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The Numbers Are In: China Dumps A Record $94 Billion In US Treasurys In One Month

The Numbers Are In: China Dumps A Record $94 Billion In US Treasurys In One Month Shortly after the PBoC’s move to devalue the yuan, we noted with some alarm that it looked as though China may have drawn down its reserves by more than $100 billion in the space of just two weeks. That, we went on […]

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The Unwind

The Unwind Too often it’s as if I’m analyzing an altogether different world than conventional analysts. My strong preference is to be viewed as an adept and determined analyst, as opposed to some wacko extremist. I have always tried to distinguish my analysis from the “lunatic fringe.” It’s my overarching thesis that the world is […]

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Cash as a Policy Tool – An Interview with the Hon. Dr. Harald Malmgren

Cash as a Policy Tool – An Interview with the Hon. Dr. Harald Malmgren The Hon. Dr. Harald Malmgren, Chief Executive of Malmgren Global, advises governments and companies on international trade and investment. A former senior aide to US Presidents John F. Kennedy, Lyndon B. Johnson, Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford and to Senators Abraham […]

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Inflation, the Fed, and the Big Picture

Inflation, the Fed, and the Big Picture CAMBRIDGE – Inflation – its causes and its connection to monetary policy and financial crises – was the theme of this year’s international conference of central bankers and academics in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. But, while policymakers’ desire to be prepared for potential future risks to price stability is understandable, they […]

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“This Time May Be Different”: Desperate Central Banks Set To Dust Off Asia Crisis Playbook, Goldman Warns

“This Time May Be Different”: Desperate Central Banks Set To Dust Off Asia Crisis Playbook, Goldman Warns Early last month, Bloomberg observed that plunging currencies were “handcuffing bankers from Chile to Colombia.” The problem was described as follows: Central bankers in commodity-dependent Andes economies aren’t even considering interest-rate cuts to revive growth, even as prices for oil, […]

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“It’s A Tipping Point” Marc Faber Warns “There Are No Safe Assets Anymore”

“It’s A Tipping Point” Marc Faber Warns “There Are No Safe Assets Anymore” Markets have “reached some kind of a tipping point,” warns Marc Faber in this brief Bloomberg TV interview. Simply put, he explains, “because of modern central banking and repeated interventions with monetary policy, in other words, with QE, all around the world by […]

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How China Cornered The Fed With Its “Worst Case” Capital Outflow Countdown

How China Cornered The Fed With Its “Worst Case” Capital Outflow Countdown Last week, in “What China’s Treasury Liquidation Means: $1 Trillion QE In Reverse,” we took a look at the potential size of the RMB carry trade, noting that according to BofAML, the unwind could, in the worst case scenario, be somewhere on the […]

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Citigroup Chief Economist Thinks Only “Helicopter Money” Can Save The World Now

Citigroup Chief Economist Thinks Only “Helicopter Money” Can Save The World Now Having recently explained (in great detail) why QE4 (and 5, 6 & 7) were inevitable (despite the protestations of all central planners, except for perhaps Kocharlakota – who never met an economy he didn’t want to throw free money at), we found it fascinating […]

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Wall Street and the Cycle of Crises

Wall Street and the Cycle of Crises Regular readers of the leftish press have recently been presented with a raft of pleas coming from intelligent and occasionally articulate economists that the Federal Reserve not to raise interest rates. The general point being argued is that interest rates are the price of borrowed money, that raising […]

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Why QE4 Is Inevitable

Why QE4 Is Inevitable One narrative we’ve pushed quite hard this week is the idea that China’s persistent FX interventions in support of the yuan are costing the PBoC dearly in terms of reserves. Of course this week’s posts hardly represent the first time we’ve touched on the issue of FX reserve liquidation and its […]

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Trouble South Of The Border

Trouble South Of The Border Mexico’s vulnerabilities pose a huge risk to the U.S. Too big to fail is a seven-year phenomenon created by the most powerful central banks to bolster the largest, most politically connected US and European banks. More than that, it’s a global concern predicated on that handful of private banks controlling […]

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It’s Official: China Confirms It Has Begun Liquidating Treasuries, Warns Washington

It’s Official: China Confirms It Has Begun Liquidating Treasuries, Warns Washington On Tuesday evening, we asked what would happen if emerging markets joined China in dumping US Treasurys. For months we’ve documented the PBoC’s liquidation of its vast stack of US paper. Back in July for instance, we noted that China had dumped a record $143 billion in US […]

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“Central Bankers Look Naked… & Investors Have Nothing Else To Believe In”

“Central Bankers Look Naked… & Investors Have Nothing Else To Believe In” Via RBS’ Alberto Gallo, “Policymakers responded to the financial crisis with easy monetary policy and low interest rates. The critics — including us — argued against ‘solving a debt crisis with more debt.’ Put differently, we said that QE was necessary, but not […]

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Central Banks Have Become A Corrupting Force

Central Banks Have Become A Corrupting Force Are we witnessing the corruption of central banks? Are we observing the money-creating powers of central banks being used to drive up prices in the stock market for the benefit of the mega-rich? These questions came to mind when we learned that the central bank of Switzerland, the […]

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Why It Really All Comes Down To The Death Of The Petrodollar

Why It Really All Comes Down To The Death Of The Petrodollar Last week, in the global currency war’s latest escalation, Kazakhstan instituted a free float for the tenge. The currency immediately plunged by some 25%. The rationale behind the move was clear enough. The plunge in crude prices along with the relative weakness of the Russian […]

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