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Tag Archives: James Rickards
The Great Supply Chain Collapse
The Great Supply Chain Collapse What’s at the root of the supply chain breakdown? That’s a critical question but the answer is almost irrelevant. The supply chain is a complex dynamic system of immense scale. It is of a complexity comparable to the climate as a system. This means that exact cause and effect cannot […]
Supply Chain Disruptions Will Continue
Supply Chain Disruptions Will Continue Forty percent of all the cargo into the United States comes through the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. Offshore, there are thousands of containers stacked up on vessels waiting to get in. How many containers can the ports unload on a normal day? New containers are coming in. […]
Lies, Lies, Lies!
Lies, Lies, Lies! Politicians may be morons when it comes to public policy, but they’re geniuses when it comes to inventing new ways to control your life and steal your money. Tax increases seem old-fashioned compared with new 21st-century ways to take over the financial system to your detriment and make you pay for their […]
Contagion!
Contagion! There has been a litany of bad news recently, including the U.S. August humiliation in Afghanistan, China’s aggressive actions against Taiwan and increased tensions with Iran, North Korea and Russia. It will take the U.S. years, possibly decades, to recover from the debacle of August 2021 and the collapse of American prestige. All of […]
Tyranny
Tyranny I’d like to stop writing about COVID, but I can’t because it has such strong economic implications, which can’t be separated. And I’m afraid policies will be enacted that will only make things worse. We all know the Delta variant of the COVID virus (SARS-CoV-2) is spreading rapidly in the U.S. and Australia. Major […]
Biden’s Crime Against the Economy
Biden’s Crime Against the Economy I try to keep politics out of my economic analyses, and my approach is non-partisan. But sometimes I can’t avoid it because political policies can have significant economic impacts. Today is one of those times. One of Joe Biden’s first acts as President was to kill construction of the Keystone […]
The Real Russian Threat
The Real Russian Threat I’ve written for years about different nations’ persistent efforts to dethrone the U.S. dollar as the leading global reserve currency and the main medium of exchange. At the same time, I’ve said that such processes don’t happen overnight; instead, they happen slowly and incrementally over decades. The dollar displaced sterling as […]
Wrong… Again
Wrong… Again The Federal Reserve met last week and voted to keep interest rates unchanged. What a shock! The Fed also gave an upbeat forecast of economic growth, predicting that the U.S. economy will grow 6.5% this year, its highest rate in nearly 40 years. Its December 2020 forecast projected 4.2% growth. The Fed also […]
The Foundation for Potential Price Hyperinflation is Being Laid
The Foundation for Potential Price Hyperinflation is Being Laid The Federal Reserve sure seems to have a tough time finding and reporting signs of rising inflation — especially when it’s hidden in other sectors like a lack of demand for energy. A recent example of the Fed’s “inflation blindness” comes from a speech Chairman Jerome Powell gave […]
The Only Way Out of the Death Trap
The Only Way Out of the Death Trap I’ve said the U.S. is caught in a debt death trap. Monetary policy won’t get us out because the velocity of money, the rate at which money changes hands, is dropping. Printing more money alone will not change that. Fiscal policy won’t work either because of high […]
The Bogus Case Against Gold
The Bogus Case Against Gold Gold is in the early stages of its third great bull run that will take it to record heights. The first two great bull markets were 1971-1980 (gold up 2,200%) and 1999-2011 (gold up 760%). After peaking in 2011, gold fell sharply from that peak to below $1,100 per ounce […]
Inflation
Inflation Remember all those “green shoots?” That was the ubiquitous phrase used by White House officials and TV talking heads in 2009 to describe how the U.S. economy was coming back to life after the 2008 global financial crisis. The problem was we did not get green shoots, we got more like brown weeds. The […]
Rickards: This Time IS Different
Rickards: This Time IS Different Stocks stumbled out of the gate today, at least partially on fears about a resurgence in coronavirus cases. South Korea, which did an excellent job containing the virus, has reported a new batch of cases. Japan and Singapore also reported new cases. Infections are increasing in Germany as well, where […]
Worst Recession in 150 Years
Worst Recession in 150 Years The stock market had another big day today, spurred by the Fed’s massive recent liquidity injections. But you really shouldn’t be terribly surprised by the rally. Even the worst bear markets see substantial bouncebacks. And you can expect the market to give back all of its recent gains in the […]
Markets and Black Swans
Markets and Black Swans I began studying complexity theory as a consequence of my involvement with Long-Term Capital Management, LTCM, the hedge fund that collapsed in 1998 after derivatives trading strategies went catastrophically wrong. After the collapse and subsequent rescue, I chatted with one of the LTCM partners who ran the firm about what went […]
