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Here’s How “Prosperity” Ends: Global Bubbles Are Popping
Here’s How “Prosperity” Ends: Global Bubbles Are Popping So here we are: the global credit-asset bubbles are popping, and the illusory “prosperity” generated by the bubbles is about to tumble off a cliff. There are two kinds of prosperity, one fake, one real. Bogus “prosperity” depends on credit-asset bubbles inflating, magically creating “wealth” not from labor, […]
Our Leaders Made a Pact with the Devil, and Now the Devil Wants His Due
Our Leaders Made a Pact with the Devil, and Now the Devil Wants His Due The unprecedented credit-fueled bubbles in stocks, bonds and real estate are popping, and America’s corrupt leaders can only stammer and spew excuses and empty promises. Unbeknownst to most people, America’s leadership made a pact with the Devil: rather than face the […]
We’re in a Bubble that’s Too Big To Fail
We’re in a Bubble that’s Too Big To Fail I’ve been hearing the phrase “Everything Bubble” come up more often lately. This isn’t a new phrase, Graham Summers was among the first to coin it in his 2017 book “The Everything Bubble: The Endgame for Central Bank Policy”: “The Everything Bubble chronicles the creation and evolution […]
Market Begins To Internalize Reality
Market Begins To Internalize Reality Summary The financial media is beginning assign blame to the recent stock market weakness to the spike in COVID cases and the potential for a November Democratic sweep of the White House and both chambers of Congress Nothing new to GMM as we have been on this early and stood alone […]
Can You Time Peak Crazy?
Can You Time Peak Crazy? You don’t need me to tell you how completely crazy and distorted the financial markets have become over the last decade. Anyone reading this already knows that, which is partly why I stopped writing on the topic several years ago. I came to the conclusion there was no point in […]
The Ghost Of Christmas Future
The Ghost Of Christmas Future Here in the brief period between Christmas and New year’s, as a writer I am obligated to say happy, wishful things. I have to confess, I’m just not feeling it this year, so I’ll just do the minimum here and return to being a curmudgeon, because that’s what the times […]
This ‘Deflationary’ Bull Markets Ending – And Here’s What’s Coming Next For Investors
This ‘Deflationary’ Bull Markets Ending – And Here’s What’s Coming Next For Investors After many years of cheap money and asset bubbles – it looks like the upside is finally over. That is – the potential upside against the amount of risk taken on – is over. I often write about investors needing to find […]
Debt-enabled asset bubbles on crash course with demographics
Debt-enabled asset bubbles on crash course with demographics For anyone who may have been unconscious or in outer space for the last 20 years, here are the Coles Notes: If finance had not been able to ‘securitize’ debts (turn them into assets) and sell them to speculators/investors over the past two decades, then debt creation […]
The Fascinating Psychology of Blowoff Tops
The Fascinating Psychology of Blowoff Tops Central banks have guaranteed a bubble collapse is the only possible output of the system they’ve created. The psychology of blowoff tops in asset bubbles is fascinating: let’s start with the first requirement of a move qualifying as a blowoff top, which is the vast majority of participants deny […]
Weekly Commentary: Issue 2018: Market Structure
Weekly Commentary: Issue 2018: Market Structure Financial conditions are much too loose. They remain too loose at home; they remain too loose abroad. January 3 – ETF.com (Heather Bell): “…ETF flows really blew away previous records. Flows into exchange-traded funds were going full blast throughout the year and finished on a particularly strong note. A […]
The Inescapable Reason Why the Financial System Will Fail
girardatlarge.com The Inescapable Reason Why the Financial System Will Fail Credit cannot expand faster than fundamentals forever Modern finance has many complex moving parts, and this complexity masks its inner simplicity. Let’s break down the core dynamics of the current financial system. The Core Dynamic of the “Recovery” and Asset Bubbles: Credit Credit is the […]
How the Asset Bubble Could End – Part 2
How the Asset Bubble Could End – Part 2 Contradictory Signals Special antennae that help traders catch upcoming opportunities. Available from the same outfit that sells the soup-cooling spoon (Acme Inc). There is just one more positioning indicator we want to mention: after surging by around $126 billion since March of 2016, NYSE margin debt […]
Three Bubbles/Strikes and You’re Out
Three Bubbles/Strikes and You’re Out Those betting on a fourth bubble of even greater extremes will find their time at bat has come to an end. The conventional investment wisdom holds that central banks will never let markets decline. This is an interesting belief, given that two previous asset bubbles based on central bank “easy […]
The Chart That Explains Everything
The Chart That Explains Everything Why is the economy barely growing after seven years of zero rates and easy money? Why are wages and incomes sagging when stock and bond prices have gone through the roof? Why are stocks experiencing such extreme volatility when the Fed increased rates by a mere quarter of a percent? […]
Our “Star Wars” Economy: The Fed-Farce Awakens
Our “Star Wars” Economy: The Fed-Farce Awakens The Fed’s hubris has led it to the Dark Side. It’s not just a movie, it’s real life: the Fed-Farce awakens. Now that the Federal Reserve has finally voted to “restore order to the galaxy” with a tiny .25% rate increase, the true measure of our travesty of a mockery […]
