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Tag Archives: interest rates
Central Banker Observes Sudden “Evaporation” Of Dollar Funding, Warns Of Global Turmoil
Central Banker Observes Sudden “Evaporation” Of Dollar Funding, Warns Of Global Turmoil Last October, just as the Fed started shrinking its balance sheet, we published yet another article on what is arguably the biggest threat to not only risk assets, but also the global economy: “The Dollar Funding Shortage: It Never Went Away And It’s […]
You’re Paying Attention To The Wrong Interest Rate
You’re Paying Attention To The Wrong Interest Rate Lamensdorf Market Timing Report – Special Edition This special report by LMTR.com will highlight a few charts. Investors with a lot at stake should pay close attention to these gauges over the coming months. Failure to act on warning signs could be the difference between a comfortable […]
Canadian Banks See Mortgage Growth Stall As Interest Rates Rise
Canadian Banks See Mortgage Growth Stall As Interest Rates Rise As anybody who was around for the housing collapse will remember, nothing bursts a bubble in home prices faster than rising mortgage rates. And while US home prices have surpassed their pre-crisis peak, Canadian home prices have risen much more quickly than home prices in […]
When Rates Go Up, Stuff Blows Up
When Rates Go Up, Stuff Blows Up I’ve said the title of this issue a few times before in The 10th Man, here and here. When rates go up sharply, stuff blows up, because lots of people are negatively exposed to higher rates. Households, corporates, and governments are all negatively exposed to higher rates, in […]
Lie-Bor: Pitchforkers Rejoice
Lie-Bor: Pitchforkers Rejoice There’s a bit of a hullabaloo going on at the moment about LIBOR. And in truth, it is a pretty big deal. Yes, even bigger than whether or not Stormy Daniels got jiggetty with an old guy wearing a wig. And get this… even bigger than Kanye’s man-love for the same guy. What […]
Debt Deflation Italian Style
Debt Deflation Italian Style New York – This week The IRA will be at the MBA Secondary Market Conference & Expo, as always held at the Marriott Marquis in Times Square. The 8th floor reception and bar is where folks generally hang out. Attendees should not miss the panel on mortgage servicing rights at 3:00 […]
Hilarity in NIRP Zone: Italian 2-Year Yield Still Near 0%, as New Government Proposes Haircut for Creditors and Alternate Currency, Markets on “Knife Edge”
Hilarity in NIRP Zone: Italian 2-Year Yield Still Near 0%, as New Government Proposes Haircut for Creditors and Alternate Currency, Markets on “Knife Edge” The ECB’s Negative Interest Rate Policy has been the funniest monetary joke ever. The distortions in the European bond markets are actually quite hilarious, when you think about them, and it’s […]
Turkey Repatriates All Gold From The US In Attempt To Ditch The Dollar
Turkey Repatriates All Gold From The US In Attempt To Ditch The Dollar After Venezuela, Germany, Austria and the Netherlands prudently repatriated a substantial portion (if not all) of their physical gold held at the NY Fed or other western central banks in recent years, one month ago Turkey announced that it too has decided […]
Emerging Market Debt Defaults on the Horizon?
Emerging Market Debt Defaults on the Horizon? QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; You said that the emerging markets are a huge problem that will lead to a Sovereign Debt Default. Can you elaborate on that statement? Thank you for your insight VU ANSWER: The emerging markets are in far worse shape today than they were even back in 2008. […]
This Federal Policy Enabled the Fracking Industry’s $280 Billion Loss
This Federal Policy Enabled the Fracking Industry’s $280 Billion Loss Most people probably aren’t familiar with the acronym ZIRP. It stands for zero interest rate policy and is the policy that unintentionally created the American fracking bubble — just one of its many consequences. And while most people may not know much (if anything) about ZIRP […]
How People Turn into “Debt Slaves?”
How People Turn into “Debt Slaves?” Wolf Richter with Jim Goddard on This Week in Money: The Price of Easy Money, Low Interest Rates, and Debt Bubbles: After the party, the hangover. Read… The State of the American Debt Slaves, Q1 2018.
How the Economy Works as It Reaches Energy Limits — An Introduction for Actuaries and Others
How the Economy Works as It Reaches Energy Limits — An Introduction for Actuaries and Others Why have long-term interest rates generally fallen since 1981? Why have asset prices risen? Can these trends be expected to continue? The standard evaluation approach by actuaries and economists seems to be to look at past patterns and assume that […]
Weekly Commentary: Disequilibrium
Weekly Commentary: Disequilibrium Much to the consternation of our allies, President Trump withdraws from the Iran nuclear deal. WTI crude adds another 1.5% (up 17% y-t-d) this week to the high since November 2014. Iran and Israel moved closer to direct military confrontation. With even 40% rates unable to staunch the bleeding, a stunned Argentine […]
Beware of the Coming Economic Debt Bomb
Beware of the Coming Economic Debt Bomb Investors should start paying attention to the nation’s growing debt. Here’s why. “There is a sword of Damocles hanging over the head of every American. Sadly, it is about to drop.” Sorry for the drama, but I need to get your attention. We know that the Fed has […]
BIG BANG is Here and Ticking
BIG BANG is Here and Ticking QUESTION: Dear Marty, due to 5,000-year lows in interest rates, in 2011 the US was able to triple the debt but keep the payments the same as in 1998. With interest rates rising (but still historically low) in 2017 the US paid the highest interest payment on the debt […]
