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Steen Jakobsen: Now Is The Time To Be In Capital-Preservation Mode

Steen Jakobsen: Now Is The Time To Be In Capital-Preservation Mode Saxo Bank’s CIO predicts a 15%+ market correction soon Steen Jakobsen, Chief Investment Officer and Chief Economist of Saxo Bank, is sounding a clear warning of an arriving market correction. Over-inflated asset prices, over-crowded trades, anemic market liquidity, and a continued decline in the […]

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DiMartino Booth: It Won’t Take Much More For The Fed To Break The Markets

DiMartino Booth: It Won’t Take Much More For The Fed To Break The Markets Via Financial Sense, The following is a summary of our recent FS Insider podcast, “Danielle DiMartino Booth: Problems at the Fed, More Volatility for the Markets.” Danielle DiMartino Booth, founder of Money Strong and author of Fed Up: An Insider’s Take on Why the Federal Reserve Is […]

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Trump and the Federal Reserve

Trump and the Federal Reserve Many of us would rather not think about the possibility of President Trump getting reelected, but there is little doubt that he is thinking about it. If Trump is serious about winning reelection, he may want to reconsider the sort of people he is appointing to the Federal Reserve. Virtually all political […]

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“Where Will It Stop?”: Libor Spread Blows Out Beyond Eurocrisis Highs, Central Banks Intervention Awaited

“Where Will It Stop?”: Libor Spread Blows Out Beyond Eurocrisis Highs, Central Banks Intervention Awaited Until two days ago, the critical level for both the Libor-OIS and FRA-OIS spread was the “psychological level” of 50bps. This, however, was breached on Wednesday when as we reported Libor pushed significantly higher without a matching move in swaps. […]

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Interbank Rates Starting to Rise – Monetary Crisis is Beginning

Interbank Rates Starting to Rise – Monetary Crisis is Beginning   Extremely reliable sources from Behind the Curtain in Europe are becoming deeply concerned that Draghi at the ECB has created a monumental economic disaster he is just praying to holding off until he leaves next year. Interest rates are already starting to rise significantly in […]

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Are We Nearly There Yet? Employment, Interest Rates and Inflation

ARE WE NEARLY THERE YET? EMPLOYMENT, INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION Rising interest rates and inflation are spooking financial markets Unemployment data suggests that labour markets are tight Central Banks will have to respond to a collapse in the three asset bubbles There are two factors, above all others, which are spooking asset markets at present, […]

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In this Era of Inflated Asset Prices, Can the Fed Raise Rates without Causing Financial Mayhem?

In this Era of Inflated Asset Prices, Can the Fed Raise Rates without Causing Financial Mayhem? Wolf Richter on the Keiser Report. The Fed is trying to accomplish a soft landing — hence the extraordinarily slow rate hikes — but our history with soft landings is very spotty, and there has never been more debt than now: Investors […]

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Gold–The Next Big Surprise

GOLD – THE NEXT BIG SURPRISE It’s been a while since I have written about precious metals. To some extent, this has been on purpose. I am a long-term fan of our little yellow friend, but there are definitely periods when I am more bullish than others. Over the past half year, my enthusiasm for […]

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The Fed Must Have Inflation. Failure Is Not an Option

The Fed Must Have Inflation. Failure Is Not an Option The Fed says incessantly that “price stability” is part of their dual mandate and they are committed to maintaining the purchasing power of the dollar. But the Fed has a funny definition of price stability. Common sense says price stability should be zero inflation and […]

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Bank Of Canada Holds Rates As Expected, Warns Trade “Growing Source Of Uncertainty”

Bank Of Canada Holds Rates As Expected, Warns Trade “Growing Source Of Uncertainty” Amid uncertainty around NAFTA (and Trump tariffs), and slumping economic data, The Bank of Canada was expected to ‘hold’ and endorse the two rate-hikes priced into the curve (notably less hawkish than the growing belief in The Fed’s four-hikes), and that is […]

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Are Subprime Debt Slaves, a Leading Indicator, Worrying the Fed?

Are Subprime Debt Slaves, a Leading Indicator, Worrying the Fed? Credit problems always appear first at the margins. The new Fed remains a somewhat unknown quantity: There are still four vacancies on the Fed’s seven-member Board of Governors that forms the core of the policy-making FOMC. The new Chairman, Jerome Powell, has already shown in […]

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Housing Collapse Coming Right Up

Housing Collapse Coming Right Up Mortgage rates are high and rising. Refinancing opportunities are nonexistent; home affordability has collapsed. The latest Black Knight Mortgage Monitor is worth a very close look. Here’s what the report says about the feature chart. Recent rate jumps coupled with climbing home prices have increased the cost to purchase the […]

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Never Mind Volatility: Systemic Risk Is Rising

Never Mind Volatility: Systemic Risk Is Rising So who’s holding the hot potato of systemic risk now? Everyone. One of the greatest con jobs of the past 9 years is the status quo’s equivalence of risk and volatility: risk = volatility: so if volatility is low, then risk is low. Wrong: volatility once reflected specific […]

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An Apocalyptic Paul Tudor Jones Warns The Fed Is About To Lose Control

An Apocalyptic Paul Tudor Jones Warns The Fed Is About To Lose Control In a striking interview with Goldman’s Allison Nathan, legendary trader Paul Tudor Jones argues that US inflation is set to accelerate sharply, making bonds a very poor investment, and that the Fed must act swiftly to tackle financial bubbles created by prolonged […]

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Chart Predicts Every Market Crash in History

Chart Predicts Every Market Crash in History The Fed blows bubbles. Then it eventually pops them. Where are we in the cycle? Bill Bonner writes This Has Predicted Every Market Crash in History. I recreated the chart in Fred and added trendlines. But let’s tune in to Bill Bonner. “Buy the dip” has worked for […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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