek Tells Us About the Link Between Ultra-Loose Monetary Policy and Political Instability

WHAT HAYEK TELLS US ABOUT THE LINK BETWEEN ULTRA-LOOSE MONETARY POLICY AND POLITICAL INSTABILITY The European Central Bank will increase the overall volume of its bond purchase program to 2.550.000.000.000 euros by September 2018. The main refinancing rate will remain at zero. Mario Draghi has stressed that this policy shall continue until inflation picks up […]

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Ron Paul: We Are Reaching A Point Of No Return

Ron Paul: We Are Reaching A Point Of No Return When the system will break no matter what the Fed tries Dr. Ron Paul has long been a leading voice for limited constitutional government, low taxes, free markets, sound money, civil liberty, and non-interventionist foreign policies. Dr. Paul served as the US Representative for Texas’s […]

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Bank Of England Hikes Rates By 25bps In 7-2 Vote; First Increase In A Decade; Pound Plunges

Bank Of England Hikes Rates By 25bps In 7-2 Vote; First Increase In A Decade; Pound Plunges Over ten years since the last rate hike by the Bank of England in July 2007 (when incidentally, cable was trading above $2.00), and following years of market expectations of an imminent rate hike that failed to materialize… […]

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Deutsche Asks A Stunning Question: “Is This The Beginning Of The End Of Fiat Money?”

Deutsche Asks A Stunning Question: “Is This The Beginning Of The End Of Fiat Money?” One month ago, Deutsche Bank’s unorthodox credit analyst, Jim Reid published a phenomenal report, one which just a few years ago would have been anathema, as it dealt with two formerly taboo topics: is a financial crisis coming (yes), and […]

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Low Interest Rates Subsidize Wealthy Households

LOW INTEREST RATES SUBSIDIZE WEALTHY HOUSEHOLDS  When the economy begins to sink into recession, politicians, mainstream economists, policy wonks, and the Federal Reserve begin beating the economic stimulus drum. Politicians, however, disagree over the type of stimulus to implement. The center-left party proposes greater expenditures on public assistance programs. The center-right party supports permanent tax […]

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Stagnation Is Not Just the New Normal–It’s Official Policy

Stagnation Is Not Just the New Normal–It’s Official Policy Japan is a global leader is how to gracefully manage stagnation. Although our leadership is too polite to say it out loud, they’ve embraced stagnation as the new quasi-official policy. The reason is tragi-comically obvious: any real reform would threaten the income streams gushing into untouchably […]

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The Courage to Normalize Monetary Policy

The Courage to Normalize Monetary Policy A decade after the onset of the global financial crisis, it seems more than appropriate for central bankers to move the levers of policy off their emergency settings. A world in recovery – no matter how anemic it may be – does not require a crisis-like approach to monetary […]

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ECB Negative Rate Experiment May Lead to the Worst Financial Crisis in Modern History

ECB Negative Rate Experiment May Lead to the Worst Financial Crisis in Modern History QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Your proposition that the quantity of money theory is dead seems to be a true earth shattering proposition. It certainly disproves the Austrian School and the events post 2008 support your statement. The European Central Bank is supposed […]

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The Forthcoming Global Crisis

THE FORTHCOMING GLOBAL CRISIS The global economy is now in an expansionary phase, with bank credit being increasingly available for non-financial borrowers. This is always the prelude to the crisis phase of the credit cycle. Most national economies are directly boosted by China, the important exception being America. This is confirmed by dollar weakness, which […]

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What A Fed Rate Hike Means For U.S. Shale

What A Fed Rate Hike Means For U.S. Shale North American shale oil and gas companies have proven that they can adapt their business model through the lower crude oil prices cycle. Now, the new challenge for shale producers is how to adjust their financial strategy when the Federal Reserve (Fed) raises interest rates. Since […]

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The Sermon On The Mount[ain Of Debt]

The Sermon On The Mount[ain Of Debt] “Blessed are the young, for they shall inherit the national debt.” – President Herbert Hoover The Hoover administration thought there was no room and was ideologically opposed to fiscal expansion to stimulate aggregate demand.  Furthermore, Keynesian theory was not even developed at the time.  The General Theory of Employment, […]

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Stupidity Well Anchored: Absurdity of Inflation Expectations in Graphic Form

Stupidity Well Anchored: Absurdity of Inflation Expectations in Graphic Form The amount of sheer nonsense written about inflation expectations is staggering. Let’s take a look at some recent articles before making a mockery of them with a single picture. Expectations Problem On July 17, 2017, Rich Miller writing for Bloomberg proclaimed The Fed Has an Inflation Expectations […]

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Does the Central Bank Determine Interest Rates?

DOES THE CENTRAL BANK DETERMINE INTEREST RATES? According to mainstream thinking, the central bank is the key factor in determining interest rates. By setting short-term interest rates, the central bank, it is argued, through expectations about the future course of its interest rate policy can influence the entire interest rate structure. Thus according to the […]

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This Fed is on a Mission

This Fed is on a Mission QE Unwind starts Oct. 1. Rate hike in Dec. Low inflation, no problem. The two-day meeting of the FOMC ended on Wednesday with a momentous announcement that has been telegraphed for months: the QE unwind begins October 1. It marks the end of an era. The unwind will proceed […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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