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Fed and Treasury Steer Their Unsinkable Ship toward Iceberg
Fed and Treasury Steer Their Unsinkable Ship toward Iceberg This past week we got to observe Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the US stock market andthe US bond market do everything I said they would do in their complicated shuffle of ships-and-icebergs: “I’m sure many helium-headed stock investors believe the lilly-livered Fed will turn tail […]
The Mainstream Is Wrong About Rising Bond Yields and Gold
The Mainstream Is Wrong About Rising Bond Yields and Gold Prices are going up. The Federal Reserve is printing money at an unprecedented rate. The US government continues to borrow and spend at a torrid pace. As Peter Schiff put it in a recent podcast, we’re adrift in a sea of inflation. Gold is supposed to be an […]
Monetary Policy at a Crossroad: Policymakers Need to Break Promise of Easy Money to Avoid Boom-Bust
Monetary Policy at a Crossroad: Policymakers Need to Break Promise of Easy Money to Avoid Boom-Bust The Federal Reserve’s new policy approach is that policymakers want to see “actual progress, not forecast progress” before deciding to change its policy stance. Substantial actual progress is occurring in the economy, some faster than others. How much monetary […]
QE During the “Everything Mania”: Fed’s Assets at $7.7 Trillion, up $3.5 Trillion in 13 months
QE During the “Everything Mania”: Fed’s Assets at $7.7 Trillion, up $3.5 Trillion in 13 months But long-term Treasury yields have surged, to the great consternation of our Wall Street Crybabies. The Fed has shut down or put on ice nearly the entire alphabet soup of bailout programs designed to prop up the markets during […]
US Dollar’s Status as Dominant “Global Reserve Currency” Drops to 25-Year Low
US Dollar’s Status as Dominant “Global Reserve Currency” Drops to 25-Year Low Central banks getting nervous about the Fed’s drunken Money Printing and the US Government’s gigantic debt? But still leery of the Chinese renminbi. The global share of US-dollar-denominated exchange reserves dropped to 59.0% in the fourth quarter, according to the IMF’s COFER data […]
The Hazardous Detour in the Road to “Recovery” Few Foresee
The Hazardous Detour in the Road to “Recovery” Few Foresee As the level of Fed smack and crack needed to maintain the high increases, system fragility increases geometrically. You know the plot point in the horror film where the highway is blocked and a detour sign directs the car full of naive teens off onto a rutted track into […]
Peter Schiff: The Box That the Federal Reserve Is In
Peter Schiff: The Box That the Federal Reserve Is In Jerome Powell and Janet Yellen testified jointly before the US Senate last week. Inflation was a big topic of conversation. The Fed chair continued to insist that the central can fight inflation if necessary, but that it really isn’t a problem we need to worry […]
The Losses are Hidden – Bill Holter
The Losses are Hidden – Bill Holter Precious metals expert and financial writer Bill Holter has been predicting the financial system is going to go down sooner than later. He says the signs are the lies being told to the public to try to hold the system together. Holter explains, “If you look at everything, […]
There’s a Serious Flaw to the Team Powell-Yellen Inflation Scheme
There’s a Serious Flaw to the Team Powell-Yellen Inflation Scheme If you’re a wage earner, retiree, or a lowly saver, your wealth is in imminent danger. A lifetime of schlepping and saving could be rapidly vaporized over the next several years. In fact, the forces towards this end have already been set in motion. Indeed, […]
Weekly Commentary: Powell on Inflation
Weekly Commentary: Powell on Inflation The Treasury yield spike runs unabated. Ten-year Treasury yields rose another 10 bps this week to 1.72%, the high since January 23, 2020. The Treasury five-year “breakeven” inflation rate rose to 2.65% in Tuesday trading, the high since July 2008. The Philadelphia Fed’s Business Survey Prices Paid Index surged to […]
Wrong… Again
Wrong… Again The Federal Reserve met last week and voted to keep interest rates unchanged. What a shock! The Fed also gave an upbeat forecast of economic growth, predicting that the U.S. economy will grow 6.5% this year, its highest rate in nearly 40 years. Its December 2020 forecast projected 4.2% growth. The Fed also […]
Powell, Do You Even Know What The Economy Is?
Powell, Do You Even Know What The Economy Is? To Clarify, Main Street Is Not Wall Street After all the destructive policies we have seen coming out of the Eccles Building, it may be time to ask Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, “Do you even know what the economy is?” All the easing and stimulus has […]
First Signs that Surging Mortgage Rates Are Dialling Down the Heat under the Housing Market
First Signs that Surging Mortgage Rates Are Dialling Down the Heat under the Housing Market The Fed smiles upon rising long-term Treasury yields as sign of economic growth and rising inflation expectations. Long-term US Treasury yields have continued to march higher despite the Fed’s purchases of about $120 billion a month in Treasury securities and […]
“Things Are Out Of Control” – There Is A Shortage Of Everything And Prices Are Soaring: What Happens Next
“Things Are Out Of Control” – There Is A Shortage Of Everything And Prices Are Soaring: What Happens Next In Wednesday’s press conference, Jay Powell confirmed that the Fed is setting off on a historic experiment: welcoming a conflagration of red-hot inflation for an indefinite period of time in an overheating economy, with the underlying […]
Gold vs. the stock market
Gold vs. the stock market More than 3,000 years ago in the early 12th century BC, Greco-Roman legend tells us of a mythical pair of monsters located in the Strait of Messina in southern Italy. The monsters were named Scylla and Charybdis. And both Homer’s Odyssey and Virgil’s Aeneid describe the terror of sailors who […]
