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Central Banking Is Central Planning
Central Banking Is Central Planning At a time when the appeal of and demands for a new “democratic” socialism seem to have caught the imagination of many among the young and are reflected in the promises of a good number of political candidates running for high office, there is one already-existing socialist institution in America […]
The Fed is Going to Cut Rates to Negative 3% If Not 5%
The Fed is Going to Cut Rates to Negative 3% If Not 5% As I warned last week, while most of the investment world has been glued to their trading screens watching the stock market rally.. something nefarious has been unfolding behind the scenes. That “something” is the Fed and other regulators implementing plans that […]
Slowing Growth the Problem, Asset Appreciation the Solution?
Slowing Growth the Problem, Asset Appreciation the Solution? The Problem:The Fed and major central banks believe they are fighting a deflationary spiral battling ongoing misses to their inflation targets. But in truth their misguided policies are contributing to a depopulation spiral. They are forcing low interest rates that only exacerbate overcapacity for a consumer base among whom growth is fast decelerating. The cheap money is […]
Slowing Growth the Problem, Asset Appreciation the Solution?
Slowing Growth the Problem, Asset Appreciation the Solution? The Problem:The Fed and major central banks believe they are fighting a deflationary spiral battling ongoing misses to their inflation targets. But in truth their misguided policies are contributing to a depopulation spiral. They are forcing low interest rates that only exacerbate overcapacity for a consumer base among whom growth is fast decelerating. The cheap money is […]
Lacy Hunt Blasts MMT and Speaks of Hyperinflation If Implemented
Lacy Hunt Blasts MMT and Speaks of Hyperinflation If Implemented In the Hoisington First Quarter Review, Lacy Hunt blasts MMT as “self-perpetuating” inflation. Please consider the Hoisington Investment Quarterly Outlook for the first quarter of 2019. MMT Leads to Hyperinflation Under existing statutes, Fed liabilities, which they can create without limits, are not permitted to be used […]
Hyperinflation History May Provide Valuable Lessons for Fed’s “Target”
From Birch Gold Group Hyperinflation History May Provide Valuable Lessons for Fed’s “Target” In April of 1980 inflation peaked at a staggering 14.76%. That same year, the Fed triggered a rise in interest rates to near 20% around the same time, employing the controversial “Volcker Rule.” Paul Solman explained in a 2009 PBS Newshour: If by “interest rates” you […]
Over $10 Trillion In Debt Now Has A Negative Yield
Over $10 Trillion In Debt Now Has A Negative Yield NIRP is back. On Friday, when Germany reported disastrous mfg and service PMI prints, the 10Y German Bund finally threw in the towel, with the yield sliding back under zero for the first time in three years. When that happened, and when the 3M-10Y yield […]
The Capitulation of Jerome Powell and the Fed
The Capitulation of Jerome Powell and the Fed This past week, on March 20, 2019, Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell announced the US central bank would not raise interest rates in 2019. The Fed’s benchmark rate, called the Fed Funds rate, is thus frozen at 2.375% for the foreseeable future, i.e. leaving the central bank […]
Weekly Commentary: Doing Harm with Uber-Dovish
Weekly Commentary: Doing Harm with Uber-Dovish This week’s FOMC meeting will be debated for years – perhaps even decades. The Fed essentially pre-committed to no rate hike in 2019. The committee downgraded both its growth and inflation forecasts. Having all at once turned of little consequence, we can now dismiss the 3.8% unemployment rate and […]
The Reckoning
The Reckoning The big macro wheels are turning and everybody better pay very close attention. The Reckoning is coming. Best hope for a substantive China trade deal and a last minute save on Brexit to perhaps delay the inevitable: The Coming Recession. This week’s full frontal capitulation by the Fed has not only removed a key […]
Fed Can’t Get Out – Buy Gold Now – Jim Rickards
Fed Can’t Get Out – Buy Gold Now – Jim Rickards Four time best-selling author Jim Rickards says the Fed “throwing in the towel” on rate hikes is signaling a big problem for the economy. Rickards says, “The Fed was tightening to get ready for the next recession. . . . You need to cut […]
The Fed’s Failures Are Mounting
The Fed’s Failures Are Mounting In the decade between “60 Minutes” interviews, the central bank has sparked a recovery without inflation but not much else. Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former adviser to the president of the Dallas Fed, is the author of “Fed Up: An Insider’s Take on Why the Federal Reserve Is Bad for America,” […]
The Federal Reserve: A Failure of the Rule of Law
The Federal Reserve: A Failure of the Rule of Law “Money is power.” We’ve all heard this aphorism many times before. Too often it’s a lazy shorthand dismissal of the finding of mainstream economics, which show that the pursuit and possession of money often entails innocuous or even beneficial consequences for society. Dr. Johnson was […]
Federal Reserve Chairman Appears on 60 Minutes – Why Now?
Federal Reserve Chairman Appears on 60 Minutes – Why Now? One of the most famous, and prescient, financial cartoons in American history is the above depiction of the Federal Reserve Bank as a giant octopus that would come to parasitically suck the life out of all U.S. institutions as well as free markets. The image is […]
Ides and Tides
Ides and Tides Just as presidents are expected to act presidentially, Federal Reserve chairpersons are expected to act oracularly — as semi-supernatural beings who emerge now and again from some cave of mathematical secrets to offer reassuringly cryptic utterances on mysteries of the economy. And so was Jerome Powell wheeled out on CBS’s 60 Minutes Sunday night, […]
