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Report: Eagle Ford Shale Has Peaked, Lifting of Oil Export Ban Could Drain Field More Quickly

Report: Eagle Ford Shale Has Peaked, Lifting of Oil Export Ban Could Drain Field More Quickly A new report published by the Post Carbon Institute concludes that Texas’ Eagle Ford Shale basin, the most prolific shale oil basin in the U.S., has peaked and reached terminal decline status. The Post Carbon report dropped just as Congress is on the […]

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EIA Says Shale Continues to Decline

EIA Says Shale Continues to Decline The EIA’s Drilling Productivity Report has US shale oil on a steep decline. The below shale oil production charts are the EIA’s estimate of what shale production will look like through January 2016. Keep in mind this is the EIA’s estimate and not hard production numbers. The big drops here are […]

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Financial War over Oil Reshapes World, Will End with Much Higher Prices

Financial War over Oil Reshapes World, Will End with Much Higher Prices Low oil prices are the wreckage from a war – a financial war. By Larry Kummer, Editor of the Fabius Maximus website: Oil sell-off after OPEC makes even ECB look good. Better to have announced something, even if less than hoped for, than nothing […]

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Egypt update: net oil importer and chokepoints

Egypt update: net oil importer and chokepoints Oil production and consumption  Fig 1: Oil production vs consumption After a post-peak decline production has stabilized but consumption has increased relentlessly at a long-term 1.7% pa, slightly below population growth of around 2% pa. Egypt is now a net oil importer. On these trends, the gap between […]

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Oil Forecast From a Reputable Firm

Oil Forecast From a Reputable Firm The below charts were derived from the data published by a very reputable oil and gas analyst and forecaster in Texas. Because the firm charges for their data forecast I am at not at liberty to disclose their name. All data through 2014 is the actual price and production […]

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Peak Oil: Right Again [Pt 2]

Peak Oil: Right Again [Pt 2]           We continue with an examination of the statements offered in a recent example of cherry-picked nonsense, an article entitled: “Earth Is An Oil-Producing Machine — We’re Not Running Out.” The fine art of misleading the uninformed…. Delighted with the discovery that “Earth is actually an oil-producing […]

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Bakken(ND) Light Tight Oil – Update with Sep – 15 NDIC Data

Bakken(ND) Light Tight Oil – Update with Sep – 15 NDIC Data After years of following developments in extraction of light tight oil (LTO) in the Bakken, the oil price, studying actual well production data from the North Dakota Industrial Commission (NDIC) and the SEC 10-Q/Ks filings for several companies heavily exposed to the Bakken, a […]

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Shale Gas Rig Count Could Implode Here If Prices Don’t Rebound

Shale Gas Rig Count Could Implode Here If Prices Don’t Rebound The Haynesville Shale play needs $6.50 gas prices to break even. With natural gas prices just above $2/Mcf (thousand cubic feet), we question the shale gas business model that has 31 rigs drilling wells in that play that cost $8-10 million each to sell gas at […]

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Despite Cheap Gas, Coming Back to Peak Oil [Infographic]

Despite Cheap Gas, Coming Back to Peak Oil [Infographic] Yesterday, in Virginia, I filled up my gas tank for $2.75 a gallon. At that price, even old peak oilers like my wife and I hardly think about poor old King Hubbard’s theory much these days. And though gas has been cheap in the U.S. for […]

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The “Syrian Sickness”: What Crude Oil Gives, Crude Oil Can Take Back.

The “Syrian Sickness”: What Crude Oil Gives, Crude Oil Can Take Back. Syria is one of the greatest disasters of recent times. Here, I argue that the origins of the Syrian collapse are to be found in the economic downturn generated by the gradual depletion of the Syrian oil reserves. Crude oil had created modern […]

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The Case For Peak Oil

The Case For Peak Oil All charts below were created with data from JODI, the EIA and OPEC MOMR. It is in thousand barrels per day and the last data point is September 2015. World crude oil production has taken off during the last two years due primarily to US shale oil production and higher […]

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IEA: US$ 40 oil means 3 mp/d less oil by 2020

IEA: US$ 40 oil means 3 mp/d less oil by 2020 You want $40 oil? Yes, please. But according to the World Energy Outlook 2015 of the International Energy Agency, recently released in London, that would mean 3 mb/d less US tight (shale) oil by 2020.  That’s about 4% of global crude production. Fly less […]

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OPEC’s Strategy Is Working According To Cartel’s Latest Report

OPEC’s Strategy Is Working According To Cartel’s Latest Report OPEC, which has been exceeding its own oil-production cap during the past year, says output was down in October and forecasts a production drop overall next year because of the persistent low price of oil. The cartel’s Monthly Market Report, published Thursday, said its 12 members extracted […]

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Bakken Big Decline in September

Bakken Big Decline in September The NDIC has published their monthly update for Bakken Oil Productin and all North Dakota Oil Production. Bakken production was down 24,424 barrels per day while all North Dakota was down 25,378 bpd. Here is an amplified version of the last 15 months of North Dakota production. September 2015 production is now below […]

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OPEC Crude Production Down in October

OPEC Crude Production Down in October  OPEC has published their OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report with crude only production numbers for October 2015. The charts are “Crude Only” production and are in thousand barrels per day. OPEC 12 was down 256,000 bpd in October. OPEC uses secondary sources such as Platts and other agencies to report their production numbers. […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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