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Powell’s Verschlimmbessern Fed

Powell’s Verschlimmbessern Fed According to wiki, verschlimmbessern is to make something worse in an honest but failed attempt to make it better.  Other working titles for today’s T-Report included So Much Communication, So Little Information The Over-Engineered and Micro-Managed Market The Catch-22 of Fed Policy Why do Today what you Can do Next Meeting? I’ll Gladly Cut […]

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Gold Will Rise Even If The Fed Doesn’t Cut Interest Rates

Gold Will Rise Even If The Fed Doesn’t Cut Interest Rates There has been much speculation lately on the Federal Reserve and its ongoing tightening policy. If you were to only read mainstream economic news you would think the Fed had already reversed course and “capitulated”, but this is not the case. The Fed continues […]

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For Those Who Don’t Understand Inflation

FOR THOSE WHO DON’T UNDERSTAND INFLATION This article is a wake-up call for those who do not understand the true purpose of monetary inflation, and do not realise they are the suckers being robbed by monetary policy. With the world facing a deepening recession, monetary inflation will accelerate again. It is time for everyone to […]

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Weekly Commentary: Abject Monetary Disorder

Weekly Commentary: Abject Monetary Disorder A market week that began with a U.S./China trade “truce” ended with much stronger-than-expected (224k) June non-farm payrolls data. There were new intraweek record highs in equities and no let up in the global yield collapse. Lacking was increased clarity as to prospects for trade negotiations, economic growth and central […]

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How the Fed Wrecks the Economy Over and Over Again

How the Fed Wrecks the Economy Over and Over Again When people talk about the economy, they generally focus on government policies such as taxation and regulation. For instance, Republicans credit President Trump’s tax cuts for the seemingly booming economy and surging stock markets. Meanwhile, Democrats blame “deregulation” for the 2008 financial crisis. While government […]

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The Real Reason Why The Fed Isn’t Cutting Interest Rates

The Real Reason Why The Fed Isn’t Cutting Interest Rates In an article published in September 2015 titled ‘The Real Reason Why The Fed Will Raise Interest Rates’ I outlined a kind of economic war game, a predictive theory in which the Federal Reserve would hike rates into clear economic weakness in order to deliberately cause the […]

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Weekly Commentary: Rejoicing Central Banker Capitulation

Weekly Commentary: Rejoicing Central Banker Capitulation June 21 – Neel Kashkari, Minneapolis Fed president: “In the Federal Open Market Committee meeting that concluded on Wednesday of this week, I advocated for a 50-basis-point rate cut to 1.75% to 2.00% and a commitment not to raise rates again until core inflation reaches our 2% target on […]

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No, Rate Cuts Were Not Discussed: ECB Insiders Out Draghi as Fabricator & Schemer, and Talk to Reuters

No, Rate Cuts Were Not Discussed: ECB Insiders Out Draghi as Fabricator & Schemer, and Talk to Reuters Draghi’s shenanigans get hilarious, months before his term ends. So here’s ECB President Mario Draghi, whose term ends in October, and he’s at the ECB Forum in Portugal, and in a speech on Tuesday titled innocuously, “Twenty Years of […]

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Blain’s Morning Porridge – 18th June 2019

Blain’s Morning Porridge – 18th June 2019 “Here’s to all the filthy money and where it went..”  Happy Birthday David!  Apologies for the lack of commentary y’day.. long, dull boring story involving the Isle of Wight Festival, transport hassles and a whiff of pot on a strike slowed train…  So much to think and worry […]

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Markets are being Lulled into a False Sense of Accommodation

Markets are being Lulled into a False Sense of Accommodation Those who take an interest in the actions of central banks will know that the advent of Brexit and Donald Trump’s presidency has seen the direction of monetary policy gradually change in both the UK and the U.S. Since the EU referendum, the Bank of England […]

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“The Market is Almost Always Wrong About What the Fed Will Do”: Chart

“The Market is Almost Always Wrong About What the Fed Will Do”: Chart The rate cuts for 2019 are a pipe-dream: Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank. It now makes two: The chief economists at investment banks Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank have warned their clients that the already priced-in rate cuts this year that markets […]

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Weekly Commentary: The Ignore Them, Then Panic Dynamic

Weekly Commentary: The Ignore Them, Then Panic Dynamic After years of increasingly close cooperation and collaboration, the relationship has turned strained. Both sides are digging in their heels. Credibility is on the line. If one side doesn’t back down, things could really turn problematic. The Fed is asserting that it’s not about to lower the […]

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The Next Economic Crisis and the Looming Post-Multipolar System

 The Next Economic Crisis and the Looming Post-Multipolar System The Impending Crisis At one time, specifically during the post-World War 2 Bretton Woods era, it looked like as if the capitalist model could be indefinitely sustainable and avoid plunging the world into major world conflicts. That era began to come to an end during the […]

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Nomura: The Fed Will Go Large; Expect A 50bp Cut Out Of The Gate… And Soon

Nomura: The Fed Will Go Large; Expect A 50bp Cut Out Of The Gate… And Soon it may seem morbid, if not grotesque, to discuss the Fed cutting rates on the day when the S&P just hit a new all time high, but as a result of the previously discussed US bank liquidity and dollar shortage thesis, now also […]

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Loonie Tumbles As Bank Of Canada Capitulates

Loonie Tumbles As Bank Of Canada Capitulates Add The Bank of Canada to the list of flip-flopping central banks as it has now fully abandoned its bias toward raising interest rates as the economy grapples with a slowdown, bringing its policy into line with the Fed. “Governing Council judges that an accommodative policy interest rate continues […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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