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Tag Archives: recession
Vancouver Real Estate Goes Full-Retard; Average Home Price Now $1.8 Million
Vancouver Real Estate Goes Full-Retard; Average Home Price Now $1.8 Million Last week we identified a “bargain” in Canadian real estate. As you might recall, the Canadian economy is in a bit of a tailspin, and that goes double for the country’s dying oil patch. Indeed, we’ve documented Alberta’s painful experience with slumping crude exhaustively, noting that […]
Negative Interest Rates Already In Fed’s Official Scenario
Negative Interest Rates Already In Fed’s Official Scenario Over the past year, and certainly in the aftermath of the BOJ’s both perplexing and stunning announcement (as it revealed the central banks’ level of sheer desperation), we have warned (most recently “Negative Rates In The U.S. Are Next: Here’s Why In One Chart”) that next in […]
Global Trade Collapsed In January: Bellwether South Korea Exports Crash “Most Since Lehman”
Global Trade Collapsed In January: Bellwether South Korea Exports Crash “Most Since Lehman” As the first major exporting nation to report each month, all eyes and hopeful speculative capital was glued to tonight’s South Korean trade data. After a brief respite in November, December’s drop was worrisome, but January’s just reported 18.5% crash – the most […]
Citi On Why Negative Rates Are Like Potato Chips: “No One Can Have Just One”
Citi On Why Negative Rates Are Like Potato Chips: “No One Can Have Just One” Now that Japan has let the negative rates genie out of the bottle, or as DB put it, ‘opened the Pandora’s Box‘ and in the process unleashed the latest global “silent bank run” and capital flight, prepare to hear a […]
Death Throes Of The Bull
Death Throes Of The Bull The fast money and robo-machines keep trying to ignite stock rallies, but they all fizzle because bad karma is beginning to infect the casino. That is, apprehension is growing among whatever adults are left on Wall Street that 84 months of ZIRP and $3.5 trillion of Fed balance sheet expansion, aka money printing, […]
Alberta Loses Most Jobs In 34 Years As Oil Crunch Cripples Labor Market
Alberta Loses Most Jobs In 34 Years As Oil Crunch Cripples Labor Market Times are tough in Alberta and to be sure, we’ve piled it on heavy when it comes to cataloguing the long list of pitiable outcomes that have accompanied crude’s steep slide. The province is at the center of Canada’s dying oil patch […]
The Paris Gravity Well, Part II: Trillionization
The Paris Gravity Well, Part II: Trillionization “We will not suddenly convert steel mills, cement kilns and road surfacing machines to operate on sunbeams.” Charlie said, “That’s the trouble. You see it the way the banking industry sees it and they make money by manipulating money irrespective of effects in the real world. You’ve spent […]
Only Recession Can Prevent An Oil Price Spike
Only Recession Can Prevent An Oil Price Spike The biggest result from the collapse in oil prices could be a future price spike. Oil prices at $30 per barrel have put most producers under water. That has led to austere budgets and severe cuts to spending. Wood Mackenzie recently estimated that $380 billion in major […]
Clueless in Davos
Clueless in Davos Making their annual pilgrimage to the exclusive Swiss ski sanctuary of Davos last week, the world’s political and financial elite once again gathered without having had the slightest idea of what was going on in the outside world. It appears that few of the attendees, if any, had any advance warning that […]
Can lower oil prices cause a recession?
Can lower oil prices cause a recession? Donald Luskin writes in the Wall Street Journal: The global economy is slipping into recession. The evidence is showing up in all the usual ways: slowing output growth, slumping purchasing-manager indexes, widening credit spreads, declining corporate earnings, falling inflation expectations, receding capital investment and rising inventories. But this is […]
Texas Economy Collapses – Dallas Fed Survey Crashes To 6-Year Lows As “D” Word Is Uttered
Texas Economy Collapses – Dallas Fed Survey Crashes To 6-Year Lows As “D” Word Is Uttered For the 13th month in a row, The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Outlook was contractionary with a stunning -34.6 print following December’s already disastrous collapse back to -20.1, post-crisis lows. With “hope” having plunged back into negative territory (-2.2) in December, January […]
Why the Black Hole of Deflation Is Swallowing the Entire World … Even After Central Banks Have Pumped Trillions Into the Economy
Why the Black Hole of Deflation Is Swallowing the Entire World … Even After Central Banks Have Pumped Trillions Into the Economy Deflation Threatens to Swallow the World Many high-powered people and institutions say that deflation is threatening much of the world’s economy … China may export deflation to the rest of the world. Japan is mired in […]
Schlumberger’s Terrifying Moment Of Truth About The US Energy Sector
Schlumberger’s Terrifying Moment Of Truth About The US Energy Sector Having laid off 10,000 employees (and boosted his share buyback program by $10 billion – because that has worked out so well in the past), it appears Schlumberger CEO Paal Kibsgaard unleashes some very uncomfortable truthiness on his audience this morning during the earnings call, […]
Canadian Pacific Warns Of “Tremendous Pressure”, “Strong Headwinds” For Economy
Canadian Pacific Warns Of “Tremendous Pressure”, “Strong Headwinds” For Economy One week ago, when we explained why “Things Just Went From Bad To Worse For U.S. Railroads,” we said that “the rail industry is about to be slammed with a dramatic repricing, one which is only the start and the longer oil prices remain at […]
To Hell in a Handcart
To Hell in a Handcart $5 Trillion up in Smoke POITOU, France – Pessimism is a sin against God, said money manager Charles Gave. It suggests ingratitude. And a lack of faith. After all, this is God’s world. What, not good enough for you? That’s why we are always optimistic at the Diary. Things don’t always […]
