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The Fed Is Panicking
The Fed Is Panicking This week I’ve been in Washington, D.C. for high level meetings focused on the economy. While meeting with senior officials and members of the House and Senate, it became clear that a troubling phenomenon is building. Your correspondent at the Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building in Washington D.C. In the wake […]
2018 Chaos, 2019 Mayhem
2018 Chaos, 2019 Mayhem Titian The rape of Europe 1560-62 It took me a while to decide which word(s) best define the past year and the next one, but I think this is pretty much it. 2018 was chaotic more than anything else, and that chaos will give rise to mayhem in 2019. What I […]
Druckenmiller: “The Best Economist I Know Is Saying Something Is Not Right”
Druckenmiller: “The Best Economist I Know Is Saying Something Is Not Right” Stanley Druckenmiller established himself as one of the most successful hedge fund managers of his generation thanks to an uncanny ability for recognizing signals in asset prices that portended an coming recession. So when he warns about rough times ahead, it’s probably worth […]
Inflation Targeting Madness: Russia Raises Rates Again
Inflation Targeting Madness: Russia Raises Rates Again I continue to wonder who Bank of Russia President Elvira Nabuillina works for. Seriously. On Friday, in response to solid growth in Russian economic statistics over the past few months, Nabuillina again raised interest rates 0.25%. She still adheres to idiotic IMF-style ‘inflation targeting’ dogma. Price inflation in […]
Ron Paul: The Market Correction Could Make Things ‘Worse Than 1929’
Ron Paul: The Market Correction Could Make Things ‘Worse Than 1929’ Former presidential candidate, Dr. Ron Paul says that the current market conditions are ripe for a correction of 50% and Wall Street is vulnerable to depression-like conditions in the next year. “It could be worse than 1929,” Dr. Paul said recently in an interview. Paul […]
Weekly Commentary: The Perils of Inflationism
Weekly Commentary: The Perils of Inflationism December 13 – Financial Times (Chris Giles and Claire Jones): “When the European Central Bank switches off its money-printing press at the turn of this year and stops buying fresh assets, it will mark the end of a decade-long global experiment in how to stave off economic meltdowns. Quantitative […]
The Neutral Interest Rate Myth
THE NEUTRAL INTEREST RATE MYTH In his speech to the Economic Club of New York on November 28 2018, the Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell said that the US central bank’s policy interest rate is just below the neutral rate. This prompted many commentators to suggest that a tighter interest rate stance of the […]
The Trade War Distraction: Huawei And Linchpin Theory
The Trade War Distraction: Huawei And Linchpin Theory Since the beginning of this year, I have been warning that trade tariffs initiated by Donald Trump would develop into a full-blown trade war with China, and perhaps other nations, and that the timing of this trade war is rather suspicious. Suspicious how? Almost every instance of […]
Historic Debt Is At The Core Of Our Economic Decline
Historic Debt Is At The Core Of Our Economic Decline From Brandon Smith As I predicted just after the 2016 presidential election, a sordid theater of blame has exploded over the state of the U.S. economy, with fingers pointing everywhere except (in most cases) at the true culprits behind the crash. Some people point to […]
A Global Dearth of Liquidity
A Global Dearth of Liquidity Worldwide Liquidity Drought – Money Supply Growth Slows Everywhere This is a brief update on money supply growth trends in the most important currency areas outside the US (namely the euro area, Japan and China) as announced in in our recent update on US money supply growth (see “Federal Punch […]
Economic Downturn: Credit Cards Aren’t Being Paid, Accounts Are Being Closed
Economic Downturn: Credit Cards Aren’t Being Paid, Accounts Are Being Closed A new report is shining some light on an indicator that the economy is about to take a major downturn. Credit card accounts are not being paid and some accounts are being closed in anticipation for an upcoming recession. Credit-card delinquencies, application rejections, and […]
Empty Words Are Failing. A Timeline For What Comes Next
Empty Words Are Failing. A Timeline For What Comes Next A quick recap of the past couple of months: Stocks plunge. The politicians, bureaucrats and bankers who depend on artificially-elevated financial asset prices start to panic. The Fed announces that maybe it won’t have to raise interest rates any more, and the president announces a temporary […]
Blain: “Are We Backing The Wrong Country In The Saudi-Iran Race”
Blain: “Are We Backing The Wrong Country In The Saudi-Iran Race” As excerpted from Blain’s Morning Porridge, submitted by Bill Blain Where do we go from here? I’ve said it a few times already – 2019 is likely to see the start of the New Market Reality. Although some pundits claim yesterday’s sell-off was due […]
