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Oil Price And Its Effect On Production

Oil Price And Its Effect On Production The JODI Oil World Database came out a few days ago. The data is through December 2015. The JODI C+C production numbers differs somewhat from the EIA numbers. The JODI OPEC numbers are crude. Also there are a few very small producers that do not report to JODI so their […]

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Bakken December Data, Big Decline

Bakken December Data, Big Decline The Bakken and North Dakota tight oil production data is out. Bakken production was down 28,604 barrels per day to 1,096,044 bpd. All North Dakota was down 29,506 bpd to 1,152,280 bpd. This is just the last two years of the chart above. It gives a slightly better look at what is happening. Barrels […]

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Just How Accurate Are The EIA’s Predictions?

Just How Accurate Are The EIA’s Predictions? The EIA recently published the February edition of their Short-Term Energy Outlook. If you follow this month to month, and I do, you will notice their prognostications change a little every month. And over several months those small changes can add up to some rather dramatic changes. Nevertheless, below […]

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OPEC January Production

OPEC January Production The latest OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is just out. The the data is “Crude Only”production and do not reflect condensate production. Also the charts, except for Libya, are not zero based. I chose to amplify the change rather than the total. The chats do not include Indonesia. That will be added within the next few months […]

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Oil Production Is Going To Drop And Oil Prices Are Likely To Increase

Oil Production Is Going To Drop And Oil Prices Are Likely To Increase Rystad Energy, an independent oil and gas consulting services and business intelligence data firm in Oslo, Norway, has online, a wealth of information concerning upstream oil production projects and costs. Some of it is a bit dated but some of their charts date […]

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The IEA’s Oil Production Predictions for 2016

The IEA’s Oil Production Predictions for 2016 The IEA Oil Market Report, full issue, is now available to the public. Some interesting observations: Non-OPEC oil supplies are nevertheless seen sharply lower in December. Overall supplies are estimated to have slipped by more than 0.6 mb/d from the month prior, to 57.4 mb/d. A seasonal decline in […]

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Collapse Of Shale Gas Production Has Begun

Collapse Of Shale Gas Production Has Begun This is a guest post by Steve St. Angelo of SRSroccoReport.Com. All opinions expressed in this post are his and do not necessarily reflect those of Ron Patterson. The U.S. Empire is in serious trouble as the collapse of its domestic shale gas production has begun.  This is […]

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A Closer Look at OPEC

A Closer Look at OPEC Taking a closer look at OPEC. All OPEC and price data below is through December. All production data is in thousand barrels per day. Iran and Libya have had serious political disruptions in their production numbers. Simply adding them to the OPEC numbers distorts the picture. To try to figure […]

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Texas Oil and Gas Production Declining

Texas Oil and Gas Production Declining The Texas RRC Oil and Gas Production Data is out. This data is  always incomplete. But we can get some idea of what the trend is by comparing it with previous months. This is what I have done in the charts below. If the latest months data is below the previous […]

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International Rig Counts Still Falling

International Rig Counts Still Falling The monthly Baker Hughes International Rig Count came out a few days ago. Baker Hughes international rig counts do not include US, Canada, FSU countries or on shore China. All rig count data here is through December 2015 and includes all rigs, gas, oil and misc. Total international rig count was down […]

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Confessions of a Doomer

Confessions of a Doomer I need to tell you of a very special talent I have. I have the very unusual and rare ability to find, to ferret out if you will, the blatantly obvious. I mean if it is as plain as the nose on your face, I am going to figure it out. What shocks me […]

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Doubting The Peak

Doubting The Peak Dennis Coyne, an editor and frequent contributor to this blog, has suggested that we are not at peak oil. He argues that there is likely to be a dip in production starting next year but higher prices will cause things to turn around and we will surpass the 2015 peak by 2019. […]

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OPEC’s 2015 World Oil Outlook

OPEC’s 2015 World Oil Outlook The OPEC 2015 World Oil Outlook came out a few days ago. They basically produce two outlooks, a medium term outlook to 2020 and a long term outlook to 2040. I found their medium term outlook pessimistic in some cases to optimistic in others. But I found their long term outlook to be […]

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All Roads Lead To Peak Oil

All Roads Lead To Peak Oil I follow the JODI World Oil Database primarily because it is now four months ahead of the EIA international data base. I make some adjustments however. I use the OPEC MOMR “secondary sources” for all OPEC data where JODI also uses the MOMR but uses their “direct communication” data instead. The […]

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EIA Says Shale Continues to Decline

EIA Says Shale Continues to Decline The EIA’s Drilling Productivity Report has US shale oil on a steep decline. The below shale oil production charts are the EIA’s estimate of what shale production will look like through January 2016. Keep in mind this is the EIA’s estimate and not hard production numbers. The big drops here are […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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