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In this Era of Inflated Asset Prices, Can the Fed Raise Rates without Causing Financial Mayhem?
In this Era of Inflated Asset Prices, Can the Fed Raise Rates without Causing Financial Mayhem? Wolf Richter on the Keiser Report. The Fed is trying to accomplish a soft landing — hence the extraordinarily slow rate hikes — but our history with soft landings is very spotty, and there has never been more debt than now: Investors […]
The Fed Must Have Inflation. Failure Is Not an Option
The Fed Must Have Inflation. Failure Is Not an Option The Fed says incessantly that “price stability” is part of their dual mandate and they are committed to maintaining the purchasing power of the dollar. But the Fed has a funny definition of price stability. Common sense says price stability should be zero inflation and […]
Trump Trade Wars A Perfect Smokescreen For A Market Crash
Trump Trade Wars A Perfect Smokescreen For A Market Crash First, I would like to say that the timing of Donald Trump’s announcement on expansive trade tariffs is unusual if not impeccable. I say this only IF Trump’s plan was to benefit establishment globalists by giving them perfect cover for their continued demolition of the […]
Ron Paul Fears “Huge” Correction In Stocks, Warns “It’s Going To Be A Calamity”
Ron Paul Fears “Huge” Correction In Stocks, Warns “It’s Going To Be A Calamity” “I think we have a greater distortion and a financial danger sitting out there bigger than ever before,” warned former presidential candidate Ron Paul in an ominous interview with CNBC this week. While markets briefly got nervous over Trump’s tariffs last […]
Are Subprime Debt Slaves, a Leading Indicator, Worrying the Fed?
Are Subprime Debt Slaves, a Leading Indicator, Worrying the Fed? Credit problems always appear first at the margins. The new Fed remains a somewhat unknown quantity: There are still four vacancies on the Fed’s seven-member Board of Governors that forms the core of the policy-making FOMC. The new Chairman, Jerome Powell, has already shown in […]
Doug Noland: No Bailouts Anytime Soon, So Let Those Short Bets Run
Doug Noland: No Bailouts Anytime Soon, So Let Those Short Bets Run Now that equities are behaving the way they should have since, oh, 2013 – volatile with a pronounced down bias – everyone is wondering how far the crazy will go before the Fed starts buying the S&P 500. Short sellers, of course, want […]
The Two Janet’s And The Perfect Storm Ahead
The Two Janet’s And The Perfect Storm Ahead The Bloomberg news crawler this morning is heralding the heart of our thesis: Namely, that “flush with cash from the tax cut”, US companies are heading for a “stock buyback binge of historic proportions”. This isn’t a “told you so” point. It’s dramatic proof that corporate America has […]
Weekly Commentary: Cracks
Weekly Commentary: Cracks After posting an inter-week high of 25,800 on Tuesday, the DJIA then dropped 1,583 points (6.1%) at the week’s Friday morning low (24,218) – before closing the session at 24,538 (down 3.0% for the week). The VIX traded as low as 15.29 Tuesday. It then closed Wednesday at 19.85, jumped as high […]
Never Mind Volatility: Systemic Risk Is Rising
Never Mind Volatility: Systemic Risk Is Rising So who’s holding the hot potato of systemic risk now? Everyone. One of the greatest con jobs of the past 9 years is the status quo’s equivalence of risk and volatility: risk = volatility: so if volatility is low, then risk is low. Wrong: volatility once reflected specific […]
The Faster America “Grows”, The Faster America Goes Bust
The Faster America “Grows”, The Faster America Goes Bust As of October 1st of 2007 (the start of the 2008 Federal Government fiscal year), federal debt stood at $9 trillion and 70 billion. In the subsequent ten years and five months, the US federal debt has grown $11 trillion and 805 billion and now stands at $20 […]
Daniel Nevins: Economics for Independent Thinkers
Daniel Nevins: Economics for Independent Thinkers It’s time we stop trusting the ‘experts’ Economists are supposed to monitor and analyze the economy, warn us if risks are getting out of hand, and advise us on how to make things runs more effectively — right? Well, even though that’s what most people expect from economists, it’s […]
An Apocalyptic Paul Tudor Jones Warns The Fed Is About To Lose Control
An Apocalyptic Paul Tudor Jones Warns The Fed Is About To Lose Control In a striking interview with Goldman’s Allison Nathan, legendary trader Paul Tudor Jones argues that US inflation is set to accelerate sharply, making bonds a very poor investment, and that the Fed must act swiftly to tackle financial bubbles created by prolonged […]
Ron Paul: ‘The Fed Is At A Crossroads…Crisis Is Coming’
Ron Paul: ‘The Fed Is At A Crossroads…Crisis Is Coming’ The Fed has created a mountain of problems for everyone in the United States and every single solution that they come up with leads to even more problems. Ron Paul recently discussed what the Fed has done, how it tries to keep things going, and […]
