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The Status Quo Will Reign
The Status Quo Will Reign This month’s stock market correction is still fresh in everyone’s mind. Many have even begun to wonder if the era of dark money was truly over. How will the recent correction affect the Fed’s dark money policies? The consensus explanation for the correction was that inflation was rising and that would […]
Chart Predicts Every Market Crash in History
Chart Predicts Every Market Crash in History The Fed blows bubbles. Then it eventually pops them. Where are we in the cycle? Bill Bonner writes This Has Predicted Every Market Crash in History. I recreated the chart in Fred and added trendlines. But let’s tune in to Bill Bonner. “Buy the dip” has worked for […]
The Fed Should Be Careful What It Wishes For
SAUL LOEB/AFP/Getty Images The Fed Should Be Careful What It Wishes For Major central banks’ fixation on inflation betrays a guilty conscience for serially falling short of their targets. It also raises the risk that in fighting the last war, they will be poorly prepared for the next – the battle against too-high inflation. CAMBRIDGE […]
Fed Chair Admits “US Is Not On A Sustainable Fiscal Path”
Fed Chair Admits “US Is Not On A Sustainable Fiscal Path” Less than a week after Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Robert Kaplan sounded the alarm over the level of debt that America’s government is projected to carry, Fed Chair Jay Powell told Congress today that “the US is not on a sustainable fiscal path.” […]
Deutsche Bank: This Does Not Make Sense
Deutsche Bank: This Does Not Make Sense Amid the growing debate whether rates will keep rising once they hit 3.00%, or they will fall as asset managers find the new level attractive enough to dip their toes and buy duration, one analyst laughs at everyone calling for lower rates from here onward. In a note […]
Turkey – Default or War?
Turkey – Default or War? QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, My father was ______ the banker who commissioned you to do the Turkish lira hedging project in 1983. He passed away as you know. I found this material in his files on Turkey that you apparently published back in 1985. Some articles are saying that Turkey is […]
Here’s How Regulators Are Inadvertently Laying The Groundwork For The Next Housing Crisis
Here’s How Regulators Are Inadvertently Laying The Groundwork For The Next Housing Crisis Only a few weeks ago, we pointed out a remarkable development in the US mortgage market that has significant implications not only for mortgage borrowers, but perhaps the broader economy as a whole: Wells Fargo, formerly America’s foremost mortgage lender, had seen […]
“GDP Growth Driving Rates Higher!” – Is That True?
“GDP Growth Driving Rates Higher!” – Is That True? “Peter Cook is the author of the‘Is That True?’ series of articles, which help explain the many statements and theories circulating in the mainstream financial media often presented as “truths.” The motives and psychology of market participants, which drives the difference between truth and partial-truth, are […]
Haunted by Ghosts of the Old Eastern Bloc
Haunted by Ghosts of the Old Eastern Bloc Ridiculous Minutia Jerome Powell, the new Chairman of the Federal Reserve, just completed his third week on the job. He’s hardly had enough time to learn how to operate the office coffee maker, let alone the all-in-one printer. He still doesn’t know what roach coach menu items […]
It Was Not Effective, But We’ll Do It Again
It Was Not Effective, But We’ll Do It Again Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren has some interesting comments about QE today. The Bond Buyer reports Rosengren Expects Fed to Again Resort to Asset Purchases. Although large scale asset purchase programs may not be as effective as previously believed, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Eric […]
Money Manager: ‘The Chaos Coming To The Markets Is Here’
Money Manager: ‘The Chaos Coming To The Markets Is Here’ Money manager Michael Pento says that profound chaos surrounding the economy is coming. The insolvency is becoming clear, and soon, we will no longer be able to sweep the problem under the rug. Sitting down with USA Watchdog’s Greg Hunter, Pento discussed the chaos people […]
“Strong Dollar,” “Weak Dollar,” What About a Gold-Backed Dollar?
“Strong Dollar,” “Weak Dollar,” What About a Gold-Backed Dollar? The recent hullabaloo among President Trump’s top monetary officials about the Administration’s “dollar policy” is just the start of what will likely be the first of many contradictory pronoucements and reversals which will take place in the coming months/years as the world’s reserve currency continues to be […]
Calm Before The Inflationary Storm
Calm Before The Inflationary Storm The economy has been showing great gains, and that positive trend is fueling fears of a surge in inflation. The Consumer Price Index, the key predictor of inflationary trends, rose .05 percent in January, which greatly exceeded the anticipated rise of 0.2 percent. The market reacted as expected as stocks […]
Fed President Sounds Panic Over Level Of US Debt
Fed President Sounds Panic Over Level Of US Debt Nearly a decade after the US unleashed its biggest debt-issuance binge in history, made possible only thanks to the Fed’s monetization of nearly $4 trillion in deficits (and debt issuance), the Fed is starting to get nervous about the (un)sustainability of the US debt. The Federal […]
New Fed Chairman Will Trigger A Historic Stock Market Crash In 2018
New Fed Chairman Will Trigger A Historic Stock Market Crash In 2018 Ever since the credit and equities crash of 2008, Americans have been bombarded relentlessly with the narrative that our economy is “in recovery”. For some people, simply hearing this ad nauseam is enough to stave off any concerns they may have for the […]
