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Tag Archives: monetary policy
An Almost Perfect Predictor of GDP Growth and Bernie Lays the Boots…
An Almost Perfect Predictor of GDP Growth and Bernie Lays the Boots… I recently watched a video clip of Bernie Sanders laying the boots to Alan Greenspan back in 2003, for Greenspan’s seemingly out of touch perspective of the average American. Now while we do have a repentant banker in Greenspan, a rare phenomenon for sure, I found […]
Welcome to the world of ZIRP zombies
Welcome to the world of ZIRP zombies Interest rates in the US, Europe and the UK were reduced to close to zero in the wake of the Lehman crisis nearly seven years ago. Initially zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) was a temporary measure to counter the price deflation that immediately followed the crisis, but since […]
The Shot Not Heard Around the World
The Shot Not Heard Around the World China’s recent move to devalue the yuan has sent shock waves through the global financial markets and has convinced most observers that a new front in the global currency wars has begun. The move has caused many observes to envision a new round of competitive devaluations around the globe […]
Austrians vs. The World On Canadian Fiscal Austerity
Austrians vs. The World On Canadian Fiscal Austerity I don’t know whether this is something the average Canadian discusses over coffee, but the sharp fiscal turnaround in the mid-1990s is still providing fodder for today’s economists to argue. In September 2014, I summarized the Canadian budget triumph, in which the federal government turned its deficit into […]
China Black Swans Not So Rare Anymore as PBOC Shocks Markets
China Black Swans Not So Rare Anymore as PBOC Shocks Markets Investors should prepare for more surprises out of China after the yuan’s devaluation became the country’s latest unexpected policy move to roil global markets. That’s the advice from Fraser Howie, co-author of “Red Capitalism: The Fragile Financial Foundation of China’s Extraordinary Rise.” He says […]
Emerging Market Currencies To Crash 30-50%, Jen Says
Emerging Market Currencies To Crash 30-50%, Jen Says Less than 24 hours ago, we argued that although it might have seemed as though Brazil hit rock bottom in Q2 when it suffered through the worst inflation-growth mix in over a decade, things were likely to get worse still. The country, which is also coping with twin deficits […]
Global Markets Turmoil After China Extends Currency War To 2nd Day – Devalues Yuan To 4 Year Lows
Global Markets Turmoil After China Extends Currency War To 2nd Day – Devalues Yuan To 4 Year Lows Chinese stocks opened lower, extending yesterday’s losses, after The PBOC weakened its Yuan FIX dramatically for the 2nd consecutive day(from 6.1162 Monday to 6.2298 last night to 6.3306). Offshore Yuan fell another 9 handles against the USD after China […]
This Is What Global Currency War Looks Like: A Complete History Of Recent FX Interventions
This Is What Global Currency War Looks Like: A Complete History Of Recent FX Interventions After the dramatic collapse in the SNB’s defense of the Swiss Franc peg to the Euro, there was a period of relative FX peace in which few if any central banks engaged in outright currency intervention (aside from the countless […]
Fed Admits Economy Can’t Function Without Bubbles
Fed Admits Economy Can’t Function Without Bubbles In short, the dot-com bust was the last chance for the Fed to pivot and liberate the American economy from the corrosive financialization it had fostered. A determined policy of higher interest rates and renunciation of the Greenspan Put would have paved the way for a return to current […]
The Irony Of Market Manipulation
The Irony Of Market Manipulation Having gazed ominously at the extreme monetary policy smoke-and-mirrors intervention in bond markets, and previously explained that “the stock market is to important to leave to the vagaries of an actual market.“ While the rest of the world’s central banks’ direct (BoJ) and indirect (Fed, ECB) manipulation of equity markets, nobody bats an eyelid; but […]
Chinese Stocks Suffer Second Biggest Crash In History, 1,500 Companies Halted Limit Down
Chinese Stocks Suffer Second Biggest Crash In History, 1,500 Companies Halted Limit Down This was not supposed to happen. After pledging, investing and otherwise guaranteeing the Chinese stock market to the tune of 10% of GDP, and intervening on at least 40 different occasions in the past month ever since China’s stock bubble burst in late […]
Central Banks Ready To Panic — Again
Central Banks Ready To Panic — Again Less than a decade after a housing/derivatives bubble nearly wiped out the global financial system, a new and much bigger commodities/derivatives bubble is threatening to finish the job. Raw materials are tanking as capital pours out of the most heavily-impacted countries and into anything that looks like a […]
Why China’s Market Isn’t Fixed And The Global Bubble Will Keep Imploding
Why China’s Market Isn’t Fixed And The Global Bubble Will Keep Imploding China’s stock market is purportedly all fixed and the last two day’s 10% bounce is just the beginning. Indeed, Goldman Sachs has already reiterated that the whole thing is on the level, and that the red chips will again be taking flight: China’s biggest stock-market rout since 1992 […]
It Begins: ECB Hikes Greek ELA Haircuts; Full “Depositor Bail-In” Sensitivity Analysis
It Begins: ECB Hikes Greek ELA Haircuts; Full “Depositor Bail-In” Sensitivity Analysis Earlier today we reported that as Bloomberg correctly leaked, the ECB would keep its ELA frozen for Greek banks at its ?89 billion ceiling level last increased two weeks ago. However we did not know what the ECB would do with Greek ELA […]
With Sweden’s QE Officially Broken, The Riksbank Doubles Down: Lowers Rates Even More Negative; Boosts QE
With Sweden’s QE Officially Broken, The Riksbank Doubles Down: Lowers Rates Even More Negative; Boosts QE It was precisely one week ago when we described how, for the first time in history, QE had officially failed to achieve its stated objective of pushing yields lower (ignoring that the real purpose is to push stock prices higher). In […]
