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Do We Really Borrow From Only Ourselves? Does the Debt/GDP Ratio Means Anything?

Do We Really Borrow From Only Ourselves? Does the Debt/GDP Ratio Means Anything? QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, the famous economist Paul Krugman says that debt is ok when we owe it to ourselves. He calls it “deficit scolding” as he wrote in the New York Times. Would you like to comment on this statement? GH ANSWER: Paul […]

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NY Fed President Dudley Complains Unemployment is Too Low, Rate Hikes Needed

NY Fed President Dudley Complains Unemployment is Too Low, Rate Hikes Needed NY Fed President William Dudley is worried about the low unemployment rate. He thinks the Fed needs to be above neutral. New York Fed President William Dudley will retire Monday. Current San Francisco Fed chief John Williams will take over. He departs with […]

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Living Dangerously

Living Dangerously Regular readers of Goldmoney’s Insights should be aware by now that the cycle of business activity is fuelled by monetary policy, and that the periodic booms and slumps experienced since monetary policy has been used in an attempt to manage economic outcomes are the result of monetary policy itself. The link between interest […]

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Free Money Calculation: Fed Will Give $36.93 Billion of Taxpayer Money to Banks

Free Money Calculation: Fed Will Give $36.93 Billion of Taxpayer Money to Banks The Fed upped the interest it pays on excess reserves to 1.95% today. This is free money (taxpayer funded) to banks. The Fed bumped up the interest it pays on excess reserves today to 1.95%. Currently, excess reserves sit at $1.894 trillion. […]

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Blain: Will The Fed Hike Unleash The “Swing” Moment When Suddenly Balance Is Lost?

Blain: Will The Fed Hike Unleash The “Swing” Moment When Suddenly Balance Is Lost? Fed, Stratospheric dangers, US corporate leverage and the greater competition to manage funds. “Of all extinct life-forms, dinosaurs are the most popular. Why that should be is not clear… ” All eyes on the Fed today. They will hike by 25bp […]

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The Eurozone’s Coming Debt Crisis

The Eurozone’s Coming Debt Crisis The European Central bank has signaled the end of its asset purchase program and a possible rate hike before 2019. After more than 2 trillion euro of purchases and zero interest rate policy, it is overdue. The massive quantitative easing program has generated very significant imbalances and the risks outweigh […]

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Supply v Demand-Side Economic & What is Never Discussed

Supply v Demand-Side Economic & What is Never Discussed COMMENT: Usury, first the Fed starves we savers for return for 18 years with their zero percent interest rates and gave us two giant stock market crashes in that intervening period. The lack of return caused us to cannibalize our savings and trillions of savings lost thru […]

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ECB & Bonds – People Believe What They Want to Believe

ECB & Bonds – People Believe What They Want to Believe QUESTION: the ECB is arguing that given the low free float of EU bonds (especially German), bonds not owned by the ECB or other central banks, the impact of an end to APP purchases will be nowhere comparable to the tapering sell-off in the US […]

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All US Homes Are Overvalued

All US Homes Are Overvalued Dorothea Lange Children and home of cotton workers at migratory camp in southern San Joaquin Valley, CA 1936  My long time pal Jesse Colombo, now at Real Investment Advice, recently linked on Twitter to a Zero Hedge article, which quoted CoreLogic as saying more than half of American homes are […]

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Nomi Prins: Central Bank-Inspired “Major Credit Squeeze” Will Trigger Next Crisis

Nomi Prins: Central Bank-Inspired “Major Credit Squeeze” Will Trigger Next Crisis For all the talk about tapering (in both the US and Europe), the Federal Reserve has actually done remarkably little to reduce its balance sheet. And in an interview with Macrovoices Erik Townsend, former Wall Street executive Nomi Prins expands upon some of the […]

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18 Times The Fed Has Gone Through A Rate Hiking Cycle, And 18 Times It Has Caused A Huge Stock Market Decline And/Or A Recession

18 Times The Fed Has Gone Through A Rate Hiking Cycle, And 18 Times It Has Caused A Huge Stock Market Decline And/Or A Recession Since 1913, the Federal Reserve has engaged in 18 distinct interest rate hiking campaigns, and in every single one of those instances the end result was a large stock market […]

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Higher Oil Prices Might Not Destroy Demand Growth

Higher Oil Prices Might Not Destroy Demand Growth The recent jump in oil prices to $80 per barrel raised a lot of questions about whether or not the heady demand growth projections for this year would hold up. In fact, signs of strain quickly popped up in disparate parts of the world. But as governments […]

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Lira Soars After Turkish Central Bank Unleashes Massive, “Whatever It Takes” Rate Hike

Lira Soars After Turkish Central Bank Unleashes Massive, “Whatever It Takes” Rate Hike Ahead of today’s Turkish Central bank decision, analysts were adamant that if Turkey truly wants to ward off currency bears, it would have to deliver a “shock and awe” rate hike, greater than the whisper consensus call for a 100bps, especially since […]

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Total U.S. Public Debt & Interest Expense Hit A New Record High

Total U.S. Public Debt & Interest Expense Hit A New Record High The total U.S. public debt hit a new record high of $21.145 trillion on the last day in May.  As the U.S. debt increased, so did the interest expense which jumped by more than $26 billion in the first seven months of the […]

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The Pension Crisis Will Break Up the EU

The Pension Crisis Will Break Up the EU The German public broadcast agency ARD is proposing structural changes. Due to the low-interest rates, the ECB has placed the agency in hard times with its pensions. Karola Wille, the director, has called for structural reform to reduce costs. The proposal centers on technological change to increase efficiency […]

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