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China Has A “Colossal Credit Bubble” And No One Knows How It Will Unwind, Marc Faber Warns

China Has A “Colossal Credit Bubble” And No One Knows How It Will Unwind, Marc Faber Warns A little over a week ago, Marc Faber dialed in from Thailand to chat with Bloomberg TV about the outlook for US equities, the American economy, and USTs in the new year. The US is “already in a recession,” the […]

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Yes, The ECB Chief Economist Really Said It: “If You Print Enough Money, You Always Get Inflation. Always.”

Yes, The ECB Chief Economist Really Said It: “If You Print Enough Money, You Always Get Inflation. Always.” Once upon a time there was a cute, if amusing and terribly disingenuous debate among those who have never actually traded but pretend to know finance, about what QE and “unconventional policy” actually was. “It’s an asset […]

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Bank Counterparty Risk Surges To 4-Year High

Bank Counterparty Risk Surges To 4-Year High The TED Spread is the difference between the interest rates on interbank loans and on short-term U.S. government debt and as such offers a proxy for how banks themselves perceive the relative creditworthiness of the financial system. The last time TED spread was surging to this level was late […]

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Grant Williams: The End Of The Road

Grant Williams: The End Of The Road The Fed is finally boxed in Grant Williams returns this week to set the context for this week’s FOMC meeting, where the Federal Reserve is widely expected to hike interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade. To say he is very skeptical of the Fed’s ability […]

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A Full Trunk Of Combustible Junk——The Wages Of ZIRP

A Full Trunk Of Combustible Junk——The Wages Of ZIRP Shuffling uncomfortably with paint brushes in hand in the tight monetary corner into which they have painted themselves, our monetary suzerains are about to demonstrate the folly of their seven-year stint of “extraordinary” policy accommodation. Even as ZIRP and QE have failed to rejuvenate the main street economy, they did trigger a far-reaching […]

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The Precipice

The Precipice   Global markets have found themselves again at the precipice. My sense is that everyone’s numb – literally dazed and confused from prolonged Monetary Disorder and the resulting perverted market backdrop. Repeatedly, “The Precipice” has signaled easy-money buying and trading opportunities. Again and again, selling, shorting and hedging at “The Precipice” guaranteed you were […]

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The Poison of Central Planning

The Poison of Central Planning As is well known, central banks around the world have deployed a range of “unconventional policies” in recent years, ranging from imposing zero to negative interest rates, to outright money printing (QE). Photo via americanpatriotdaily.com We have seen a number of people argue that “QE” does not really involve “money […]

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ECB & The Failed QE Stimulus

ECB & The Failed QE Stimulus The central banks are simply trapped. They have bought in bonds under the theory that this will stimulate the economy by injecting cash. But there are several problems with this entire concept. This is an elitist view to say the least for the money injected does not stimulate the […]

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Presenting SocGen’s 5 Black Swans For 2016

Presenting SocGen’s 5 Black Swans For 2016 If you’re the type who likes black swans this has been the month for you. On the political front, Portugal’s Socialists, led by Antonio Costa, formed an alliance with the Left Bloc and the Communists on the way to overthrowing the Passos Coelho government and presaging a repudiation of Berlin’s brand […]

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Swiss Bank “Goes There”, Applies Negative Rates To Retail Deposits

Swiss Bank “Goes There”, Applies Negative Rates To Retail Deposits Back in September in “How Mario Draghi Can Force The Swiss National Bank To Go ‘Nuclear On Depositors,” we discussed the implications of the ECB’s (likely) decision to plunge further into NIRP-dom at the bank’s December meeting. In short, DM central banks – with the […]

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Here Is The Complete Scenario In Which The Fed Hikes Rates, Starts A Recession, And Launches QE4

Here Is The Complete Scenario In Which The Fed Hikes Rates, Starts A Recession, And Launches QE Seven years after the Fed unleashed ZIRP and QE to “fix the economy”, it has finally admitted that ZIRP and QE failed to do that (although they certainly succeeded in blowing the biggest asset bubble ever), and for […]

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Global Trade (Still) In Freefall: Imports Collapse At Largest Three US Ports

Global Trade (Still) In Freefall: Imports Collapse At Largest Three US Ports We’ve said it before and we’ll say it again: global growth and trade are grinding to a halt. Back in September, we flagged comments from WTO chief economist Robert Koopman who warned that after a “burst of globalization”, we are now “at a point of […]

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Is Judgment Day At Hand?

Is Judgment Day At Hand? What is Judgment Day? It is like ancient times that the Feds, under Greenspan, somehow decided that US needed to follow a zero interest rate policy, a policy now known as the ZIRP.  It was 2008 when Bernanke gave birth to the term Quantitative Easing, QE. QE was followed by Operation […]

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This Time Is The Same——And Worse!

This Time Is The Same——And Worse! The current stock market melt-up hardly qualifies as limp. Even the robo-machines and hyper-ventilating day traders apparently recognize that their job is to tag the May 2015 highs and then get out of the way. So when and as they complete their pointless mission, the question recurs as to why the posse […]

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Experts Fear a Stealth Crash Has Already Begun: “Risk is Flashing Red”

Experts Fear a Stealth Crash Has Already Begun: “Risk is Flashing Red” It is more clear than ever that the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing program will eventually bring destruction to the planet. The world doubled down on risk after the 2008 crisis with nearly unlimited liquidity, and now debt is threatening to drown the global […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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