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OPEC’s Doha Dilemma: 3MB/D US Lock in?

EUGEN BÖHM VON BAWERK: OPEC’S DOHA DILEMMA: 3MB/D US LOCK IN? Another month, another flight to Hamad international airport for 17th April after initial agreement to hold ‘upstream horses’ in February 2016. While it’s no doubt great fun getting back into the OPEC ‘masters of the oil universe’ routine, second time round, the stakes are rapidly […]

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Shale Euphoria: The Boom and Bust of Sub Prime Oil and Natural Gas

Shale Euphoria: The Boom and Bust of Sub Prime Oil and Natural Gas Those whom the gods wish to destroy they first send mad Introduction The aim of this article is to show that the shale industry, whether extracting oil or gas, has never been financially sustainable. All around the world it has consistently disappointed […]

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Texas Oil and Gas Production March 2016

Texas Oil and Gas Production March 2016 Most of the charts that follow were produced by Dean Fantazzini and are in barrels of output per day for oil, condensate, and oil plus condensate except where noted. In my opinion Dean’s estimates for Texas output for the most recent 24 months are the best that I […]

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China And India Rewrite The Rules Of The Oil And Gas Game

China And India Rewrite The Rules Of The Oil And Gas Game As the current oil price crisis leads to some game-changing upheavals in the global energy market, Asia’s two powerhouses, China and India, are taking advantage of the supply glut to rewrite the long-established rules of business. India and China have seen exponential growth […]

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Peak Oil: Choosing Chaos … or Not

Peak Oil: Choosing Chaos … or Not If/when a petroleum shortage impacts it will concentrate minds wonderfully. But when it comes the window of opportunity could be brief and risky. If things deteriorate too far too fast there could easily be too much chaos for sense to prevail and for us to organize cooperative local alternative systems. […]

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Supply Outages in OPEC Countries Push Up Oil Prices

Supply Outages in OPEC Countries Push Up Oil Prices Much of the current oil price rally – up about 50 percent in less than two months – is due to the growing optimism in the markets. That is, the price surge is driven by speculative movements, bets that oil prices will rise. However, the speculators […]

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Shock Report: Oil Oversupply Exaggerated: Millions of Barrels Go Missing: “Oil Market Could Tighten Substantially”

Shock Report: Oil Oversupply Exaggerated: Millions of Barrels Go Missing: “Oil Market Could Tighten Substantially” You may remember that just two months ago the International Energy Agency warnedthe oil market could “drown in oversupply” in 2016. The outlook for oil, which had tumbled 75% since 2012 and hit a low of $28 per barrel by mid January, was […]

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Jeff Rubin: Oil Sands Are ‘Hemorrhaging Red Ink,’ Doomed to Shutter

Jeff Rubin: Oil Sands Are ‘Hemorrhaging Red Ink,’ Doomed to Shutter Former CIBC chief economist outlines latest predictions at ‘Carbon Talks.’ Former CIBC world markets economist Jeff Rubin at SFU’s ‘Carbon Talks’ panel. On the right is Vancity’s mutual fund manager Dermot Foley. Photo by Mychaylo Prystupa. The oil sands are downsizing. Alberta’s Big Oil CEOs […]

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The Fed And The Oil Markets On Unsustainable Path As Election Looms

The Fed And The Oil Markets On Unsustainable Path As Election Looms Oil prices have increased 50 percent since the lows exhibited earlier this year, a rise that is largely linked to the positive market reaction to the OPEC output freeze. That comes even as for all intents and purposes OPEC has nearly reached its […]

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OPEC Declines in February Despite Huge Iran Increase

OPEC Declines in February Despite Huge Iran Increase All charts are through February 2016 The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report just came out. The charts are “Crude Only”production and do not reflect condensate production. Also the charts, except for Libya, are not zero based. I chose to amplify the change rather than the total. OPEC is now 13 […]

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Peak Oil: Simplicity Has Its Disadvantages

Peak Oil: Simplicity Has Its Disadvantages Few of us appreciate just how much we rely upon inexpensive, readily-available supplies of energy to live our lives. [W]hat future awaits us if we cannot be courageous and honest enough to plan for that future with the full range and understanding of all the facts now at our […]

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Why Oil Prices May Not Move Higher

Why Oil Prices May Not Move Higher The oil-price rally that began in mid-February will almost certainly collapse. It is similar to the false March-June 2015 rally. In both cases, prices increased largely because of sentiment. As in the earlier rally, current storage volumes are too large and demand is too weak to sustain higher […]

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Oil Price Crash Was Not Saudi Arabia’s Fault

Oil Price Crash Was Not Saudi Arabia’s Fault Quite simply, the Saudis want to maintain their market share, but their means to control that are dwindling. The whole internet is jam-packed with analysis portraying Saudi Arabia and OPEC as villains for the oil price collapse. On a closer look, however, the Saudi’s could have taken […]

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Why Saudi Arabia Has No Intention To End The Oil Glut

Why Saudi Arabia Has No Intention To End The Oil Glut In the geopolitical and oligopolistic global oil market, purely financial supply and demand has often been a secondary force, acting when it is allowed to act. It is the strategic behavior of the producing titans, not their talk or the slow-motion supply-demand balance, which […]

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Energy Wars of Attrition: The Irony of Oil Abundance

Energy Wars of Attrition: The Irony of Oil Abundance  Three and a half years ago, the International Energy Agency (IEA) triggered headlines around the world by predicting that the United States would overtake Saudi Arabia to become the world’s leading oil producer by 2020 and, together with Canada, would become a net exporter of oil around 2030. Overnight, […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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