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Argentina Halts Soy Exports As Food Protectionism Soars 

Argentina Halts Soy Exports As Food Protectionism Soars  Russia’s invasion of Ukraine disrupted the global food supply chain as the prospect for dwindling stockpiles catapulted food prices to record highs. Governments worldwide are beginning to enforce protectionist measures to safeguard domestic food supplies. According to a memo signed by Javier Preciado Patino, the secretary for agriculture markets, Argentina made moves […]

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The Ins and Outs of Whose Money is it Anyway?

The Ins and Outs of Whose Money is it Anyway? “Inside, Outside…. Leave me alone! Inside, Outside … Nowhere is home! Inside, Outside … Where have I been? Out of my brain on the 5:15…” — The Who There’s been a massive reaction to Credit Suisse analyst Zoltan Poszar’s note about the birth of a new Bretton Woods […]

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A Bomb Cyclone Could Wallop Northeast With Heavy Snow 

A Bomb Cyclone Could Wallop Northeast With Heavy Snow  Despite the unseasonably warm temperatures in the eastern US earlier this week, winter isn’t over with eleven days left in the season. AccuWeather forecasters warn a potential ‘bomb cyclone’ could unleash accumulating snowfall from the central Appalachians to the interior Northeast on Friday through Saturday. “Confidence is growing for a significant storm that […]

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Food Crisis About To Get Worse After China Says Winter Wheat Condition Could Be Worst In History

Food Crisis About To Get Worse After China Says Winter Wheat Condition Could Be Worst In History The condition of China’s winter wheat crop could be the “worst in history,” the agriculture minister said on Saturday according to Reuters, raising concerns about grain supplies in the world’s biggest wheat consumer. Speaking to reporters on the sidelines […]

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European NatGas Jumps 64% As Chance Of Russian Energy Ban Ignites Mayhem

European NatGas Jumps 64% As Chance Of Russian Energy Ban Ignites Mayhem European natural gas futures soared Monday after reports the Biden administration was considering curbs on Russian crude imports sent shock waves across commodity markets. Brent surged to $137/bbl and quickly pared gains to trade near $125/bbl around 0630 ET. The focus is European […]

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All Hell Breaks Loose On Russian Oil Embargo Fears: Futures, Stocks Plunge As Oil Soars To $139, Gold Hits $2,000

All Hell Breaks Loose On Russian Oil Embargo Fears: Futures, Stocks Plunge As Oil Soars To $139, Gold Hits $2,000 All hell is breaking loose in the Sunday evening session where S&P equity futures and Asian markets tumbled, while havens such as sovereign bonds and gold soared amid fears of an inflation shock in the world economy as oil soared […]

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“Energy Shortages Could Threaten Social Cohesion”: Germany Warns Against Ban On Energy Imports From Russia

“Energy Shortages Could Threaten Social Cohesion”: Germany Warns Against Ban On Energy Imports From Russia At a time when US officials are saying virtually every day that the US is in “active discussions” to ban Russian oil imports, Germany’s economy minister said that while he regrets the country is still dependent on imports from Moscow, […]

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Food Crisis Imminent: Hungary Bans All Grains Exports Effective Immediately

Food Crisis Imminent: Hungary Bans All Grains Exports Effective Immediately (Update 1:25pm ET) – Those who have it, are no longer giving it away, and those that don’t will soon find themselves in the middle of an epic food crisis. Just hours after we reported that Russia effectively banned exports of fertilizers, moments ago Hungary – […]

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FRA-OIS Explodes: Here Is The Only Chart Powell Is Closely Watching, And Why It Is Soaring

FRA-OIS Explodes: Here Is The Only Chart Powell Is Closely Watching, And Why It Is Soaring Some were quick to mock repo guru and former NY Fed staffer Zoltan Pozsar when he warned that the unexpected western blockade of Russia had the feel of a Lehman weekend, because virtually nobody had any idea what the forced exclusion […]

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Two Oil Price Scenarios: One Bad, And One Catastrophic

Two Oil Price Scenarios: One Bad, And One Catastrophic Another day, another record discount for Russian Urals crude, which was offered at a price more than $22 below spot by oil trader Trafigura and still could find no giant… … confirmed what we previously observed, namely that the commodity world is splitting in two: a bidless market for Russian […]

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Zoltan Pozsar Warns Russian Sanctions Threaten Dollar’s Reserve Status

Zoltan Pozsar Warns Russian Sanctions Threaten Dollar’s Reserve Status Over the weekend, the world gasped in shock when Western powers announced that the nuclear option would be used against Russia in retaliation for its invasion of Ukraine – sanctions against the country’s central bank and targeted expulsions of key banks from SWIFT, a move which […]

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“Game Over?” – Russia To Be In Technical Default Within Hours

“Game Over?” – Russia To Be In Technical Default Within Hours More than two decades ago, on August 17, 1998, Russia defaulted on its debt and devalued the ruble, sparking a political crisis that culminated with Vladimir Putin replacing Boris Yeltsin and which also eventually resulted in the spectacular implosion of a then little known […]

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“The Market Is Starting To Fail”: Buyers Balk At Russian Oil Purchases Despite Record Discounts, Sanction Carve Outs

“The Market Is Starting To Fail”: Buyers Balk At Russian Oil Purchases Despite Record Discounts, Sanction Carve Outs While in their unprecedented broadside of sanctions on Russia, the U.S. and Western allies went out of their way to spare Russian energy shipments and keep economies humming and voters warm, the oil market has gone on […]

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China To “Immediately” Replenish Pork Supplies As World Short Commodities

China To “Immediately” Replenish Pork Supplies As World Short Commodities China’s top economic planner, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), announced Monday to “immediately” increase pork stockpiles around the country after prices fell last week, according to Bloomberg. NDRC said the country’s staple meat stockpiles are being replenished as an index monitoring pork prices […]

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US Bans Transactions With Russian Central Bank, Freezing Nearly Half Of Russia’s $630BN In Reserves

US Bans Transactions With Russian Central Bank, Freezing Nearly Half Of Russia’s $630BN In Reserves Following in the footsteps of Europe, on Monday the Biden administration banned U.S. people and companies from doing business with the Bank of Russia, the Russian National Wealth Fund and the Ministry of Finance. The moves by the U.S. Treasury’s […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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