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Growth or Scale?

Growth or Scale? Image by Peggy und Marco Lachmann-Anke from Pixabay Demonstrating that growth can’t continue on a finite planet has been a favorite sport of mine in the past (e.g., here, here, and here). But it’s child’s play, really: not a difficult accomplishment. Still, as blatantly obvious as it is, a surprising number of people are surprised […]

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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh LXXVII–It’s Too Late For Managed Degrowth

Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh LXXVII November 15, 2022 (original posting date) Chitchen Itza, Mexico. (1986) Photo by author. It’s Too Late For Managed Degrowth This contemplation is a ‘short’ comment I shared on an article by Martin Tye that showed up on my Medium feed and I read this morning. It asks an important question in whether […]

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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh XXXV–Exponential Growth, Natural Carrying Capacity, and Ecological Overshoot

Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh XXXV December 8, 2021 Pompeii, Italy (1984) Photo by author Exponential Growth, Natural Carrying Capacity, and Ecological Overshoot The following very short contemplation was in response to some comments on an Andrew Nikiforuk article in The Tyee. As an Apex predator, humans were on a path from the outset to likely overshoot the […]

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Why Civilization Would Collapse Even Without Climate Change

Why Civilization Would Collapse Even Without Climate Change Even if there were no climate change, civilization would still collapse in the next few decades. Here’s why. I want to start by emphasizing that I have nothing but love and respect for the millions of climate activists in the world, many of whom work tirelessly to […]

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Dusk of a Global Empire

Dusk of a Global Empire The slow passing of a global hegemon, the Empire of all empires, made me ponder how it will pass to the pages of history books. Apparently, its ruling elite has chosen a strategy called spite: knowingly (or unknowingly) hurting their own self interest, hoping that their enemies will be hurt […]

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Death by Hockey Sticks

Death by Hockey Sticks Courtesy Pixabay (PhotoMIX-Company) You may be familiar with the term “hockey stick curve,” used describe a trend that has been flat/stable for a very long time, but shoots up at the end of the series in dramatic fashion, resembling the shape of a hockey stick. Hockey can be a violent sport, […]

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Degrowth economy: The climate solution no one is talking about

Degrowth economy: The climate solution no one is talking about For all the talk of renewable energy, electric vehicles and plant-based diets, there’s a gaping hole in the way we’re trying to solve accelerating climate change. We will not stay below 2°C of warming while pursuing economic growth — yet barely anyone talks about it. […]

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The Necessary Climate Solution No-one is Talking About

The Necessary Climate Solution No-one is Talking About For all the talk of renewable energy, electric vehicles and plant-based diets, there’s a gaping hole in the way we’re trying to solve accelerating climate change. We will not stay below 2°C of warming while pursuing economic growth – yet barely anyone talks about it. Since the end of […]

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Exponentiality Leads to Finality

EXPONENTIALITY LEADS TO FINALITY As technological developments and markets go parabolic, we observe many market “experts”, even intelligent ones, forecasting that we are now in an exponential economic era. Thus many believe that this will go on forever. This is the typical attitude at market and economic tops and guarantees that THIS WILL NOT END WELL! […]

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Everything is On Fire

EVERYTHING IS ON FIRE “Everything is on fire” – Heraclitus (535-475 BC) What Heraclitus meant was that the world is in a constant state of flux. But the big problem in the next few years is that the world will experience a fire of a magnitude never seen before in history. I have in many […]

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The Survivors Will Be Bioregional

The Survivors Will Be Bioregional I want to talk to all of you today about the humans that survived the current planetary predicament. How did they organize their lives? What was the key to their success? It is no secret that we are in the midst of a severe period of ecological collapse. The exploding human population lay […]

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The Early Roots of a Modern Crisis

The Early Roots of a Modern Crisis This is our challenge: to move a world of almost 8 billion people, most involved in an economic system with tremendous inequality, a clear imperative to expand, and a chronic tendency to stagnate, toward some real rapprochement with earth. This is a monumental challenge. If nothing else, the […]

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Is High Inflation Now A Bigger Danger Than A Deflationary Crash?

Is High Inflation Now A Bigger Danger Than A Deflationary Crash? What’s the more likely event at this point: a deflationary crash or runaway inflation? For a long time, Peak Prosperity co-founder Adam Taggart and I have hewed to the “Ka-POOM!” theory, which states that a major deflation will scare the central banks so badly […]

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We’re Dumb about Exponential Growth. That’s Proving Lethal

We’re Dumb about Exponential Growth. That’s Proving Lethal And not just for COVID-19. The same ignorance accelerates the climate crisis. Gradually, and then suddenly. That’s how exponential growth can ruin your day, undo your family, evaporate your economy, destroy your climate, crush an empire and destabilize a planet. Consider the performance of COVID-19. Last month […]

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Human Consumption of Natural Resources Exceeds an Annual 100 Billion Tonnes.

Human Consumption of Natural Resources Exceeds an Annual 100 Billion Tonnes. In 1969, the late Professor Albert Bartlett famously delivered a lecture, entitled “Arithmetic, Population and Energy”, which begins with the observation that, “The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.” The truth of this is profound and irrefutable, as is […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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