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Peak Oil in South & Central America

Peak Oil in South & Central America (1) Pre-Covid ..Fig 1: Oil production and peak years Production peaked 2015 due to Venezuela’s production collapse. Brazil’s production has not yet peaked but is unlikely to offset Venezuela’s decline. All other countries together are on a bumpy production plateau for the last 20 years. Fig 2: Oil […]

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2020: The Year Things Started Going Badly Wrong

2020: The Year Things Started Going Badly Wrong How today’s energy problem is different from peak oil Many people believe that the economy will start going badly wrong when we “run out of oil.” The problem we have today is indeed an energy problem, but it is a different energy problem. Let me explain it with an […]

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Why The World Can’t Quit Fossil Fuels

Why The World Can’t Quit Fossil Fuels Have the recent pronouncements of the death of oil and reigning renewables been more rhetoric than reality? Yes and no. It’s true that peak oil is now closer than ever, and globally we’re seeing a more earnest effort to decarbonize than ever before, in large part thanks to […]

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Peak Oil is Suddenly Upon Us

Peak Oil is Suddenly Upon Us A year ago, if anyone in the petroleum business had suggested that the moment of Peak Oil  had already passed, they would have been laughed right off the drilling rig. Then 2020 happened. Planes stopped flying. Office workers stayed home. “Zooming with the grandkids” replaced driving to see family. A […]

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Climate Change dominates news coverage at expense of other equally important existential issues

Climate Change dominates news coverage at expense of other equally important existential issues Preface. I’ve noticed that in the half dozen science magazines and several newspapers I get practically the only environmental stories are about climate change. Yet there are 8 other ecological boundaries (Rockström 2009) we must not cross (shown in bold with an […]

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The decline of oil has already begun

The decline of oil has already begun In 1961, when I was 14, working on a science fair project, my father – a geologist and petroleum engineer – explained oil depletion to me. To grow production, oil companies were drilling deeper and deeper wells, developing technologies to extract more oil from spent fields, and would […]

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Peak Oil Never Went Away

Peak Oil Never Went Away Do you remember peak oil? It was all the rage a decade ago. Now, almost no one is talking about it. The funny thing is, the problem never went away. If anything, it’s gotten worse. In this post, I take a deep dive into peak oil. I show you that […]

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Australia’s BP Kwinana refinery closure: peak oil context

Australia’s BP Kwinana refinery closure: peak oil context Fig 1: BP is in peak oil mode BP shuts down Kwinana refinery with 600 jobs expected to go, Commonwealth says no impact on fuel security Fig 2: Kwinana refinery in Perth Refining activities will wind down over the next six months, with the new [product import] […]

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Today’s Contemplation: The Coming Collapse VIII

Today’s Contemplation: The Coming Collapse VIII Chitchen Itza, Mexico (1986) Photo by author Once again, a comment I posted in response to an article on The Tyee. Where to begin? I realise this article is primarily about a federal political party and its future but there are two underlying issues that are discussed that need far […]

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Forget Peak Oil Demand, Supply Crisis Could be Hitting First

Forget Peak Oil Demand, Supply Crisis Could be Hitting First In today’s IEA’s annual World Energy Outlook 2020 report, the OECD energy watchdog states that it doesn’t see a peak oil demand before 2040, only a possible oil demand flattening. The energy agency repeats that oil demand is effected by COVID, but all scenarios show that oil […]

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U.S. Oil Production Has Already Passed Its Peak, Occidental Says

U.S. Oil Production Has Already Passed Its Peak, Occidental Says America’s oil production will never again reach the record 13 million barrels a day set earlier this year, just before the pandemic devastated global demand, according to Occidental Petroleum Corp. “It’s just going to be too difficult to replace the 2 million barrels a day […]

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Has oil peaked?

Has oil peaked? Last month, the world’s 4th largest oil company—BP—predicted that the world will never again consume as much petroleum as it did last year. So, have we finally hit peak oil? And if so, what does that mean for our economy and our world? There was fierce controversy in the first decade of this century […]

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Welcome To Easter Island

Welcome To Easter Island We’re making the same mistakes with our essential resources Remember Easter Island? That place in the pages of National Geographic with the gigantic carved heads peeking up from grassy slopes? Whether you recall it or not, you live there — in a manner of speaking. Easter Island was colonized by the Rapanui, a […]

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Analysis: World has already passed ‘peak oil’, BP figures reveal

Analysis: World has already passed ‘peak oil’, BP figures reveal The world has already passed “peak oil” demand, according to Carbon Brief analysis of the latest energy outlook from oil major BP. The 2020 edition of the annual outlook reveals – albeit indirectly – that global oil demand will not regain the levels seen last year. It adds that demand could […]

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How much oil left in America? Not much

How much oil left in America? Not much Preface. If you think we have no worries because we can get arctic oil, think again. We can’t because icebergs mow drilling platforms down in the ocean. On land, massive amounts of expensive new drilling rigs, roads, rail lines, platforms, buildings and other infrastructure need to be built, […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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