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Tag Archives: recession
The Problem with a State-Cartel Economy: Prices Rise, Wages Don’t
The Problem with a State-Cartel Economy: Prices Rise, Wages Don’t The vise will tighten until something breaks. It could be the currency, it could be the political status quo, it could be the credit/debt system–or all three. The problem with an economy dominated by state-enforced cartels and quasi-monopolies is that prices rise (since cartels can […]
The Everything Bubble—Waiting For The Pin
The Everything Bubble—Waiting For The Pin Yesterday we noted that financial markets have become completely uncoupled from reality and that the recent feeble bounces between the 20-day and 50-day chart points were essentially the rigor mortis of a dead bull. As it happened, we were able to share those sentiments with what remains of CNBC’s audience of carbon-based […]
The Fed Must Have Inflation. Failure Is Not an Option
The Fed Must Have Inflation. Failure Is Not an Option The Fed says incessantly that “price stability” is part of their dual mandate and they are committed to maintaining the purchasing power of the dollar. But the Fed has a funny definition of price stability. Common sense says price stability should be zero inflation and […]
Stock Market Plunges: Down 1,175 Sparking Recession Fears
Stock Market Plunges: Down 1,175 Sparking Recession Fears Many analysts have predicted an economic crisis is just over the horizon. Could the stock market’s recent plunge be the recession they’ve said is long overdue? The drop amounted to just a 4.6% drop, which doesn’t seem like much; but it’s the biggest decline since August 2011, during the European […]
War, Peace and Recession
War, Peace and Recession December and January are usually two busy months for researchers as they release prediction/forecast of the New Year. We are going to briefly discuss two such forecasts here. Top 5 World War III Crises The first one is a geopolitical forecast, 5 Places World War III Could Start in 2018, published […]
Beyond Cynicism: America Fumbles Towards Kafka’s Castle
Beyond Cynicism: America Fumbles Towards Kafka’s Castle On America’s ‘long emergency’ of recession, globalization, and identity politics. Credit: alisafarov/Shutterstock Nobody knows, from sea to shining sea, why we are having all this trouble with our republic. — Tom McGuane Can a people recover from an excursion into unreality? The USA’s sojourn into an alternative universe of […]
Climate Crisis, ‘Smart’ Growth and the Logic of Calamity
Climate Crisis, ‘Smart’ Growth and the Logic of Calamity A few years back at a Leftish gathering a group of self-described Marxist economists channeled liberal Democrat Paul Krugman’s explanation of the Great Recession without apparently knowing of Mr. Krugman’s thesis. Basically, a self-perpetuating recession had a grip on the economy, Wall Street was a catalyst […]
Fed Hints During Next Recession It Will Roll Out Income Targeting, NIRP
Fed Hints During Next Recession It Will Roll Out Income Targeting, NIRP In a moment of rare insight, two weeks ago in response to a question “Why is establishment media romanticizing communism? Authoritarianism, poverty, starvation, secret police, murder, mass incarceration? WTF?”, we said that this was simply a “prelude to central bank funded universal income”, […]
Low Interest Rates Subsidize Wealthy Households
LOW INTEREST RATES SUBSIDIZE WEALTHY HOUSEHOLDS When the economy begins to sink into recession, politicians, mainstream economists, policy wonks, and the Federal Reserve begin beating the economic stimulus drum. Politicians, however, disagree over the type of stimulus to implement. The center-left party proposes greater expenditures on public assistance programs. The center-right party supports permanent tax […]
“The Nightmare Scenario” Revisited: Albert Edwards Lays Out The Next “Black Monday”
“The Nightmare Scenario” Revisited: Albert Edwards Lays Out The Next “Black Monday” Is it the onset of a recession or the fear of a recession that causes a crash? That is what SocGen’s bear (or, as he calls himself this time, wolf) Albert Edwards contemplated on the 30th anniversary of Black Monday, before reaching the […]
Low Interest Rates Subsidize Wealthy Households
Low Interest Rates Subsidize Wealthy Households When the economy begins to sink into recession, politicians, mainstream economists, policy wonks, and the Federal Reserve begin beating the economic stimulus drum. Politicians, however, disagree over the type of stimulus to implement. The center-left party proposes greater expenditures on public assistance programs. The center-right party supports permanent tax […]
Van Halen, M&Ms, And The Next Market Downturn
Van Halen, M&Ms, And The Next Market Downturn How watching the right indicators will avoid disaster The planet-sized egos of rock & roll performers are legendary. Few things symbolize this better than the outrageous requests they often make when on tour. These requests are referred to as “riders”, and appear in the contract a tour […]
Finding the Root Cause of Recessions
Finding the Root Cause of Recessions Two things bear most of the blame: external shocks and economic volatility. Beware of shocks. Photographer: Gary Hershorn/Getty Images The U.S. managed to avoid recession after the financial crisis, but Japan has succumbed to three contractions since 2009. Economic volatility is a key reason for this divergence, and that […]
US Companies Are More Indebted, More Leveraged, Less Profitable, And More Richly Valued Than Ever
US Companies Are More Indebted, More Leveraged, Less Profitable, And More Richly Valued Than Ever Via MauldinEconomics.com, Once again I start with a warning: A recession is eventually coming and a financial crisis with it. There is a real potential for it to come soon, although serious tax reform could delay it. But sooner or […]
